NEWBURY - AUGUST 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £402.30 (8 favourites - 3 winners & 5 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Newbury:
Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Meyrick), 10 (Ultimate Avenue) & 12 (Flying North)
Leg 2 (2.50): 8 (Wind In My Sails), 2 (Lulani) & 7 (Steal The Scene)
Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Silver Quay), 10 (Niceonecenturion) & 9 (The Graduate)
Leg 4 (3.55): 5 (Mrs Danvers) & 1 (Barroche)
Leg 5 (4.30): 5 (Little Voice) & 7 (Newton's Law)
Leg 6 (5.00): 4 (Myopic), 6 (Scattered Stars) & 7 (Wink And Win)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Newbury - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: There is no surprise to find that Richard Hannon has declared nine runners (eight last year) on Newbury‘s card on Friday and with the yard having secured three of the last seven renewals of this opening event, Richard's runners are worth a second glance, as always seems to be the case. That said, Richard saddles four horses and might have preferred the race to have been split into two divisions as was the case twelve months ago. Two of his quartet have experience but have not shown themselves to be highly talented types thus far, whereby I am going to take a chance on Richard's Raven Pass newcomer FLYING NORTH. Jungle drums have been beating for a good while now regarding MEYRICK, whilst ULTIMATE AVENUE completes my trio against the other eleven contenders.
Favourite factor: 10 of the 13 favourites have finished in the money to date, statistics which include seven winners. Market leaders come to the gig on a five timer.
Draw factor (seven furlongs):
2-5-7 (11 ran-soft)
9-8-3 (10 ran (soft)
3-4-7 (13 ran-soft)
4-11-5 (11 ran-good)
11-10-7 (12 ran-good)
13-2-12 (11 ran-good)
1-4-9 (13 ran-good)
6-9-5 (15 ran-good)
3-1-8 (15 ran-good)
1-7-6 (11 ran-good)
8-3-2 (12 ran-good to firm)
7-5-12 (11 ran-good to firm)
11-6-4 (11 ran-good to firm)
2.50: A winner of six of his first seven races all those years ago, it's a crying shame to see Monseiur Chevalier plying his trade at this level. I just hope that the nine-year-old still enjoys his racing. Far more logical winners in the line up now are LULANI, STEAL THE SCENE and my each way call in the contest, WIND IN MY SAILS.
Favourite factor: Both of the 7/2 joint favourites finished out with the washing in last year's inaugural contest.
3.20: The fact that three-year-olds have not always contested this event suggests that vintage raiders have done well to record five victories during the last 14 years. That said, four-year-olds have secured five of the last nine contests whereby the lone vintage representative SILVER QUAY is the win and place call. The two juveniles are considered the main threats, namely NICEONECENTURION and THE GRADUATE.
Favourite factor: Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed in the last 17 years (one non runner--withdrawn before a new market could be formed), whilst seven of the 17 jollies have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.
3.55: I can't have it that MRS DANVERS is only rated fifth in here via the assessment of the official regarding handicap marks for want of a better term relating to this type of event. Jonathan Portman's Super Sprint winner would be higher rated coming from a more 'fashionable yard' from my viewpoint, whereby she is the value for money call. Brian Meehan's runners are performing much better now whereby STOP THE WAGES could outrun massive odds, albeit more logical winners include RAJAR and BARROCHE.
Favourite factor: Six favourites have prevailed in the last nineteen years, with ten of the market leaders having secured toteplacepot positions during the last seventeen renewals.
Draw factor (five furlongs):
12-8-1 (12 ran-soft)
2-3-5 (9 ran-soft)
6-4-5 (8 ran-good)
5-3-6 (10 ran-good)
2-5-1 (12 ran-good)
7-11-10 (12 ran-good)
3-7-11 (13 ran-good to firm)
3-1-2 (18 ran-good to soft)
5-2-6 (10 ran-good)
5-6-1 (10 ran-good to soft)
3-4-6 (11 ran-good to firm)
11-4-12 (12 ran-good)
4-1-3 (10 ran-good to firm)
6-5-1 (9 ran-good to firm)
11-13-10 (14 ran-good to firm)
5-2-10 (10 ran-good to firm)
8-7-4 (8 ran-good)
4.30: Last year's first named runner in my analysis scored at 10/1 and hoping to repeat the feat, I could give an each way chance to NEWTON'S LAW, another Brian Meehan raider with Placepot claims at a big price. A seven pound claimer could aid and abet the cause, albeit I appreciate that LITTLE VOICE and MAJESTIC HERO will be more popular types when the chalks are distributed between the layers to mark up the odds.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 4/1 joint favourites both finished out of the frame.
5.00: Luca Cumani has snared two of the last three renewals and stable representative MYOPIC is an interesting contender this time around. Others to consider in a fascinating Placepot finale are two of the three newcomers SCATTERED STARS and WINK AND WIN. The horse that sets a half decent standard is Malmoosa, though I can't help but feel that she is vulnerable to an above average filly.
Favourite factor: All seven favourites have secured Placepot positions, stats which include four winners..
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Friday:
9--Richard Hannon (7/48 at Newbury this season - winners at 20/1-10/1-15/2-7/1-7/2-3/1-11/8*)
4--Brian Meehan (3/21 - winners at 20/1-9/1-8/1)
3--Charlie Hills (1/25 - winner at 5/1)
2--Jim Boyle (1/1 - winner at 2/1*)
2--Karl Burke (0/1)
2--Mick Channon (0/22)
2--Clive Cox (0/16)
2--Ron Harris (0/1)
2--Gary Moore (0/2)
2--Lisa Williamson (---)
+ 36 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
66 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £103.90 - 6 favourites - No winners - 5 placed - 1 unplaced
Newcastle (was turf/now A/W): £90.00 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced)
Newmarket: £91.80 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Nottingham: £473.80 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Newbury overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.20 & 3.25:
2/7--Hugo Palmer (Colibri)
17/140--Richard Hannon (Hushood-Plant Pot Power-Procurator-Flying North)
7/45--William Haggas (Meyrick)
0/1--Owen Burrows (Muhajjal)
1/4--Simon Crisford (Ningaloo)
0/2--John Best (Padrinho)
0/6--Clive Cox (Tis Wonderful)
1/7--Ed Walker (Ultimate Avenue)
6/76--Brian Meehan (Young Officer)
7/97--Mick Channon (Sixties Sheila)
1/33--Ralph Beckett (Sydicate)
0/6--Clive Cox (Barroche)
1/1--Paul Cole (Dainty Dandy)
1/6--Robert Eddery (Equimou)
2/12--Gary Moore (Grand Myla)
4/32--Jonathan Portman (Mrs Danvers)
17/140--Richard Hannon (Rajar & Stormy Clouds)
No runners--David O'Meara (Savannah's Dream)
6/76--Brian Meehan (Stop The Wages)
1/4--Karl Burke (Tahoo)
0/28--George Baker (Tallulah Rose)