SOUTHWELL (NH) – MARCH 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £46.10 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Epsom:
Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Good Man Hughie) & 2 (Mondo Cane)
Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (One Style) & 5 (Minella Voucher)
Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Royals And Rebels), 4 (Call Carlo), 3 (Cougars Gold) & 2 (How About It)
Leg 4 (3.55): 1 (Good Man Pat) & 4 (Molly The Dolly)
Leg 5 (4.25): 6 (Boher Lad) & 2 (Sartene’s Son)
Leg 6 (5.00): 2 (Just So Cool), 5 (Ardmayle) & 3 (Rainy Day Dylan)
Suggested stake: 192 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: Gary Moore appears to have found a decent opportunity for his nine-year-old Flemensfirth gelding GOODMAN HUGHIE in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. MONDO CANE was beaten by Skippin On the last day before the latter named raider was disqualified for weighing in two pounds short of the required mark. I fancy MONDO CANE to get the better of the argument this time around with Laura Mongan’s representative Skippin On stepping up in trip. There will be worse outsiders on the card than Skint I’ll wager, especially if money arrives for Tom Scudamore’s mount.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Southwell.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
1/11—Mondo Cane (soft)
2.50: ONE STYLE showed enough on his fencing debut at Chepstow to suggest that this is will be his game and Venetia Williams should be congratulated for finding a race like this to further his education. MINELLA VOUCHER potentially offers better value for money from a Placepot perspective than the Skelton raider Zamparelli.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Southwell programme.
3.20: This is the first of two four runner ‘win only’ events with all connections claiming realistic chances of winning from my viewpoint, which is more than can be said for the next race on the card. Regular readers will know my stance in such circumstances, whereby I am including the quartet in my Placepot permutation, simply hoping that the horse with the least units prevails. For the record, ROYALS AND REBELS would be the call if I was ‘cornered’ into making a selection.
Favourite factor: Two of the four market leaders have secured Placepot positions via three renewals to date, stats which include one (11/8) winner.
3.55: GOOD MAN PAT is expected to get the better of MOLLY THE DOLLY close home in a race the two horses should dominate in the second half of the contest. The form figures on paper don’t look too bad for Haasab until you delve deeper into his record.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the card.
4.25: BOHER LAD looks set to add to his tally with a potential 75% strike rate being recorded at the course by the end of the afternoon. Alan Phillips has a fine record at the track and Stan Sheppard’s three pound claim could make all the difference at the business end of the contest. Seven time course winner Riddlestown has failed to complete the course on his last two assignments whereby at the prices, I’m inclined to prefer SARTENE’S SON as the main threat.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have finished in the frame, stats which include one (6/4) winner.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
7/24—Riddlestown (4 x good & 3 x soft)
2/3—Boher Lad (good & good to soft)
5.00: The recent form figures of Along Came Theo flatter to deceive to a fashion, given his 0/11 record thus far, despite three recent silver medal efforts. ‘Potters’ might wade in believing that his place record is there for all to see (despite swerving the eight-year-old from a win perspective) but always looking for value for value where and when possible, the trio of JUST SO COOL, ARDMAYLE and RAINY DAY DYLAN make more appeal.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Southwell card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
2 runners—Robin Dickin (0/4) – 2/59 loss of 51 points
2—Laura Mongan (2/6 +2) – 3/15 +3
2—Alan Phillips (1/2 +4) – 4/16 +8
2—Colin Tizzard (First runenrs at Southwell this season) – 0/2
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
53 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield: £215.20 – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £41.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 1 unplaced
Kempton – This is a new fixture