SANDOWN – FEBRUARY 17
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £24.10 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (1.40): 8 (Centurius), 4 (Barayami) & 3 (Cleni Wells)
Leg 2 (2.10): 1 (Pougne Bobbi) & 5 (Icing On The Cake)
Leg 3 (2.40): 1 (Colin’s Sister) & 5 (Theatre Territory)
Leg 4 (3.15): 3 (Troika Steppes), 6 (Rathlin Rose) & 4 (Ardkilly Witness)
Leg 5 (3.45): 4 (Percy Street) & 3 (Early Du Lemo)
Leg 6 (4.15): 1 (King Of Glory), 6 (Private Malone) & 3 (Knight Of Noir)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.40: Venetia Williams (CENTURIUS) and Jamie Snowden (BARAYMI) are sending out recent winners regarding the assembled trainers and it would come as no surprise to see either of their runners scoring in this grade/company. Jack Sherwood continues to impress in the saddle and though Chieftain’s Choice is weighted to reverse Kempton form with CLENI WELLS, I tend to side with horses that have actually won of late given that scenario.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished out with the washing to date.
2.10: Five of the last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-5 or more though unfortunately, those figures only eliminate one of the nine runners on this occasion. Nicky Henderson has negated the recent penalty incurred by POUGNE BOBBI for the recent Ludlow victory by hiring the services of a ‘conditional pilot’. ICING ON THE CAKE was a decent winner at Newbury on his penultimate start before failing to complete the course in the same Ludlow event which Pougne Bobbi won. There might not be much daylight between the pair if Oliver Sherwood’s seven-year-old safely negotiates the obstacles this time around.
Favourite factor: Five renewals have passed since the last favourite prevailed, albeit the top priced winner was returned at just 15/2 during the period. Just three of the seven favourites secured Placepot positions in those five years.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
2/5—Fairy Rath (2 x soft)
2.40: Anthony Honeyball has his team in good nick just now whereby I would not put an immediate line through the chance of his recent Warwick winner MS PARFOIS, despite the ‘rag quote’ of 12/1 in the trade press. That said from a win perspective, COLIN’S SISTER makes most appeal despite giving five pounds to all of her rivals. Coming to the gig on a four timer, Fergal O’Brien’s consistent mare has recorded an aggregate winning distance of 19 lengths via the three relevant victories under similar ground conditions to what she will encounter today. THEATRE TERRITORY is an interesting declaration if you are looking to take on the projected favourite.
Favourite factor: The three market leaders thus far have claimed two gold medals and one of the silver variety alongside Placepot positions.
3.15: Eight-year-olds have won four of the last five contests, though with only Bailey’s Dream representing the vintage this time around, even this self-confessed ‘anorak’ won’t be tempted to remain loyal to the cause. More likely winners of this year’s renewal of the ‘Royal Artillery’ include TROIKA STEPPES, RATHLIN ROSE and ARDKILLY WITNESS.
Favourite factor: Four of the last five favourites have finished in the frame, as have seven market leaders during the last decade.
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
1/2—Irish Thistle (soft)
3.45: Gary Moore’s 0/23 ratio at Sandown this season defies belief, given his haul of 10/25 the previous term, figures which produced level stake profits of 66 points! Gary has offered the green light to EARLY DU LEMO with a chance though once again, the stable looks set to be thwarted, this time by Nicky Henderson’s Taunton winner PERCY STREET.
Favourite factor: Six favourites have won during the last decade, with eight gold medallists have been returned at a top price of 3/1.
4.15: The nine winners during the last decade have carried eleven stones or more whereby the bottom four horses would normally be ignored. That said, the three pound claim of Charlie Deutsch catches the eye again and with KING OF GLORY carrying a feather weight accordingly, the heavy ground winner is added into the Placepot equation. PRIVATE MALONE and KNIGHT OF NOIR should also enable us to land the dividend if we make it through to the last leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last nine winners have scored at a top price of 5/1, statistics which include three successful market leaders.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/3—Peat The Feat (soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Venetia Williams (1/9 – loss of 4 points)
4—Gary Moore (0/23)
3—Nicky Henderson (7/15 – Profit of 9 points)
2—Tony Carroll (0/7)
2—Alan King (3/7 – Slight profit)
2—Fergal O’Brien (1/4 – Profit of 7 points)
2—David Pipe (0/2)
2—Oliver Sherwood (0/2)
2—Jamie Snowden (0/1)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (1/7 – loss of 3 points)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
53 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Fakenham: £64.20 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £223.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced
There was no meeting at Newcastle last year