WINDSOR - AUGUST 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £226.80 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.10): 9 (Bihindi) & 1 (Arden Pearl)
Leg 2 (5.45): 3 (Funky Footsteps), 4 (Raj Balaraaj) & 1 (Choral Clan)
Leg 3 (6.15): 6 (Sir Plato) & 4 (Prost)
Leg 4 (6.45): 5 (Handytalk), 4 (Ice Age) & 7 (Major Pusey)
Leg 5 (7.15): 6 (Sea Tide) & 11 (Superioritycomplex)
Leg 6 (7.45): 7 (St Andrews), 3 (Medalla De Oro) & 6 (Tynecastle Park)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.10: I’m often telling you to be wary of what you read and/or hear and this opening event is a case in point. The trade press have this down as a new race. It is not a new race and that has nothing to do with the ‘novice scenario’ which I have referred to many times. High in numbers but low on potential winners, this race will not require a great deal of winning. ARDEN PEARL and (particularly) BIHINDI should get us safely through the opening leg, though I would not entertain the race aside from our favourite wager. Money for Rupert’s Lass would add interest to proceedings, though there was none in evidence at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Two of the last five favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include one (11/10) winner. Last year’s 33/1 winner was accompanied by a 25/1 placed horse; mind how you tread!
5.45: For all that it is difficult to know why there has been overnight support for CHORAL CLAN, I feel duty bound to report the move whereby it looks as though you can ignore the 16/1 trade press quote about Brendan Powell’s top weight. Perhaps potential investors have lost confidence in the other entries (it would not be difficult) and though there was some each way value to be obtained about Brendan’s Oratorio gelding, FUNKY FOOTSTEPS and RAJ BALARAAJ should provide the winner between them.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 10/3 favourite finished nearer last than first in a ‘short field’ contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.
6.15: Spare a though for the horse box drivers now and then, particularly those associated with Rod Millman’s yard down in Devon, who often have long journeys to make with few local course around from a flat venue perspective. Rod’s yard is not far from Tiverton and any NH runners in his yard could ply their trade locally at several tracks, which is not the case on the level. Three-year-old SIR PLATO represents Rod here, one of two runners on the card for the trainer whereby at least the two thoroughbreds can have some ‘horsy chat’ en route. Three-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals, despite the fact that vintage were not represented five years ago. PROST is the other junior declaration this evening in a ‘short field’ event.
Favourite factor: Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the study period, whilst 13 of the 23 favourites have reached the frame.
Record of course winners in the third event on the card:
3/3—Sir Plato (good to firm – good – good to soft)
6.45: Four-year-olds have won the last four renewals, with Rod Millman’s other runner on the card (HANDYTALK) being one of four vintage representatives this time around. HANDYTALK is assured his position in my Placepot mix alongside Eve Johnson Houghton’s raider ICE AGE, who represents the trainer who secured a massive 645/1 double on the corresponding card last year. You can forget the 9/1 trade press quote about Ice Age who is likelier to off at around 5/1. John Gallagher secured a Goodwood contest last week with Quench Dolly and his raider MAJOR PUSEY completes my trio against the other seven contenders in this event.
Favourite factor: Seven of the fourteen favourites have reached the frame to date (three winners), with other gold medallists recorded have been recorded at 25/1-25/1-20/1-18/1-16/1-8/1-7/1-13/2-3/1.
Record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/3—Little Palaver (good to firm)
1/5—Ice Age (good to firm)
1/6—Clear Spring (good)
1/3—Major Pusey (good to soft)
1/2—Bahamian Dollar (good to firm)
1/3—King Of Spain (good)
7.15: SEA TIDE has been the subject of overnight support and it is not difficult to see why Hugo Palmer’s Champs Elesees filly has attracted money after a fine seasonal debut at Nottingham. I guess that SUPERIORITYCOMPLEX is the logical danger, though there will be worse outsiders on the card than STRUCK BY THE MOON I’ll wager. Charlie Hills (saddled three consecutive winners towards the back end of last week) was obviously sweet on his Fastnet Rock filly last year as market support came in for the 4/1 chance on her only start to date.
Favourite factor: I’m not sure why the trade press has the two races which are confined to fillies described as new races on the card; because they are not new events. For the record, market leaders have secured three of the last five renewals.
7.45: There has been some money for Tynecastle Park, though more logical winners in the contest include ST ANDREWS and MEDALLA DE ORO from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Windsor card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Eve Johnson Houghton (2/10 – Profit of 2 points)
3—Richard Hughes (4/34 – loss of 8 points)
2—George Baker (0/5)
2—Michael Bell (2/10 – Profit of 2 points)
2—John Bridger (1/16 – loss of 78 points)
2—Clive Cox (6/19 – Profit of 20 points)
2—David Evans (4/48 – loss of 8 points)
2—Peter Hedger (1/3 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Rod Millman (4/19 – slight loss)
2—William Muir (1/19 – loss of 10 points)
2—Ian Williams (1/4 – Profit of 6 points)
+ 40 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ripon: £300.20 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Salisbury: £48.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Carlisle: £229.70 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced