CHEPSTOW – JANUARY 20
There is no history in place for this meeting
Friday's Placepot permutation at Chepstow:
Leg 1 (1.40): 2 (The Worlds End) & 1 (Testify)
Leg 2 (2.10): 3 (Robinsfirth), 1 (Battle Of Shiloh) & 8 (Maxanisi)
Leg 3 (2.45): 6 (Bells On Sunday) & 4 (Shaama Grise)
Leg 4 (3.20): 2 (Brownville), 3 (Altiepix) & 11 (Walk On Al)
Leg 5 (3.50): 9 (Twist On Ginge) & 2 (Dashing Perk)
Leg 6 (4.25): 8 (Gardiners Hill) & 1 (Bredon Hill Lad)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.40: The ground should not be too much of a problem for course and distance winner THE WORLDS END who should take the beating having made light of soft conditions last time out. Donald McCain’s northern raider TESTIFY appears to be the only threat.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
2/2—The Worlds End (good to soft & soft)
2.10: ROBINSFIRTH should receive five pounds from BATTLE OF SHILOH SHILOH (via the jockey claim) in a race which the pair could dominate at the business end of proceedings. The latter named Tom George raider is unbeaten in four start on these shores, the last two of which have been contested over the larger obstacles. The concession of weight could ensure that there is not much daylight between the pair at the jamstick. With precious little weight to carry by comparison, MAXANISI is also expected to figure prominently.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/3—Definite Outcome (good)
1/1—Tanit Rover (good to soft)
2.45: Tom Lacey and his team have been moving mountains of late, the latest figures revealing that Tom has produced 66 points of level stake profits via his last 11 winners, which have evolved around a 31% strike rate. Tom has declared BELLS ON SUNDAY for this contest and don’t be put off by the relatively unknown seven pound claimer Tommie O’Brien in the plate, as the pilot scored on a Lacey inmate at odds of 25/1 earlier this month. SHAAMA GRISE is the potential fly in the ointment but with forecast opportunities available for readers who enjoy placing bets apart for their Placepot wagers, this pair should offer profit potential, one way or the other.
Record of the course winner in the third event on the card:
1/2—Hidden Identity (good)
1/2—Bells On Sunday (heavy)
3.20: BROWNVILLE should prove difficult to kick out of the frame here, especially with the Twiston-Davies team back in form, not that they seem to be out of the money for long at any time of the year. A dual beaten favourite on his last two starts, there may not be a great deal of value for money in backing Sam’s mount to win but he is the first name in the Placepot mix for sure. Joining him there are ALTIEPIX and WALK ON AL. The reserve nomination is awarded to ALLCHILLEDOUT.
Record of the course winner in the fourth event:
1/2—Ugondo De Beaumont (soft)
4/9—Loughalder (2 x soft, good to soft & heavy)
1/3—Paddy The Oscar (good to soft)
3.50: The Twiston-Davies team (William is in the saddle this time around) boasts claims again here, with Nigel having offered the green light to TWIST ON GINGE whose Placepot claims look second to none. Sam sits aboard beaten favourite DASHING PERK for ‘the good Doctor’ and plenty of punters will give the beaten favourite another chance in this grade/company. It’s odds on in my book that one of the ‘TW pilots’ will lead the field home.
4.25: The last two runners sent out by David Rees have won and one of them (GARDINERS HILL) can defy a seven pound penalty to land the hat trick for the yard. That said, Misty Mai (2.45) might have already achieved that feat! BREDON HILL LAD is not often far away and looks the safest Placepot conveyance having used up more than my fair share of options in earlier races on the card. If I have overlooked one horse which I am worried about, EDEIFF’S LAD could be the relevant beast whereby a little saver might not go amiss if your permutation has survived this far.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chepstow card on Friday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Tim Vaughan (1/16 – loss of 13 points)
3—Peter Bowen (1/16 – loss of 7 points)
3—Bob Buckler (1/17 – loss of 15 points)
2—Rebecca Curtis (19/127 – loss of 29 points)
2—Tom George (12.59 – loss of 15 points)
2—Grace Harris (1/16 – loss of 10 points)
2—David Pipe (17/107 – loss of 27 points)
2—Dai Rees (3/17 – Profit of 23 points)
2—Matt Sheppard (10/45 – Profit of 34 points)
2—Dan Skelton (6/37 – slight loss)
2—Colin Tizzard (12/126 – loss of 35 points)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/103 – loss of 3 points)
2—Evan Williams (21/161 – loss of 1 point)
2—Nick Williams (3.33 – Profit of 14 points)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Musselburgh: £407.60 – 7 runners – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Lingfield: £37.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £399.60 – 7 favourites - 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced