SANDOWN – APRIL 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £123.90 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (1.50): 6 (Atty Persse), 9 (Jupiter Light) & 7 (Medahim)
Leg 2 (2.20): 7 (Royal Artillery) & 5 (My Dream Boat)
Leg 3 (2.55): 5 (Monarchs Glen) & 1 (Cunco)
Leg 4 (3.30): 4 (Kool Kompany), 10 (Dawn Of Hope) & 9 (Tashweeq)
Leg 5 (4.05): 6 (Hyperfocus), 5 (Queen In Waiting) & 4 (Nayyar)
Leg 6 (4.35): 7 (Serenada), 6 (Pure Shoes) & 2 (Fashion Theory)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: 'Team Hannon' have landed this prize twice in the last twelve years, one of only two represented stables to have won the contest on two occasions during the study period. Richard saddles three horses today which cloud the horizon to a fashion, though I’ll opt for MEDAHIM who looks well treated on the best of his form with Frankie’s mount going up in the weights any time now. John Gosden (JUPITER LIGHT) is the other relevant handler, though both trainers could be up against it here with Roger Charlton having declared his only runner today (ATTY PERSSE) in the contest. Roger has saddled three of his last four runners to winning effect for good measure.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last nineteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners. Fourteen of the last nineteen winners were returned at 17/2 or less.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/1—The Grape Escape (good to soft)
1/1—Rebel De Lope (good)
1/1—Atty Persse (good)
2.20: Four and five-year-olds have won thirteen of the last fifteen renewals of this Group 3 Gordon Richard Stakes with the ‘juniors’ leading 7-6 during the period, though five-year-olds were only conspicuous by their absence two years ago. The vintage is represented my last year’s winner MY DREAM BOAT, though John Gosden (ROYAL ARTILLERY) will be looking for revenge for the defeat of his 4/5 chance Western Hymn twelve months ago. Deauville is the potential spanner in the works but Aidan O’Brien’s raider could represent poor value from a Placepot perspective.
Favourite factor: Three of the last nine favourites have obliged whilst the biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was returned at just 8/1. Only seven of the seventeen favourites during the last thirteen years have secured toteplacepot positions.
Record of course winners in the second race:
1/3—My Dream Boat (good to soft)
2.55: This Group 3 Classic Trial invariably produces an intriguing contest and this year's renewal is no exception. Anyone who doubted the potential of Frankel as a sire would never have believed that the superstar racehorse would have had the first three in the betting in this event! John Gosden’s pair of MONARCHS GLEN and CUNCO are referred to FRANKUUS, especially with John having greeted six of his last ten runners in area reserved for winners in the unsaddling enclosure. Fierce Impact is another decent three-year-old in the making, though recent handicap entries suggest that he might fall short here, especially with David Simcock struggling for winners so far this season, certainly by comparison to recent seasons.
Favourite factor: Just four favourites have won via the last seventeen renewals, though bookmakers have not had things going all their own way. Thirteen gold medallists during the period were returned at prices ranging between 1/2 and 11/2.
3.30: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last seventeen contests, with DAWN OF HOPE and TASHWEEQ appearing to hold the best chances of extending the good run on behalf of the vintage. That said, Richard Hannon (senior) won five renewals during a six year period shortly before ‘dad’ retired, with Richard junior having joined in the fun twelve months ago when saddling the winner. KOOL KOMPANY is the stable representative on this occasion who is expected to come on further for his Doncaster success. Pat Dobbs can ride a big race winner which will do his career no harm at all.
Favourite factor: Eight favourites have scored during the last seventeen years, whilst ten of the twenty market leaders have secured win and place positions during the study period from an ‘exact science‘ perspective. Sixteen of the last nineteen gold medallists have scored at odds of 5/1 or less.
4.05: Eleven of the fourteen winners to date have carried weights of 9-1 or less which brings my main Placepot shout HYPERFOCUS into the equation from a win and place perspective. QUEEN IN WAITING and NAYYAR are the others to consider from my viewpoint, though I fully respect the chance of Jumira Bridge who would have been included in my mix but for the negative weight trend.
Favourite factor: Ten of the sixteen market leaders reached the frame during the study period, statistics which include eight winners.
4.35: SERENADA is well thought of back at the Varian ranch and Roger has found a decent opportunity for his Azamour filly. Charlie Appleby’s pair make most appeal as threats in the Placepot finale, namely PURE SHOES and FASHION THEORY. That said, Ralph Beckett introduces an interesting newcomer in Love Conquers whose effort will come under close scrutiny for future reference following this renewal. This is another truly wonderful (Friday) card before Messers Nicholls & Henderson take to the NH stage at the venue on Saturday.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last decade, with nine gold medallists have been returned at a top price of 8/1 during the study period.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track last season + profits/losses accrued:
7 runners—John Gosden (3/22 – Profit of 3 points)
5—Richard Hannon (6/51 – Slight profit)
4—Charlie Hills (1/10 – loss of 2 points)
4—Hugo Palmer (2/10 – loss of 2 points)
3—Charlie Appleby (3/13 – Profit of 4 points)
3—Ralph Beckett (6/26 – Profit of 3 points)
3—Clive Cox (5/26 – Profit of 22 points)
3—Mark Johnston (2/27 (loss of 21 points)
3—Roger Varian (2/17 – loss of 10 points)
2—Aidan O’Brien (0/2)
2—Sir Michael Stoute (6/20 – Profit of 2 points)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Doncaster: £556.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Chepstow: £317.20 – 7 favourites – 4 winners & 3 unplaced
Huntingdon: £740.20 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
Perth: £436.40 – 6 favourites – No winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced