SANDOWN - JULY 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £353.20 (6 favourites: No winners - All 6 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (2.20): 6 (Sahreej), 8 (Ladwebh) & 7 (Newton's Law)
Leg 2 (2.50): 7 (The Last Lion) & 5 (Pretty Vacant)
Leg 3 (3.25): 6 (Naval Warfare), 3 (Glendur) & 5 (Maths Prize)
Leg 4 (4.00): 2 (Ayrad) & 3 (Spark Plug)
Leg 5 (4.30): 9 (Altarsheed), 10 (Threat Assessed) & 12 (Both Sides)
Leg 6 (5.05): 5 (Desdichado) & 7 (Champagne Champ)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: 13 of the last 17 winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less, whereby this year’s three qualifiers are all under consideration, with SAHREEJ, LADWEBH and NEWTON'S LAW being listed in order of overnight preference. Last year's 9/2 winner (Midlander) was the first name on my team sheet via the weight trend.
Favourite factor: 22 favourites (including joint and co market leaders) have gone to post in the last 19 years and just three favourites have reached the frame during the period (no winners).
2.50: Three of the last four winners have contested Royal Ascot‘s Norfolk Stakes on their previous starts and with Mark Johnston having won this race last year, THE LAST LION was only denied by half a length in the relevant Ascot juvenile event a couple of weeks ago. The are not too many two-year-old race that offer such strong trends whereby we have to latch on to supposed 'good things' when they become available! Stable companion MAILSHOT and PRETTY VACANT are expected to fight out the minor honours.
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 23 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.
3.25: Eight of the last nine winners have scored at a top price of 6/1, despite the fact that five successive favourites were beaten in the contest before the 2014 (2/5) market leader obliged. ‘Team Hannon‘ have not won this race since 2007 which diverts me away from Richard's pair on this occasion, preferring to short list NAVAL WARFARE, GLENDUN and MATHS PRIZE in this tough seven furlong contest for 'babies' up the Sandown hill.
Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won during the last 19 years (including eight of the last 15), whilst 12 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.
4.00: Three-year-olds won five of the first eight renewals, though junior raiders have not won this contest since 2007. Races for horses that find themselves weighted out of handicap races whilst lacking enough class to win ordinary Group events clash in Listed races like this all too often for my liking, with yours truly far preferring looking at younger horses who are improving, as opposed to those that have reached (and often passed) their peak. In truth this is a wide open contest despite the lack of numbers and my pin has fallen on AYRAD and SAPRK PLUG ahead of Gm Hopkins.
Favourite factor: Nine of the 14 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four of the last seven winners. The last 12 gold medallists have scored at odds of 7/1 or less.
4.30: Three-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals, whilst securing seven victories during the last eleven years. ALTARSHEED and THREAT ASSESSED are given the nod over BOTH SIDES, though all three horses will probably represent yours truly in my Placwepot permutation. If the trend goes base over apex this time around, the joker in the pack could prove to be OASIS SPEAR from Chris Wall's in form yard.
Favourite factor: Eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last 19 years, whilst four of the last nine contests have been claimed by market leaders of one description or another.
5.05: Seven of the last fourteen winners have carried weight of 9-7 or more, whilst four-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals. The stats led me to opt for last year's 5/1 winner (Sweeping Up) and hoping for another gold medallist, I am homing in on DESDICHADO at the time of writing. Fellow four-year-old CHAMPAGNE CHAMP and THE NEW PHARAOH look sure to offer challenges at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: Six of the 14 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions thus far, though just one joint market leader has claimed the gold medal. That said, 10 of the last 12 winners of the toteplacepot finale have scored at a top price of 6/1.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Friday:
5--Richard Hannon (3/14 at Sandown this season - winners at 6/1 - 5/2 -7/2)
4--Brian Meehan (0/3)
3--Andrew Balding (0/10)
3--Mark Johnston (1/12 - winner at 5/2)
2--Ralph Beckett (3/11 - winners at 11/1 - 11/1 - 5/4*)
2--Roger Charlton (1/6 - winner at 3/1)
2--Ed Dunlop (2/3 - winners at 9/2 twice)
2--John Gallagher (0/1)
2--Charlie Hills (0/5)
2--Chris Wall (---)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
55 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year + trainer stats
Beverley - £88.70 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Doncaster - £18.90 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced
Haydock - £194.10 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Newton Abbot - £114.90 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Sandown - see figures above - 97/1 treble secured by Mark Johnston on last year's card
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends & trainer stats
Beverley - £146.20 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Carlisle - £54.10 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced - Keith Dalgleish secured a 17/1 double last year
Haydock - £319.80 - 8 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 4 unplaced - Tom Dascombe notched 26/1 double
Leicester - £99.00 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Nottingham - £246.10 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced
Sandown - see stats above - John Gosden secured a 4/1 double twelve months ago
Sandown overview - 5 year record of represented trainers with juveniles running at Sandown on Friday:
2/21--Brian Meehan (Await The Storm)
0/7--Jim Boyle (El Torito)
1/9--Harry Dunlop (Just An Idea)
4/26--Mark Johnston (Mailshot & The Last Lion)
2/11--Roger Varian (Pretty Vacant)
0/4--David Evans (Smokey Lane)
11/57--Richard Hannon (Stormy Clouds)
1/7--Sylvester Kirk (Arborist)
0/4--Alan King (City Dreamer)
2/21--Brian Meehan (Glendun)
11/57--Richard Hannon (Larchmont Lad & Plant Pot Power)
1/7--Roger Charlton (Maths Prize)
3/37--Andrew Balding (Naval Warfare)
1/11--Ed Dunlop (Oceanus)
0/4--Brett Johnson (Rakematiz)
0/10--Ralph Beckett (Western Duke)
0/5--John Gallagher (Junoesque)
0/1--Roger Ingram (Onomatopeia)