WINDSOR – JUNE 18
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £9.60 (6 favourites: 2 winners & 4 placed)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 74.1% units went through – 5/1 & 5/6*
Race 2: 68.0% of the remaining units when through – 3/1 – 2/1* - 9/1
Race 3: 44.2% of the remaining units went through – 15/8* - 14/1 – 12/1
Race 4: 66.6% of the remaining units went through – 2/1* - 3/1 – 7/1
Race 5: 81.7% of the remaining units went through – 8/1 – 10/11* - 15/2
Race 6: 62.7% of the units secured the dividend – 15/2 – 7/2 – 7/4*
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (6.00): 1 (Tiar Na Nog) & 2 (Kath’s Legacy)
Leg 2 (6.30): 8 (Implicit) & 4 (Nefarios)
Leg 3 (7.00): 3 (Irene’s Prince), 7 (Balsim) & 5 (Wolf Hunter)
Leg 4 (7.30): 10 (Titus Secret), 6 (Oh So Sassy) & 7 (Field Of Vision)
Leg 5 (8.00): 6 (Sir Plato) & 3 (Shadow Warrior)
Leg 6 (8.30): 6 (Seaborough), 3 (Tour De Paris) & 2 (Bajan Gold)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
- We landed yet another Placepot dividend (at Salisbury) yesterday which produced 19 points of profit.
6.00: Four of the six winners have carried 9-1 or more which eliminates the bottom three horses in the list (one via a claimer) if you take the stats seriously, as does this self-confessed ‘anorak’. TIAR NA NOG only found a rival in red hot form too good for her last week and connections of Denis Coakley’s six-year-old mare should gain compensation in this grade/company. KATH’S LEGACY looks likely to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings. The reserve nomination is awarded to Biotic.
Favourite factor: Four of the six market leaders (one gold and three silver medallists) have secured Placepot positions thus far.
Record of course winners in the opening event:
1/3—Munsarim (good to firm)
6.30: Support for IMPLICIT from James Tate’s shrewd yard would be a positive pointer towards the twice raced Kodiac filly, though realistic money in the positive exchange queue has already arrived for Henry Candy’s Zebedee colt NEFARIOS which is impossible to ignore. Oona will not doubt run another sound race but it would be a tad disappointing if the first named pair failed to finish in front of Richard Hannon’s February foal.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished second thus far whilst securing Placepot positions.
7.00: David Evans has won six of the last seven renewals and with two of the eleven entries in David’s care, IRENE’S PRINCE and BLASIM are the first two names on the team should which you might have guessed. That said, Richard Hughes has a decent bunch of juveniles at his disposal this year and WOLF HUNTER was running on well at Goodwood last week which suggests that this slightly tougher track (with an additional furlong to travel) will suit.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won ten of the last 14 renewals, the biggest priced winner during the last 13 years having been returned at just 7/1. The last twelve gold medallists were returned at a top price of 5/1. 14/15 market leaders secured Placepot positions during the study period.
7.30: All twelve winners were burdened with a maximum weight of 9-6 and the trio that catch the eye from the ‘superior’ section of the handicap consists of OH SO SASSY, TITUS SECRET and FIELD OF VISION. The booking of Gerald Mosse for Clive Cox’s first named raider is particularly eye-catching given their 3/6 ratio when teaming up thus far.
Favourite factor: Punters had to wait until 2013 for the first successful (3/1) favourite to oblige, whilst four of the 10 market leaders had claimed Placepot positions via eight contests at the time. Two of the four subsequent market leaders (one winner) have added Placepot positions to the tally.
Record of the five course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1/6—Bahamian Dollar (good to firm)
3/8—Englishman (good – good to firm – soft)
1/2—Libertum (good to soft)
2/4—Anonymous John (good & heavy)
8.00: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the twelve renewals thus far, yet only four trainers (of eight in total) have ‘seen the edge’, with four time course winner SIR PLATO and SHADOW WARRIOR (1/1 at the track) taking centre stage from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Nine renewals have slipped by since a market leader prevailed, albeit the first three contests were secured by favourites. Eleven of the twelve winners have scored at a top price of 10/1, whilst eight market leaders have finished in the (exact science) frame.
Record of the four course winners in the fifth race:
1/1—Shadow Warrior (good to firm)
1/2—Kingston Kurrajung (soft)
4/6—Sir Plato (2 x good to soft – good – good to firm)
1/7—Harlequin Striker (soft)
8.30: Eight of the winners during the last decade have carried a minimum burden of 9-3 whereby SEABOROUGH, TOUR DE PARIS and BAJAN GOLD will represent yours truly in the Placepot finale. Hopefully England will be at least one or two goals to the good ion the football front by the time that flag fall arrives! Then again….
Favourite factor: Three of the last six favourites have won during which time, four market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.