LEICESTER – MAY 28
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
2017: £21.90 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 41.6% units went through – 15/8* - 20/1 – 14/1
Race 2: 78.3% of the remaining units when through – 13/8* & 5/2
Race 3: 60.0% of the remaining units went through – 16/1 – 6/1 – 10/3*
Race 4: 87.8% of the remaining units went through – 7/1 – 9/2 – 4/6*
Race 5: 62.8% of the remaining units went through – 12/1 – 3/1 – 9/4*
Race 6: 30.8% of the units secured the dividend – 2/1 (Win only – 6/4)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (1.45): 6 (Strongarm Chaser), 8 (Racehorse) & 5 (Full Suit)
Leg 2 (2.20): 4 (Miss Mumtaz), 2 (Katie Lee) & 6 (Downtown Mombasa)
Leg 3 (2.55): 3 (Barton Mills), 1 (Etefaaq) & 6 (Prince Ahwanee)
Leg 4 (3.30): 2 (Raa Atoll) & 1 (Photographer)
Leg 5 (4.05): 2 (Burgonet) & 3 (Sailing Home)
Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Jumira Bridge), 1 (Aclimatise) & 7 (Najashee)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
1.45: Nine of the last twelve winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-2, which rules out the top four horses in the handicap, leaving the likes of STRONGARM CHASER, RACEHORSE and FULL SUIT to assess. The trio are just about listed in order of preference before we get some clues from the exchanges.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have won six of the last ten renewals during which time, eight winners scored at a top price of 7/2. Eight of the last nine market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
2.20: Ian Williams can do little wrong just now and the popular handler has declared MISS MUMTAZ with definite claims in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. Talented rivals are only conspicuous by their absence in the main, possible excluding the likes of KATIE LEE and DOWNTOWN MOMBASA.
Favourite factor: This is a new race (for fillies – always encouraged) on the Leicester card
2.55: Twelve winners in as many years have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, statistics which eliminate Airshow at the bottom of the handicap. BARTON MILLS and ETEFAAQ both sport headgear for the first time and I anticipate the aids to have the desired effect, particularly from a Placepot perspective in a half decent contest. PRINCE AHWANEE completes my trio against the remaining six entries.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last twelve years, whilst eight of the last eleven market leaders snared Placepot positions. Nine of the twelve winners during the study period scored at a top price of 9/1.
3.30: RAA ATOLL and PHOTOGRAPHER jumped off the page in a flash (apologies offered!) with John Gosden’s pair fully expected to claim Placepot positions. Readers looking for an alternative option could do worse than consider the merits of Rashdan.
Favourite factor: This is another new (novice) contest on the Leicester programme.
4.05: Regular readers will know that I struggle with Ed Dunlop’s runners. When I include his representatives in the mix they disappoint and vice versa. Please form an orderly queue outside betting shops the length and breadth of the country as I am passing up the chance of Ed’s recent Chepstow winner Qaswarah. I prefer BURGONET and SAILING HOME, from a value for money perspective if little else.
Favourite factor: This is becoming a little repetitive being the third new race at the meeting.
4.40: Four-year-olds have won both renewals thus far and whilst that fact does not pass as a trend just yet, I’ll opt for the scenario to be extended by vintage representatives, JUMIRA BRIDGE, ACLIMATISE and NAJASHEE.
Favourite factor: Only one of the two favourites thus far secured a Placepot position via a bronze medal effort twelve months ago.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Jay Kay (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.