PLUMPTON – MARCH 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £53.60 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Larry) & 1 (Dell Oro)
Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (Ramore Will), 3 (Le Coeur Net) & 4 (Lillington)
Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Ballyheigue Bay), 6 (Amberjam) & 2 (Pop Rockstar)
Leg 4 (3.50): 4 (Iconic Sky), 5 (Molly Carew) & 3 (Jubilympics)
Leg 5 (4.20): 6 (Sounds Of Italy) & 3 (Black Franks Angel)
Leg 6 (4.50): 2 (Lubatic) & 4 (King Cnut)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: Ten of the last thirteen winners have been sent off at a top price of 11/4 (see further stats below). Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared six recent renewals, though Gary Moore has tilted the potential balance in favour of the five-year-olds this time around by having declared LARRY and DELL ORO (both vintage representatives) on this occasion. The trade press quote of even money and 7/1 in favour of the latter named raider is not working out in the dead of night, with LARRY being the marginal market leader at the time of writing. All of that said, Gary will be mindful that Seaston Spirit is a heavy ground winner who might yet split the pair on the run to the line at the very least.
Favourite factor: Ten of the 17 favourites have won, though four of the other seven market leaders finished out of the frame in races won by horses which were sent off at 33/1 (twice)--20/1--8/1--5/1—11/4--13/8.
2.50: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last ten renewals and with RAMORE WILL representing Chris Gordon who won with all of his five runners on the corresponding day last year (946/1 accumulator), I cannot leave the top weight out of the mix, despite the fact that faster ground would have been preferable. I should (perhaps) remind readers that I flagged up Chris’s runners last year before he snared the five-timer. Others of interest here include LE COEUR NET and LILLINGTON.
Favourite factor: 23 of the last 26 available toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses starting at 8/1 or less (four winning favourites). Four of the other eight market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/3—Ramore Will (good)
1/3—Le Coeur Lad (soft)
1/16—Sir Hubert (heavy)
3.20: 15/2 about POP ROCKSTAR looks a tad big in a place this morning, albeit I prefer the chance of BALLYHEIGUE BAY despite the fact that seven pound claimer Harry Reed will have to be at his ‘calculating best’ if Chris Gordon’s raider makes the running as was the case at Ascot over a shorter trip the last day. AMBERJAM might make BALLYHEIGUE BAY pull out all the stops close home.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Plumpton card.
Record of the course winners in the third event on the card:
2/5—Ballyheigue Bay (good to soft & soft)
3/8—Tambura ( 2 x soft & good to soft)
1/5—Clondaw Bisto (heavy)
1/3—Sandhurst Lad (good to soft)
3.50: Lucy Wadham boasts definite claims of a potential double on the card via her two runners, with ICONIC SKY rounding off Lucy’s afternoon having saddled Amberjam in the previous contest. That said, Lucy will have done her homework which will have informed her that both MOLLY CAREW and JUBILYMPICS have won under these conditions in the past. LOVES DESTINATION is another to consider in an interesting contest.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Plumpton programme.
Record of the course winners in the field:
2/6—Loves Destination (soft & heavy)
4/13—Ding Ding (2 x good – good to soft – soft)
4.20: Seven-year-olds lead the eight-year-olds 5-3 via the last twelve renewals during the last thirteen years. Indeed, seven-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests; so why then (trainers) are vintage representatives only conspicuous by their absence this time around? Upwards and onwards in positive mode (I guess) by suggesting that eight-year-old BACK FRANKS ANGEL could be the each way call in the short field contest, though SOUNDS OF ITALY is a more logical winner via the form book. The Lion Dancer (Charlie Mann saddled the winner last year) is the other plausible winner in the field from my viewpoint. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: 29 of the 32 horses to claim toteplacepot positions to date started at 9/1 or less. Five of the thirteen market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.
4.50: Five of the last six winners have carried a minimum weight of 10-12 and the pick of this year’s four ‘qualifiers’ will hopefully prove to be LUBATIC and KING CNUT.
Favourite factor: Eight renewals split the last two winning favourites in this event (10/3 last year and 6/4 in 2008) albeit eight winners during the last decade scored at a top price of 13/2. Only two of the last six market leaders have finished in the frame, not that this was a Placepot event on last year’s card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Chris Gordon (4/29 – loss of 2 points) – 24/156 +19
3—Johnny Farrelly (0/5) – 5/26 – loss of 2
3—Gary Moore (13/58 +6) – 56/276 – loss of 12
2—Lawney Hill (1/5 +1) – 7/33 +12
2—Ron Hodges (First runners here this season) – 0/2
2—Anthony Honeyball (4/18 – loss of 8) – 17/58 – loss of 10
2—Neil King (2/14 – loss of 5) – 10/69 – loss of 28
2—Neil Mulholland (5/19 – marginal loss) – 12/74 – loss of 12
2—Seamus Mullins (2/19 – loss of 3) – 14/129 – loss of 53
2—Richard Rowe (1/9 – loss of 3) – 6/64 – loss of 30
2—Lucy Wadham (1/4 – level profit/loss this term) – 2/20 – loss of 14
+ 15 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
41 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Stratford: £98.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Taunton: No corresponding meeting on the Monday of Cheltenham week
Chelmsford: £43.60 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced