SANDOWN – JUNE 16
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £160.00 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 placed)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (2.00): 10 (Glaceon) & 7 (New Empire)
Leg 2 (2.35): 9 (Sallab), 8 (Musbaq) & 2 (Falmouth Light)
Leg 3 (3.10): 1 (Native Soldier), 12 (Call Me Grumpy) & 4 (Endless Gold)
Leg 4 (3.45): 2 (Shargiah) & 4 (Proctor)
Leg 5 (4.20): 9 (Midnight Vixen) & 4 (Time Chaser)
Leg 6 (4.50): 3 (Archetype), 1 (Romanor) & 4 (Jupiter Light)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday (includes Sandown 2YO stats and facts) - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Nine of the last thirteen favourites had won this opening event before the 'new Novice' changeover rules came into effect last year. Peter Chapple-Hyam targets juvenile races well enough to know that his York flop NEW EMPIRE will figure more prominently here with a run under his belt which was very much needed on the Knavesmire form what we witnessed. GLACEON has to be the call however with Ryan Moore booked to ride, the ex-champion having finished one place in front of the selection on his course and distance debut.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/4 market leader finished out with the washing.
2.35: ‘Team Hannon’ (SALLAB) and Mark Johnston (MUSBAQ and FALMOUTH LIGHT) stand level at 3-3 via recent renewals and I would be very surprised if all three horses finished out of the frame. That said, the declarations of CONNECT and GEORGE VILLIERS complicates matters.
Favourite factor: 12 of the 23 favourites have finished in the frame during the 18 year study period, statistics which include nine winners.
3.10: With five of his last sixteen runners having won at the time of writing, William Haggas has carried on the great work during my leave of absence and with NATIVE SOLDIER have been dropped a few pounds by the official assessor, William could be greeting another gold medallist on Friday afternoon. That said, this is a lively three-year-old handicap and no mistake, with connections of CALL ME GRUMPY and ENDLESS GOLD also have solid reasons for fancying their respective chances.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions via four renewals to date. Two of the three relevant horses won their respective events at 13/8 and 7/2**.
3.45: Four-year-olds have secured 19 of the last 34 available toteplacepot positions in this event to date, as well as winning five of the eleven contests for good measure (stats include a 12/1 chance). Last year’s first named representative won at 11/2. Four-year-olds are 4/5 to extend the trend before the form book is taken into consideration, with SHARGIAH and PROCTOR at the head of the overnight list.
Favourite factor: Seven of the twelve favourites have finished in the frame to date (exact science), statistics which include four (11/4, 2/1, 5/4 & Evens) winners.
Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
2/2--Proctor (2 x good)
1/5--Zamperini (good to soft)
4.20: Horses carrying a maximum burden of nine stones have secured ten of the sixteen available toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include five (10/1-8/1-9/2-3/1-5/4) of the five winners. Only one of the nine declarations ‘qualify’ via the weight trends this time around, whereby MIDNIGHT VIXEN is the first name on the team sheet. Roger Charlton had been going through a slightly lean spell by his high standards before securing a 65/1 double at Kempton on Wednesday, with his Sunbury winner TIME CHASER representing the stable this time around. You could hardly get two different circuits than Sandown and Chester, a factor which makes yours truly overlook Highland Pass here, despite the ease of her victory on the Roodee the last day.
Favourite factor: Five of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via six renewals, statistics which include two (3/1 & 5/4) winners.
4.50: Market leaders have a fine record in this three-year-old handicap event (see details below) which bucks the trend in many similar contests on the racing calendar. Ten of the eleven winners have carried a minimum of 9-1 (eight of the last nine were burdened with 9-3 or more) whereby ARCHETYPE, ROMANOR and JUPITER LIGHT form my permutation in the Placepot finale.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won 6/11 of the contests to date, whist eight of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Sandown card on Friday with their ratios this season in brackets:
4 runners—Mark Johnston (1/5 – loss of 1 point)
4—Stuart Williams (No previous runners this season)
3—Andrew Balding (0/3)
3—Ralph Beckett (0/5)
3—Richard Hannon (2/14 – level profit/loss this season)
3—Amanda Perrett (No runners)
2—John Best (0/1)
2—Roger Charlton (1/4 – loss of 1 point)
2—Clive Cox (2/6 – Profit of 20 points)
2—Charlie Fellowes (No runners)
2—John Gosden (1/9 – loss of 3 points)
2—William Haggas (0/1)
2—Charlie Hills (0/5)
2—Richard Hughes (No runners)
2—Martin Meade (No runners)
2—Roger Varian (2/3 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Ian Williams (No runners)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Aintree: £1,217.80 (7 favourites - No winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced)
Chepstow: £23.10 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Goodwood: £381.00 (6 favourites - No winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)
Newton Abbot: £370.80 (6 favourites - No winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
York: £170.00 (7 favourites - No winners - 2 placed - 5 unplaced)
Five year record of represented trainers of their juveniles at Sandown:
Mark Johnston (Branscombe) – 5/26 – loss of 8 points
Roger Charlton (Dream Prospect) – 2/13 – loss of 9 points
Gay Kelleway (Global Academy) – 0/2
Charlie Hills (Global Passion) – 2/15 – Profit of 7 points
Richard Hughes (Haven’s View) – 0/2
John Best (Mossketeer) – 0/3)
Peter Chapple-Hyam (New Empire) – 1/1 – Slight profit
Gary Moore (Swift Fox) – 0/8
Stuart Williams (Wiff Waff) – 0/5
Richard Hannon (Glaceon) – 13/75 – slight loss
Clive Cox (Connect) – 2/17 – loss of 8 points
Mark Johnston (Falmouth Light & Musbaq) – 5/26 –loss of 8 points
Ralph Beckett (Font Vert) – 1/11 – loss of 8 points
John Gosden (George Villiers) – 6/22 – Profit of 3 points
Seamus Durack (Giovanni Villiers) – 1/4 – Profit of 1 point
Andrew Balding (Master Of Wine) – 3/35 – loss of 20 points
Ian Williams (Matewan) – 0/3
Richard Hannon (Sallib) – 13/75 – slight loss
Charlie Fellowes (Vice Marshal) – 0/1