GOODWOOD - AUGUST 26
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £981.60 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (5.00): 5 (Guanabara Bay), 9 (Lucky Di) & 1 (Equal Point)
Leg 2 (5.35): 2 (Envisaging), 1 (Celestial Spheres) & 3 (Khalidi)
Leg 3 (6.05): 3 (Procurator) & 4 (La Casa Tarifa)
Leg 4 (6.40): 3 (Tyrell) & 2 (Clear Evidence)
Leg 5 (7.10): 1 (Rostova) & 3 (Laugh Aloud)
Leg 6 (7.45): 9 (Land Of Dubai), 2 (Fever Few) & 8 (Live Dangerously)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.00: Three-year-olds come to the gig having secured four of the last seven renewals. GUANABARA BAY and EQUAL POINT represent the vintage this time around, with Martin Meade's recent raider GUANABARA BAY being the marginal call after a decent runner up effort at Yarmouth last time out. If the junior raiders are to be denied, course and distance winner LUCKY DI could prove to be the joker in the pack. Peter Hedger's six-year-old is one of only two course winners on the entire card!
Favourite factor: Seven renewals have slipped by since the only successful (4/1) favourite emerged in the opening evening during the last eleven years. Four of the nine winners were returned in double figures. That said, seven of the eleven favourites during the period secured toteplacepot positions.
Goodwood record of runners in the opening race:
1/5--Lucky Di (good)
5.35: I have doubled (and trebled) checked my stats suggesting that James Fanshawe saddles his first two-year-old runner here at Goodwood for at least five years in ENVISAGING, which is probably as good a 'tip' as you are likely to get in this column for Friday's sport. Having run well at the first time of asking at Sandown, Tom Queally's mount is (accordingly) the first name on the team sheet. Others of interest are the two experienced raiders, namely CELESTIAL SHPERES and KHALIDI.
Favourite factor: Two of the four market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (6/5) gold medallist.
6.05: Three of the five runners won their last races whereby their marks have obviously been affected. It is not coincidental that leading trainers in this sector Richard Hannon (PROCURATOR) and Mark Johnston (LA CASA TARIFA) have not swerved the race and their horses look set to snare at least one Placepot position between them according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 13/8 favourite only beat one home in a five runner 'short field' contest, the frame being filled by horses returned at 9/4 & 5/1. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses 'qualify' from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Record of Nursery runners for represented stables at all tracks this season up to and including Wednesday's sport:
0/8--Eve Johnson Houghton (Accidental Agent)
2/14--Tom Dasdcombe (Muirsheen Durkin)
5/40--Rochard Hannon (Procurator)
8/48--Mark Johnston (La Casa Tarifa)
No runners--Marcus Tregoning (Seafarer)
6.40: With four winners from his last ten runners under both codes at the time of writing, Alan King has his runners in fine form and TYRELL can maintain the momentum on behalf of the yard in this grade/company. No trainer has given William Twiston-Davies more winners than Alan King this season (six in total) and the bandwagon could roll on here to winning effect. CLEAR EVIDENCE is rated as the main threat, the Newmarket winner only having to repeat that effort on his penultimate assignment to go close.
Favourite factor: All three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (2/1) winner.
7.10: ROSTOVA is the only runner on the card for Sir Michael Stoute who boasts stats of 7/23 at Goodwood this season, a ratio which has produced level stake profits of six points. John Gosden has his team back in great order following a quiet spell by John's high standards, with LAUGH ALOUD nominated to make Michael's raider pull out all the stops in the shadow of the post.
Favourite factor: Both market leaders have missed out on Placepot positions thus far.
7.45: Last year's winner LIVE DANGEROUSLY returns to defend his crown and with a little bit of luck in running, trainer John Bridger could beat his personal best of 25 winners in a single year. John's six-year-old won on soft ground twelve months ago and there is plenty of rain on the radar though at the time of writing, just how much will fall (and exactly where) this weekend is open to question. Danny Brock's mount has won on good ground a couple of times, though not on a faster surface. Should firm feature anywhere in the going description by the time that the final race is conetsted, the likes of LAND OF DUBAI and FEVER FEW are likely to be there or thereabouts at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites has secured a Placepot position to date without winning its respective event.
Goodwood record of runners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/3--Live Dangerously (soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Friday:
3--Michael Attwater (0/6 at Goodwood this season)
3--Tony Carroll (2/8 - winners at 9/1 & 13/2)
3--Ron Harris (0/1)
3--Eve Johnson Johnson (0/12)
2--John Bridger (1/12 - winner at 7/4*)
2--Tom Dascombe (1/6 - winner at 5/2)
2--John Gosden (2/15 - winners at 9/2 & 10/11*)
2--Richard Hannon (6/49 - 16/1-7/1-9/2-9/2*-7/2-3/1)
2--Martyn Meade (0/2)
2--Phil York (---)
+ 20 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
44 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ffos Las: £71.80 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Hamilton: £113.90 - 8 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Newcastle: £998.70 - 7 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced
Newmarhet (July): £45.20 - 9 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced
Thirsk: £173.90 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Goodwood overview - 5 juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 5.35 & 6.05
6/26--Charlie Appleby (Celestial Spheres)
No runners--James Fanshawe (Envisaging)
4/21--John Gosden (Khalidi)
1/7--Ron Harris (Ropertcambellblack)
14/102--Richard Hannon (The Grape Escape)
2/19--Eve Johnson Johnon (Accidental Agent)
2/11--Tom Dascombe (Muirsheen Durkin)
14/102--Richard Hannon (Procurator)
15/77--Mark Johnston (La Casa Rarifa)
2/28--Marcus Tregoning (Seafarer)