LUDLOW – JANUARY 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £44.30 (6 favourites – 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (12.50): 1 (An Siltean) & 5 (Ckalco Des Loges)
Leg 2 (1.20): 1 (Overtown Express) & 2 (Baby KIng)
Leg 3 (1.50): 4 (Ballyhenry), 2 (Will O’The West) & 1 (Abricot De L’Aosis)
Leg 4 (2.20): 1 (Lord Landen), 2 (Midnight Jade) & 4 (Midnight Folie)
Leg 5 (2.50): 1 (Fidux) & 4 (Dan Bersy)
Leg 6 (3.20): 4 (Pearlesque), 3 (Oh Michelle) & 5 (Tangley)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.50: Five and six-year-olds have (equally) spilt the four contests to date, though the younger set lead 7-5 relating to the twelve vintage representatives which have totally dominated the Placepot positions. Five-year-old beaten favourite CKALCO DES LOGES should lead the relevant vintage raiders home, though whether Dan Skelton’s raider will beat six-year-old AN SILTEAN is another matter entirely.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have finished in the frame (one winner at 5/2) though as so often seems to be the case, the shortest Priced (8/11) market leader was the jolly which let the side down from a Placepot perspective.
1.20: All three winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2, stats which only support the chance Harry Fry’s top weighted raider OVERTOWN EXPRESS on this occasion. With six of the last nine runners from the stable having won, Niall Madden’s mount is the first name on the team sheet. There might be an argument made that BABY KING could atone for his beaten favourite status, especially with the Tom George team in such fine form. This pair should certainly see us through the next leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites has finished in the frame by winning its relevant event at odds of 15/8.
Record of course winners in the second race on the card:
1.50: All four horses to have claimed Placepot position to date have carried 11-4 or more, brief stats which bring in the likes of BALLYHENRY, WILL O’THE WEST and ABRICOT DE L’OASIS this time around. If there is a danger lurking below the weight barrier, Alan King’s MIDNIGHT COWBOY could emerge as the joker in the pack, bearing in mind that I readily admit that the trend is very much a work in progress at this early stage.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
Record of course winners in the second race on the card:
1/4—Midnight Target (good)
2.20: The bottom three horses in this ‘dead eight’ event fail the weight trend enquiry, whilst Midnight Folie is too young to win the race from what we have witnessed via four previous contests. That leaves four horses to assess, the pick of which should prove to be LORD LANDEN and MIDNIGHT JADE. As you might have deduced, all four winners have been aged at eight or more, whilst the relevant gold medallists all carried a minimum burden of 11-2. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to MIDNIGHT FOLIE despite the fact that Ben Pauling’s seven-year-old only possesses one tick in the two relevant trend boxes.
Favourite factor: Two of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions to date, statistics which include one (85/40) winner.
2.50: Alan King has been mopping up these juvenile hurdle events of late and this contest looks there for the taking for stable representative FIDUX who was a winner at the first time of asking at Catterick at the end of November. Battling on well that day to land a close finish, Wayne Hutchinson’s mount looks poised to successfully give upwards of seven pounds to all six rivals. Providing a heavy fall has not left a scar on DON BERSY, the Tom Symonds raider looks set to offer most resistance when the whips are up.
Favourite factor: This is a new event on the Ludlow card.
3.20: Nicky Henderson’s newcomer PEARLESQUE would not have be in possession of bundles of ability to go close at the first time of asking in this grade/company, especially when offering OH MICHELLE and TANGLEY as possible dangers. Both horses represent top trainers in Nigel Twiston-Davies and Harry Fry respectively, though such beasts would be a long way down the pecking order in both camps I’ll wager.
Favourite factor: Both the (10/11 & 13/8) favourites have finished well down their respective fields to date.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Friday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
4 winners—Harry Fry (4/20 – loss of 3 points)
3—David Bruce (0/2)
3—Nicky Henderson (24/88 – loss of 32 points)
3—Alan King (8/40 – Profit of seven points)
3—Dan Skelton (11/55 – slight loss)
3—Nigel Twiston-Davies (19/142 – loss of 60 points)
3—Evan Williams (41/253 (loss of 47 points)
2—David Bridgwater (1/25 – loss of 22 points)
2—Steve Flook (4/37 – Slight Profit)
2—Sue Gardner (0/10)
2—John Groucott (3/22 – Profit of 11 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (7/54 – slight loss)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (9/77 – loss of 38 points)
2—Ben Pauling (4/25 – Profit of 3 points)
+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
65 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Wetherby: No history attached to this meeting
Kempton (A/W): £1,858.10 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £52.40 – favourites – 5 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced