SANDOWN – JUNE 10
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £79.60 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 placed)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (1.45): 1 (Hilario), 5 (Apamurra) & 8 (Vote)
Leg 2 (2.20): 3 (Desert Haze) & 5 (Bocking End)
Leg 3 (2.55): 7 (Wefait), 5 (Monticello) & 2 (Celestial Spheres)
Leg 4 (3.30): 9 (Bermondsey) & 2 (Master Of Irony)
Leg 5 (4.05): 3 (Shabbah) & 4 (Both Sides)
Leg 6 (4.40): 2 (Palenville), 7 (Firesnake) & 1 (Black Bess)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.45: Nine of the last thirteen favourites had won this opening event before the 'new Novice' changeover rules came into effect and though Richard Hannon has three runners in the contest, HILARIO and APAMURRA might dominate proceedings at the business end of the contest. VOTE has been put in at 16/1 in the overnight trade press prices which makes for interesting reading. The James Eustace raider has been taken out of quite a few races of late and I know for a fact that the trainer (and connections) rate this Aqlaam filly quite highly whereby it will be worth keeping an eye on their February foal when (probably) dropped in grade next time out.
Favourite factor: This is what the BHA now describe as a new race with which to open proceedings at Sandown on Friday.
2.20: Horses carrying a maximum burden of nine stones have secured eight of the fourteen available toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four (10/1-8/1-9/2-3/1) of the five winners. Five of the seven declarations ‘qualify’ via the weight trends this time around, whereby DESERT HAZE, and BOCKING END will probably represent yours truly on Friday, the duo being listed in marginal order of preference at the time of writing. The stat that goes against us is that Richard Hannon (OUT OF THE DARK) comes to the gig on a hat trick having saddled the last two (10/1) winners.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via five renewals, statistics which include one (3/1) winner.
2.55: ‘Team Hannon’ (WEFAIT) leads Mark Johnston (MONICELLO) 3-2 via recent renewals and I would be very surprised if both horses finished out of the frame. That said, CELESTIAL SPHERES cannot be left out of the overnight equation. Charlie Appleby and William Buick have been teaming up to great effect of late (albeit mainly at Goodwood) whereby CELESTIAL SPHERES is the first name on the team sheet.
Favourite factor: 11 of the 22 favourites have finished in the frame during the 17 year study period, statistics which include nine winners.
3.30: Four-year-olds have secured 18 of the last 31 available toteplacepot positions in this event to date, as well as winning four of the ten contests for good measure (stats include a 12/1 chance). Four-year-olds are 7/5 to extend the trend before the form book is taken into consideration, with BERMONDSEY, MASTER OF IRONY and HAROLD LLOYD at the head of the overnight list.
Favourite factor: Seven of the eleven favourites have finished in the frame to date (exact science), statistics which include three (11/4, 2/1 & Evens) winners.
Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1/5--Croquembouch (good to firm)
1/2--Harold Lloyd (good)
4.05: Market leaders have a fine record in this three-year-old handicap event (see details below) which bucks the trend in many similar contests on the racing calendar. Nine of the ten winners have carried a minimum of 9-1 (seven of the last eight were burdened with 9-3 or more) whereby SHABBAH and BOTH SIDES come to the fore as I scribble down Friday’s thoughts. My trio against the other five declarations (taking jockey claims into account) is completed by an each way alternative option, namely JIM DANDY.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won 5/10 of the contests to date, whist seven of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.
4.40: PALENVILLE last contested the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot and with the great meeting on the horizon, it does not take a wizard to confirm that twelve months have nearly lapsed since Simon Crisford's raider last visited a racecourse. A decent winner of a previous Newmarket event, Simon Crisford's ex Richard Hannon gold medallist has to be included in the overnight mix. Others to consider in the Placepot finale include FIRESNAKE and BLACK BESS.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions via three renewals to date. Two of the three relevant horses won their respective events at 13/8 and 7/2**.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Friday:
5--Richard Hannon (18/138 at Sandown during the last five years - this year's ratio: 2/9)
4--Ralph Beckett (5/50 - 1/3)
4--Tom Dascombe (5/35 - 0/1)
2--Andrew Balding (20/158 - 0/6)
2--Karl Burke (5/26 - 1/1)
2--Mick Channon (9/84 - 1/6)
2--Clive Cox (9/75 - 2/3)
2--Luke Dace (2/22 - 1st runners this season)
2--Mark Johnston (7/88 - 0/7)
2--Alan King (1/13 - 1/3)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
55 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Aintree: £55.30 (6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced)
Chepstow: £87.20 (6 favouriters - 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced)
Goodwood: £61.20 (6 favourites - 2 winners & 4 unplaced)
Newton Abbot (184.30 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
York: £1,711.20 (7 favourites - No winners - 1 placed - 6 unplaced)
Five year record of represented trainers of their juveniles at Sandown:
Only Richard Hannon (1/2) has saddled a two-year-old winner at the track this season.
2/21--Charlie Hills (Hilario)
2/20--Brian Meehan (Mutawakked)
10/53--Richard Hannon (Sans Souci Bay - Blue Suede - Somebody To Love)
1/8--Tom Dascombe (White Chin)
3/24--Mark Johnston (Apamurra)
0/2--James Eustace (Vote)
1/8--Tom Dascombe (Baker Street)
5/15--Charlie Appleby (Celestial Spheres)
5/29--Mick Channon (Ingleby Mackenzie)
3/36--Andrew Balding (Manolito De Madrid)
3/24--Mark Johnston (Monticello)
1/6--Slyvester Kirk (Star Maker)
10/53 (Richard Hannon (Wefait)