FEBRUARY – FEBRUARY 10
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £133.60 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed -1 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (1.40): 1 (Alpine Secret), 3 (Magic Dancer) & 6 (Grand Coureur)
Leg 2 (2.10): 10 (Silent Steps) & 1 (Get On The Yager)
Leg 3 (2.40): 1 (Post War) & 7 (Savoy Court)
Leg 4 (3.10): 3 (Brandon Hill), 5 (Gorsky Island) & 1 (Vyta Du Roc)
Leg 5 (3.45): 13 (Lee Side Lady), 4 (Free Stone Hill), 8 (One Of Us) & 6 (Buffin Island)
Leg 6 (4.15): 2 (Politologue) & 1 (Pain Au Chocolat)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.40: Six of the eight winners to date have carried a minimum burden of 11-2 whereby ALPINE SECRET, MAGIC DANCER and GRAND COUREUR are offered chances in a weak opening contest, especially by Kempton standards. The first named raider hails from the Ben Pauling yard which secured a 14/1 double on the corresponding card twelve months ago.
Favourite factor: All five favourites had finished out of the frame since the inaugural (15/8) market leader obliged in 2008, before the 7/2 jolly scraped home by the minimum margin in 2013. Two of the last three favourites have finished second and third when securing Placepot places.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
1/2—Kepple Isle (good)
2.10: Six-year-olds have won five of the eight renewals and this year’s three representatives should best be represented by Nicky Henderson’s SILENT STEPS, the trainer having long since been the handler to follow at this venue, especially over timber. If six-year-olds fail to gain the day, the culprit should prove to be GET ON THE YAGER who contested a half decent event last time out at Warwick. Harry Skelton is back in the plate today which should ensure that GET ON THE YAGER will become competitive at the business end of proceedings though that said, conceding a stone to SILENT STEPS could prove to be a tough task. Peak To Peak will find these rivals a lot easier to handle than those in the ‘Challow’ last time out, though it’s difficult to ignore the way that the Paul Nicholls raider ‘capsized’ that day, albeit in hot company.
Favourite factor: Six of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (5/4) winner.
2.40: In the second heat of the previous event, six-year-olds are 4/5 to extend the good run before the form book is consulted. POST WAR is the call over beaten favourite SAVOY COURT, though other relevant raiders Like The Sound and Thomas Shelby cannot be entirely dismissed at the overnight stage.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous event on the card; six of the eight favourites having secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (5/4) winner.
3.10: Eight and nine-year-olds have shared the last eight renewals, with a pair of nine-year-olds (BRANDON HILL and GORSKY ISLAND) preferred to eight-year-old VYTA DU ROC on this occasion. Hat trick seeker BRANDON HILL has won four of his last five assignments, whereby Tom Lacey’s representative is difficult to oppose from a win perspective, irrespective of what the handicapper might think.
Favourite factor: We were awaiting the first successful favourite following seven renewals twelve months ago before the 3/1 market leader duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/9—Cloudy Bob (good)
3.45: Quantity rather than quality is in evidence here, with four selections needed to get us through to the last leg the Placepot mix on Friday. Listed in order of preference, I will settle on LEE SIDE LADY, FREE STONE HILL, ONE OF US and BUFFIN ISLAND.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Kempton card.
4.15: There is no way of dressing this race up other than by saying that the two runners both possess ability and plenty of potential whereby the job is easy for yours truly. I will simply include both runners in the Placepot mix in the last leg of our favourite wager, hoping that the horse with the fewest number of units prevails. If pushed for a selection, POLITOLOGUE would have to be the call, whereby I am hoping that PAIN AU CHOCOLAT scores!
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won, though the other four market leaders to date have missed out on toteplacepot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Dan Skelton (2/25 – loss of 14 points)
5—Nicky Henderson (8/28 – loss of 9 points)
4—Martin Keighley (No runners)
3—Claire Dyson (No runners)
3—Philip Hobbs (1/11 – loss of 6 points)
3—Paul Nicholls (4.20 – loss of 3 points)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (1/11 – loss of 2 points)
3—Oliver Sherwood (1/4 – Profit of 11 points)
2—Vic Dartnall (0/2)
2—Dominic Ffrench Davis (No runners)
2—Nick Gifford (0/2)
2—Warren Greatrex (0/2)
2—Alan King (5/16 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Tom Lacey (0/5)
2—Charlie Longsdon (3/5 – Profit of 16 points)
2—Laura Mongan (1/2 – Profit of 11 points)
2—David Pipe (0/3)
2—Paul Webber (0/8)
2—Nick Williams (0/4)
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
79 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Bangor was abandoned
Southwell: £51.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
There was no meeting at Newcastle