WOLVERHAMPTON – FEBRUARY 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £762.00 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (5.10): 3 (Crown Walk) & 1 (Feathery)
Leg 2 (5.40): 2 (Iconic Sunset), 1 (Battle Lines) & 4 (Illusional)
Leg 3 (6.10): 6 (Star Archer) & 7 (Qaffaal)
Leg 4 (6.40): 3 (Haines) & 2 (Dubawi Fifty)
Leg 5 (7.10): 8 (Camino), 5 (Barnsdale) & 7 (Lambrini Legacy)
Leg 6 (7.40): 8 (Sir Harry Collins), 9 (Storm Lightning) & 10 (Go Charlie)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.10: Three-year-olds have won all nine renewals to date, albeit via the thick end of 70% of the total number of runners. Junior raiders are 2/5 to extend the trend before form is taken into account, with three-year-old CROWN WALK listed ahead of four-year-old FEATHERY on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Ignoring the Novice status of this event which suggests it is a new contest, six of the last seven market leaders claimed Placepot positions by winning their respective events. Government health warning; I notice that the distance of this event has changed as well, whereby you might want to take the ‘new race’ as read. For this reason, I will not be continuing the stats next year, marking this as the ‘new regime’.
5.40: Mark Johnston has long since been known as the leading trainer of three-year-old handicappers north of Watford whereby ILLUSIONAL will be a popular choice. Intensive study down the years has illustrated to yours truly that the negative profit/loss figures for James Tate purely suggests that his winners invariably score when well backed whereby ICONIC SUNSET (attracting money on the exchanges as I write in the dead of night) must be included in the equation. BATTLE LINES is a stable companion of ICONIC SUNSET whose odds have retracted as well which complicates matters.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/4 favourite finished out of the frame before last year’s market leader frustratingly finished fourth for those that included the favourite in the Placepot mix.
6.10: Four-year-old STAR ARCHER comes to the gig on a hat trick, with vintage representatives having secured four of the nine available Placepot positions via less than 25% of the total number of runners. STAR ARCHER also happens to be the only runner on the Placepot card at Wolverhampton with a 100% strike rate at the track, albeit via just the one relevant assignment to date. Last year’s winner PACTOLUS is a threat on the best of his form, whilst QAFFAAL looks too big at 15/2 in a place (Betbright) in this ‘short field’ contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only first two horse home qualify from Placepot and each way perspectives.
Favourite factor: Three market leaders had all claimed Placepot positions (including one 6/4) winner) before last year’s 3/1 market leader let the side down.
Record of the course winners in the field:
1/3—Third Time Lucky
6.40: HAINES has been found a fine opportunity to follow up his win in this race last year, albeit the Andrew Balding raider’s ratio at the track has slipped to less than 17% in recent times. Only DUBAWI FIFTY is being backed to beat Andrew’s Shirocco gelding at the time of writing, whilst Velvet Revolution looks booked for the bronze medal in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: Ignore the fact that this is a ‘new race’ as indicated in the trade press because this event was run on the Wednesday of this week last year instead of the Monday. As suggested before, don’t believe ALL you read!
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
7.10: Although there are six course winners in the field, it is worth noting that their aggregate ratio via seven victories to date stands at just 12.5%, a stat which will offer layers plenty of confidence going into the last two Placepot events. Nine of the last twelve gold medallists have carried a maximum burden of nine stones which offers tentative chances to the likes of CAMINO. BARNSDALE and LAMBRINI LEGACY.
Favourite factor: Eight of the thirteen favourites have secured Placepot positions in as many years, statistics which include three winners.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
7.40: This is the second division of the previous race whereby the same weight stats apply. Another six course winners (as in the first division) line up but in this instance, their collective current Wolverhampton ratio stands at 11.5%, even though 15 success have been recorded! Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that SIR HARRY COLLINS, STORM LIGHTNING and GO CHARLIE can snare a Placepot position or two between them, hopefully landing the dividend on our behalf.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the card, whereby the same stats apply; eight of the thirteen favourites have secured Placepot positions in as many years, statistics which include three winners.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
6/36—Give Us A Belle
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Wolverhampton card on Monday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) ratios and five year figures at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Michael Appleby (2/26 – loss of 11 points) – 57/498 – loss of 137
3—Alan Berry (0/1) – 1/60 – loss of 55
3—Richard Fahey (1/12 - +5) – 64/509 – loss of 50
3—Lisa Williamson (0/4) – 10/203 – loss of 93
2—Michael Attwater (First runners at Wolves this season) – 4/32 – loss of 7
2—Rebecca Bastiman (3/8 +41) – 5/40 +51
2—Andrew Balding (1/5 – loss of 3) – 15/112 – loss of 53
2—Marco Botti (1/3 – slight loss) – 45/256 – loss of 3
2—Mark Brisbourne (0/6) – 10/218 – loss of 136
2—David Loughnane (0/14) – 2/58 – level via profit/loss
2—Karen McLintock (0/2) – 4/11 +6
2—James Tate (1/3 – slight profit) – 35/207 – loss of 39
2—Karen Tutty (0/1) – 2/19 – loss of 12
2—Ian Williams (0/11) – 31/244 – loss of 10
2—Stuart Williams (1/8 – level via profit/loss) – 22/130 – loss of 35
+ 38 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
73 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £44.00 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Plumpton: £717.40 – 7 favourites – 1 winner & 6 unplaced