PLUMPTON – JANUARY 29
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £15.80 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (1.55): 8 (Weebill), 1 (Canyouringmeback) & 5 (Paddy’s Poem)
Leg 2 (2.25): 4 (Le Coeur Net), 8 (Sir Hubert) & 3 (Two Hoots)
Leg 3 (2.55): 4 (My Dance) & 3 (Puppet Warrior)
Leg 4 (3.25): 5 (Clondaw Bisto), 4 (Ballyheigue Bay) & 6 (Sandhurst Lad)
Leg 5 (3.55): 2 (Act Now) & 1 (Leo Lunar)
Leg 6 (4.25): 4 (Be Daring), 1 (Argyle) & 9 (Sixites Idol)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.55: Seven-year-olds have secured four of the last eight available Placepot positions, statistics which include two (7/2 & 10/11*) winners. Nick Gifford’s PADDY’S POEM makes far more appeal that the other vintage raider on this occasion, albeit only from a Placepot perspective. More logical winners from my viewpoint include stable companion CANYOURINGMEBACK and (especially) WEEBILL.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include two (10/11 & 1/10) winners. That said, last year’s 1/4 market leader was beaten from a win perspective.
2.25: You can comfortably ignore the 5/1 trade press call about LE COEUR NET as Anthony Honeyball looks to add to his impressive tally this season. Although the relevant horses have not produced a level stake profit over the last five years, Anthony’s 30% strike rate at the track during the period makes for impressive reading and his three runners this afternoon warrant plenty of respect. SIR HUBERT and TWO HOOTS are likely to give each way supporters a decent run for their collective investments.
Favourite factor: Four of the five market leaders have finished in the frame via four renewals. That is as many as there could have been as the favourite that missed out contested a ‘win only’ event.
2.55: MY DANCE in the second of the three Honeyball runners on the card and this Midnight Legend mare looks something out of the ordinary, a little like her mum (My Petra) who was a really good sort herself, finishing ‘in the three’ in 20/33 assignments. A winner of a Grade 2 chase into the bargain, My Petra looks to have passed off plenty of ability to MY DANCE who looks destined for far better things if she can take this event in her stride. PUPPET WARRIOR provides half decent opposition however, though the other pair look to be up against it in this ‘win only’ event.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 1/2 favourite duly obliged.
3.25: Eight of the nine available Placepot positions to date have been claimed by horses carrying a maximum burden of 11-4, statistics which include all four (16/1, 4/1, 4/1 & 2/1*) winners. Suzy Smith has saddled 14 winners here at Plumpton during the last five years, a total the she has achieved at all the other tracks in the county – combined! Stable representative CLONDAW BISTO will not mind the ground and the course winner also qualifies via the weight trend. Two horses that run from the ‘inferior’ sector of the handicap that might still represent a little value are SANDHURST LAD (though the ground will be plenty deep enough for him) and BALLYHEIGUE BAY who hails from the in form yard of Chris Gordon who won with his only runner (Remiluc) at 20/1 at Cheltenham on Saturday. An interesting event, given that seven of the eight runners have previously won here at Plumpton. Please form an orderly queue outside the betting shops across the land for those of the you that want to back the ‘missing’ runner, namely Plantagenet!
Favourite factor: The inaugural 2/1 favourite duly obliged though that said, the other four favourites (via three further renewals) finished out of the frame.
Record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/3—No Buts (heavy)
3/7—Tambura (2 x soft & good to soft)
1/4—Ballyheigue Bay (good to soft)
1/w—Clondaw Bisto (heavy)
1/1—Sandhurst Lad (good to soft)
1.1—Jully Les Buxy (heavy)
3.55: There is plenty of money in the (realistic) positive exchange queue for LEO LUNA at the time of writing, so much so that favouritism against Clondaw Rigger is warming up at the time of writing. The third Honeyball runner ACT NOW is no forlorn hope this afternoon, whilst the other option in the contest according to the gospel of yours truly is Frank N Fair.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 market leader prevailed.
Record of course winners in the fifth event:
2/3—Act Now (soft & heavy)
2/13—Invicta Lake (good & good to soft)
3/13—Frank N Fair (good – good to soft – soft)
4.25: Five-year-olds have won the last two renewals when represented, with ARGYLE preferred to SIXTIES IDOL this time around, albeit both horses will be included in my Placepot permutation. From win perspective however, the call has to be BE DARING, given that in form trainer Chris Gordon goes in search of a hat trick in the race, having won the last two renewals with returned favourites.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites (via four renewals) have claimed Placepot positions by winning their respective event at odds of 2/1 and 11/4.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/13—Kastani Beach (good & heavy)
2/2—Drive On Locky (good & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track this year + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
5 runners—Gary Moore (8/44 – loss of 2 points) – 51/262 – loss of 20
5—Seamus Mullins (2/13 +2) – 14/123 – loss of 46
4—Nick Gifford (0/12) – 5/66 – loss of 31
4—Chris Gordon (3/20 – loss of 3) – 23/147 +18
3—Anthony Honeyball (2/10 – loss of 5) – 15/50 – loss of 7
2—Jim Boyle (0/2) – 1/9 – loss of 5
2—Zoe Davison (4/8 +38) – 7/75 – loss of 6
2—Johnny Farrelly (0/3) – 5/24 – slight loss
2—Warren Greatrex (1/6 +7) – 11/44 +14
2—Olly Murphy (0/1) – 0/1
2—Jeremy Scott (0/2) – 4/23 - loss of 5
2—Suzy Smith (1/6 +23) – 14/49 +89
+ 14 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
49 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hereford: This is a new meeting
Wolverhampton: £ 12.10 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 1 unplaced