Placepot pointers – Friday May 20

HAYDOCK – MAY 20

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £2,207.00 (6 favourites: No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Haydock: 

Leg 1 (6.30): 7 (Ferdy), 1 (Lostock Hall) & 3 (Merchant Of Medici)

Leg 2 (7.00): 3 (Pretty Vacant), 1 (Devilish Guest) & 4 (Prince Of Cool)

Leg 3 (7.30): 1 (Cotai Glory), 4 (Double Up) & 3 (Kingsgate Native)

Leg 4 (8.00): 2 (Baadi) & 1 (Newera)

Leg 5 (8.30): 6 (Superyacht) & 2 (Corinthian)

Leg 6 (9.00): 5 (Chosen Character) & 4 (Sarmadee)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

6.30: Paul Green tends to start saddling winners at this time of year (Paul is very much a 'summer trainer') whereby FERDY can go close to following up a successful stable companion at odds of 12/1 on Monday.  I doubt that the layers will be that generous in this routine event, with connections probably fearing LOSTOCK HALL and MERCHANT OF MEDICI more than most, the latter named course winner having gained his last three successes at this venue.

Favourite factor: One of the two market leaders (winner of the relevant event at 85/40) has secured a Placepot position thus far.

Record of course winners in the opening event:

3/7--Merchant Of Medici (all three wins on good and either side of good)

7.00: PRETTY VACANT still held an entry for Nottingham on Sunday at the time of writing which might prove to be the easier contest to win but that said, trainer Roger Varian boasts a 21% strike rate with his juveniles at this venue during the last five years (see listings at the foot of the column).  Roger's Elzaam colt is the first name on the team sheet, followed by DEVILISH GUEST and PRINCE OF COOL.

Favourite factor: Seven of the eleven favourites have finished in the frame (exact science) in recent years, statistics which include two successful market leaders from a win perspective.

7.30: Last year's winner KINGSGATE NATIVE returns to defend his crown.  Running off a one pound higher mark this time around, Robert Cowell's raider carries the same weight and looks poised to go close again, despite the fact that the sprint king trainer has also declared Encore D'Or, though the four-year-old has plenty to prove on the book.  Likelier winners include COTAI GLORY and DOUBLE UP.  The alternative each way shout is for CANNY KOOL in an interesting contest.

Favourite factor: Aside from two winners via seven contests thus far, the other five favourites all missed out on Placepot positions.

Draw details (latest renewal listed first) - 5 furlongs:

2-5-7 (8 ran - good - 11/1-3/1-12/1)

5-1-4 (9 ran- good to soft - 6/1-7/1-33/1)

10-9-3 (11 ran - good to firm - 10/1-10/1-9/2)

7-5 (7 ran - good to firm - 12/1 & 2/1)

6-2 (5 ran - good to firm - 4/5* & 5/2)

2-5-1 (8 ran - good - 9/4* - 5/1 - 12/1)

10-11-1 (11 ran - good - 14/1-13/2-7/1)

Record of course winners in the third race:

1/2--Take Cover (heavy)

3/8--Kingsgate Native (all three gained under fast conditions)

8.00: Four and six-year-olds have (equally) shared the six contests to date, whilst five of the winners scored at a top price of 5/1.  Showers are forecast in the Haydock area for Friday whereby connections of BAADI might be grateful of a late start for their raider.  Having run well in three of his four races to date, his worst performance was under faster conditions though to be entirely fair, that effort was on his first day at school.  Certainly the Charlie Fellowes Dansili representative would be a strong choice if enough moisture got into the ground to change the going description.  Others of interest include NEWERA and HUBERTAS.

Favourite factor: The favourite record is the same as in the previous contest, in that two of the seven market leaders have finished in the frame by winning their respective events, albeit via just six renewals.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest:

3/6--Newera (all three gained either side of good ground)

1/5--Itlaaq (good to soft)

1/7--Zenafire good to firm)

8.30: Sir Michael Stoute has three entries (countrywide) on Friday, the best of which might prove to be SUPERYACHT who could get favourite backers off the hook if results have gone against such investors earlier on the card in a race which has been dominated by market leaders of late (see stats below).  Michael seems to have found a decent opportunity for his Fastnet Rock colt to atone for a narrow defeat at this venue last time out.  Roger Varian's Sea The Stars newcomer CORINTHIAN is the potential joker in the pack however.  I cannot envisage both horses finishing out of the (Placepot) frame.

Favourite factor:  A 50/1 chance brought an unexpected end to a run of seven successive victories for market leaders in this event twelve months ago.

9.00: A little rain would not go amiss for course specialist CHOSEN CHARACTER, even though it has taken eighteen outings at the track to 'convert five tries' up here in an area in which Rugby League figures heavily via sport enthusiasts.  SARMADEE represents the successful bandwagon of Mick Channon and Silvestre De Sousa, whilst JUST BE LUCKY completes my trio against the other nine contenders in the 'lucky last'.

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Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Haydock card.

Record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:

5/18--Chosen Character (on ground from good through to heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Friday:

3--Mick Channon (8/94 at Haydock - five year record

3--Roger Varian (24/97)

2--Michael Appleby (3/43)

2--Andrew Balding (9/56)

2--Michael Bell (3/53)

2--Robert Cowell (3/30)

2--Tom Dascombe (38/209)

2--Mick Easterby (1/48)

2--James Given (2/26)

2--Paul Green (4/68)

2--James Moffat (0/6)

2--Alan Swinbank (4/43)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

55 declared runners

 

General overview:

Corresponding Placepot dividends last year: 

Carlisle: £596.90

Catterick: £86.90 - 12/1 double for Ann Duffield on last year's card - 3 runners on Friday

Goodwood: £75.80

Stratford: £2,175.80

 

Haydock overview: 

Five year 2YO record of represented trainers with juveniles in the two-year-old race (7.00) on Friday:

3/34--Mick Channon (Devilish Guest)

1/18--Michael Bell (Hart Stopper)

5/24--Roger Varian (Pretty Vacant)

2/6--James Given (Prince Of Cool)

0/3--David Dennis (Three C'S)

3/66--Mark Johnston (Bridal March)

2/18--David Brown (Sky Gypsy)

 

 

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