HAYDOCK - SEPTEMBER 2
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £372.00 (7 favourites - 2 winners & 5 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Haydock:
Leg 1 (2.10): 4 (Helmsdale) & 5 (Mary Anne Evans)
Leg 2 (2.45): 6 (Harba) & 5 (Grey Though Art)
Leg 3 (3.20): 10 (Bapack Asmara), 4 (Pomme De Terre) & 2 (Ustinov)
Leg 4 (3.55): 12 (Apricot Sky), 7 (Desert Ace) & 15 (Orient Class)
Leg 5 (4.30): 7 (Muzjawaj) & 8 (El Vip)
Leg 6 (5.00): 4 (Valley Of Fire), 1 (Alnashama) & 2 (Exchequer)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Considering that they represent the strong juvenile yards of Richard Hannon and John Gosden respectively, HELMSDALE and MAERY ANNE EVANS have failed to pull up a single tree between them thus far but that said, both horses have been well placed here to get their careers on track here. That said, similar comments apply to Al Nafoorah.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 7/4 favourites duly obliged.
2.45: Plenty of leading yards involved here whereby money in the morning will prove influential but without that advantage available to yours truly, I'll opt for HARBA, GREY THOU ART and VERMILON, capturing what thoughts I have at the time of writing. I love the quote of William Haggas which suggests about the first named runner that FRANKEL has all the best mares covered, "how can he fail to succeed", and that was before any of his juveniles had seen a racecourse!
Favourite factor: Three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via five renewals, statistics which include two (11/10 & 1/3) winners.
3.20: Eight of the nine winners have carried 9-2 or more to victory thus far, whilst four-year-olds have claimed four of the last seven contests. Vintage representatives have also secured 11 of the last 16 available toteplacepot positions whereby BAPAK ASMARA, POMME DE TERRE and USTINOV are my short listed trio against the field in a tough handicap to (otherwise) assess. Red Tycoon is not easily passed by given the fact that he was David Barron's only winner via 48 runners during the month of July. Favourite factor: Four of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners) though rogue gold medallists have reared their ugly (25/1-14/1-9/1) heads along the way.
Haydock record of runners in the third race:
1/1--Cosmic Chatter (good to firm)
1/1--Bapak Asmara (good to soft)
3.55: All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-3, whilst David Nicholls has saddled the three of the last four winners in races in which the stable was represented. David saddles two runners this time around, with APRICOT SKY coming to the gig on a hat trick. PEARL ACCLAIM is the other stable representative, with DESERT ACE and ORIENT CLASS nominated as the dangers, especially as five-year-olds filled the frame twelve months ago, whilst the afore mentioned pair emerge from the in form yards of Iain Jardine and Paul Midgley respectively.
Favourite factor: Four of the eight favourites (via seven renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders.
Haydock record of runners in the fourth race:
1/2--Willbeme (good to firm)
2/8--Ballesteros (good to soft & heavy)
2/9--Rusty Rocket (good to soft & soft)
2/3--Apricot Sky (good & good to soft)
1/2--Orient Class (heavy)
1/3--Thorntoun Lady (good to firm)
4.30: Three-year-olds have won four of the five contests, stats which are even more impressive when you consider that last year's successful 4/1 vintage representative was the only 'junior' runner in the contest. Understandably, trainers have woken up accordingly with four relevant entries this time around, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be MUZDAWAJ, EL VIP and GREAT ORDER. The latter named raider represents the Saeed Bin Suroor yard and bearing in mind that Saeed had only saddled three runners this month at the time of writing because of sickness in the yard, I feel inclined to favour the other pair.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have claimed Placepot positions, though only one winning (11/8) market leader has been recorded.
Haydock record of runners in the fifth race:
2/8--Capo Rosso (good & good to firm)
1/3--Lord Ben Stack (good to soft)
1/8--Silvery Moon (heavy)
5.00: Four and five-year-olds had (equally) shared the four renewals of the toteplacepot finale to date, with three of the four gold medallists having carried a maximum burden of 9-3 at the time. A four-year-old carrying 9-5 continued the trends twelve months ago whereby VALLEY OF FIRE, ALNASHAMA and EXCHEQUER are the leading players from my viewpoint, with Ballymore Castle offered up as the alternative each way option.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (including winners at 7/2, 7/2 & 2/1), though search parties are still out looking for the other 5/1 market leader.
Haydock record of runners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/3--George William (good to firm)
1/2--Free Code (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Friday - Stats compliled before Thursday's sport was contested):
7--Richard Fahey (5/59 at Haydock this season - winners at 7/2*-11/4*-5/2*-7/4*-6/4*)
4--Tom Dascombe (10/55 - Prices ranging between 13/8* & 50/1)
4--William Haggas (9/21 - Prces ranging between 4/6* & 4/1)
4--David O'Meara (6/33 - winners at 16/1-8/1-15/2-7/1-7/2*-10/3*)
3--Ruth Carr (0/6)
3--Tim Easterby (5/40 - winners at 12/1-17/2-7/1-6/1-4/1)
3--Jim Goldie (0/2)
3--Richard Hannon (6/31 - winners at 12/1-11/2-5/1-5/1*-9/2-9/4*)
3--Charlie Hills (1/10 - winner at 1/3*)
2--Eric Alston (0/17)
2--David Barron (0/9)
2--Michael Dods (1/12 - winner at 2/1)
2--Ed Dunlop (1/6 - winner at 10/11*)
2--Mick Easterby (1/7 - winner at 15/2)
2--John Gosden (2/13 - winners at 10/1 & Evens*)
2--Micky Hammond (1/6 - winner at 16/1)
2--Brian Meehan (1/4 - winner at 6/4)
2--David Nicholls (0/2)
2--David Simcock (0/7)
2--Brian Smart (0/2)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
56 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ascot: £2,238.50 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Kempton: £56.70 - No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced
Musselburgh: £8.70 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Newcastle: £24.60 - 7 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced (on Turf last year - A/W now)
Haydock overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.10 & 2.45 - Stats compiled before Thursday's sport was contested:
1/8--Ed Dunlop (Al Nafoorah)
9/90--Tom Dascombe (Astrolabe)
0/1--Henry Spiller (Canterbury Quad)
7/55--Richard Hannon (Helmsdale)
9/22-John Gosden (Mary Anne Evans)
No runners--Tony Carroll (Assertor)
0/5--David Sumcock (Cool Breeze & Vista Steppe)
9/90--Tom Dascombe (Earth Kit)
4/13--Clive Cox (Foxcatcher)
1/6--Henry Candy (Grey Though Art)
7/18--William Haggas (Harba)
No runners--Charlie Fellowes (Moonlit Show)
0/14--Bryan Smart (Outfox)
4/31--Charlie Hills (Spring Eternal)
5/26--Brian Meehan (Think Fashion)
3/33--Ed Walker (Vermilion)