Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Monday 7th March

WOLVERHAMPTON – MARCH 7

I hope you latched on to the Placepot profit of £318.72 at Huntingdon on Sunday!!!

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £26.40 (6 favourites: 2 winners--2 placed--2 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £605.35

Average A/W Placepot dividend in 2016: £301.69

Average Wolverhampton Placepot dividend in 2016: £187.35 (22 meetings)

Favourite records at Wolverhampton in 2016:

18 races - 22 favourites - 8 winners - 5 placed - 9 unplaced (exact science)

Odds on ratio: 3/6

Quick stat: Three of Mark Johnston's last five runners have won at 6/1-6/1-10/11* and Mark has two declared runners on the card.

Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Quality Art), 9 (Divine Call) & 4 (State Of The Union)

Leg 2 (2.50): 5 (Sewn Up) & 6 (Bogsnog)

Leg 3 (3.20): 7 (Zebedee's Girl) & 5 (Spirit Glance)

Leg 4 (3.50): 8 (Togetherwecan) & 2 (Binky Blue)

Leg 5 (4.20): 5 (Jumbo Prado) & 6 (Field Of Dream)

Leg 6 (4.50): 2 (Winterlude), 4 (Paddys Motorbike) & 3 (Castle Del Diablo)

Suggested stake: 144 bets to 20p stakes

2.20: An educational start to proceedings as I felt compelled to look up CITY OF ANGKOR WAT, finding the temple there to be the largest religious monument in the world which is found in Cambodia.  Upwards and onward by suggesting the my trio against the other six contenders consists of DIVINE CALL, QUALITY ART and STATE OF THE UNION.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural frame was filled by horses which were sent off at 9/2-8/1-13/2, with the 2/1 favourite missing out on a Placepot position by a neck when held in fourth place.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the opening event:

1/7--Top Offer

4/19--Quality Art

1/2--City Of Angkor Wat

1/3--Generalyse (C&D winner)

4/20--Louis Vee (C&D winner)

2.50: Five time C/D winner SEWN UP can rarely (if ever) be totally ignored over this trip here at Wolverhampton and once again, Graham Lee's mount is included in my overnight mix in this second heat of the opening race.  INDIAN AFFAIR and the strangely named BOGSNOG (both course and distance winners) are considered the chief threats.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening event whereby the same stats apply.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the second contest on the card:

2/13--Seek The Fair Land (C&D winner)

2/25--Indian Affair (C&D winner)

6/46--Sewn Up (C&D winner x 5)

3/27--Bogsnog (C&D winner)

3.20: Three-year-olds usually get the better of their elders in these mixed vintage maiden events (even at this early stage of the year) and I expect the scenario to arise again via ZEBEDEE'S GIRL and/or SPIRIT GLANCE, not that I would interested in having a bet outside of our favourite wager.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 5/4 favourite was beaten a neck by a 9/1 chance in a 'short field' event.

3.50: Given the 'quick stat' comment above, it's worth pointing out that Mark saddles Four Mile Beach (5.50) beyond my Placepot events, a point that might be even more relevant if Mark scores with TOGETHER WE CAN in this contest.  Connections might have most to fear from the likes of the consistent filly BINKY BLUE and maybe MOPS ANGEL, who has been dropped another pound by the official assessor.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Wolcverhampton card.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fourth race:

1/4--Mullymkua (C&D winner)

1/11--Binky Blue (C&D winner)

1/6--Mops Angel

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1/21--Kodiac Lady (C&D winner)

4.20: Another five time course and distance winner emerges here in JUMBO PRADO and with trainer Daniel Mark Loughnane saddling plenty of winners of late, Adam Kirby's mount is fancied to go close again.  This is a competitive little heat however, with the chances of fellow C/D winners FIELD OF DREAM and HERCULLIAN PRICE respected.

Favourite factor: The only favourite to date scored at odds of 6/5 twelve months ago.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fifth contest:

1/1--Viewpoint

1/7--Almanack (C&D winner)

1/7--Hercullian Prnce (C&D winner)

5/20--Jumbo Prado (C&D x 5)

1/2--Field Of Dream (C&D winner)

4.50: Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals, whilst the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-1.  No horse possesses a tick in both of the trend boxes this time around, whereby the lone vintage representative in the field PADDYS MOTORBIKE is joined in the mix by two runnners further up the handicap, namely WINTERLUDE and CASTILO DEL DIABLO.  Jenny Candlish (Winterlude) has her runners in great form whilst I must mention Spec Nostra via great C/D figures here at Dunstall Park, though the weight trends count against the eight-year-old on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Four of the seven favourites have secured Placepot position via six renewals, statistics which include three winning market leaders, one of which was returned as a 'joint jolly' at 9/2.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:

1/1--First Mohican

1/2--Winterlude

1/2--Paddys Motorbike (C&D winner)

2/4--Masterpaver

5/11--Spec Nostra (C&D winner)

3/6--Wordiness (Dual C&D winner)

3/8--Sbraase (C&D winner)

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday:

5--David Evans (Wolverhampton stats this season: 13/79)

4--Michael Appleby (8/70)

4--Lee Carter (--)

4--Conor Dore (0/23)

4--Daniel Mark Loughnane (8/85)

2--Milton Bradley (4/19)

2--Karl Burke (1/12)

2--Keith Dalgleish (4/25)

2--Les Eyre (0/4)

2--Kevin Frost (1/13)

2--Ed de Giles (3/12)

2--Simon Hodgson (0/5)

2--Mark Johnston (8/38)

2--Anabel K Murphy (0/8)

2--John O'Shea (2/15)

2--James Tate (4/22)

2--Jason Ward (0/10)

+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

73 declared runners

 

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5 replies
  1. dartguru says:

    I’m a bit late to the track with placepots. Can you explain where the profit mentioned for yesterday come from?
    If I look at the Huntingdon results, it says that the placepot was £289.60. You had £28.80 staked across 144 lines to 20p, 8 winning lines at 20p, so should return 289.6 x 8 / 5 = £463.36 and a profit of £434.56

    • MalBoyle
      MalBoyle says:

      According to my figures I has six lines up; hence the calculation but I will check again. It’s good to know that either way, we have people on the ball out there in the real world! Take care – thanks for reading the column. Mal.

        • MalBoyle
          MalBoyle says:

          More’s the pity James – from little acorns grow…! Thanks for the confirmation, hoping you have a successful day/week/month!

          • dartguru says:

            I see my mistake now (apart from miscounting) and that the NR (Distant Sound) automatically went on the favourite.

            Thanks for the prompt replies guys.

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