BATH – MAY 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £191.20 (7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 26.3% units went through – 8/1 – 20/1 – 7/1 (2 x 7/2**)
Race 2: 44.3% of the remaining units when through – 10/1 – 4/1 – 5/1 (11/4)
Race 3: 66.5% of the remaining units went through – 5/6* & 16/1
Race 4: 57.9% of the remaining units went through – 3/10* (Win only)
Race 5: 39.4% of the remaining units went through – 6/4* (Win only)
Race 6: 16.4% of the units secured the dividend – 12/1 & 12/1 (11/8)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Bath:
Leg 1 (2.15): 2 (Karalini) & 10 (Signora Cabello)
Leg 2 (2.50): 2 (Prominna), 6 (Burauq) & 10 (Black Truffle)
Leg 3 (3.25): 5 (Spirit Of Zebedee), 10 (Divine Call) & 6 (Dreams Of Glory)
Leg 4 (4.00): 1 (Barbill) & 8 (Cloud Seeding)
Leg 5 (4.35): 4 (Tricksy Spirit), 2 (Rock Of Estonia) & 9 (Aquadabra)
Leg 6 (5.10): 2 (Cent Flying) & 3 (Glamorous Rocket)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
- I hope you had part of the Placepot dividend yesterday, given that we had 40p of the £512.10 dividend = a return of £216.84 – following a ‘successful pot’ at Newmarket the previous day.
2.15: Boasting a ratio of 7/9 here at Bath this season, Mick Channon will be coming to one of his ‘local’ tracks in confident mode and KARALINI is the only horse in the contest that punters want to know at the time of writing. SIGNORA CABELLO is the mount of Silvestre De Sousa who has ridden three winners for John Quinn whereby the chance for this long distance traveller is respected.
Favourite factor: This is a new race at Bath with which to open proceedings.
2.50: Tony Carrol has had his runners in good form for some time now and though good to soft was registered when scoring here at Bath, George Downing could be in the thick of this at the business end of proceedings aboard this Proclamation gelding who is a four time gold medallist. Others for the melting pot include BURAUQ and BLACK TRUFFLE.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/2 joint favourites both finished out of the frame.
Bath record of course winners in the second race:
1/3—Langham Vale (good to soft)
1/4—Prominna (good to soft)
2/14—Burauq (good to soft & good to firm)
3.25: Silvestre takes his second ride for John Quinn and in a weak contest, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE can surely reach the frame in this grade/company. Connections probably have most to fear from the likes of DIVINE CALL and DREAMS OF GLORY.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the card, whereby the same stats apply. Last year’s inaugural 7/2 joint favourites both finished out of the frame.
Bath record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
3/6—Compton Prince (2 x good to firm & firm)
5/27—Dreams Of Glory (2 x good to firm – 2 x firm – good)
2/11—Divine Call (good & good to soft)
4.00: Mick Channon saddles the second of his three runners on the card and BARBILL cannot be excluded from the mix given Mick’s record at the track this term. At the prices on offer, Ginger Nut could be worth opposing whereby CLOUD SEEDING is added into the Placepot equation.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/4 favourite finished well down the field in which horses sent off at 20/1-12/1-14/1 filled the frame, a result which had a great influence of the great Placepot dividend of £2,037.80. Last year’s race went to plan for supporters of the 3/10 market leader.
4.35: There will be worse outsiders on the card than AQUADBRA I’ll wager who has her first run for Christopher Mason, having been previously stabled at Mick Channon’s yard. Talking of Mick, his third and final contender at the meeting is TRICKSY SPIRIT, whilst ROCK OF ESTONIA (winner on this card twelve months ago) completes my trio against the remaining six declarations.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 favourite last year finished nearer last than first (sixth of eight).
Bath record of the two course winners in the field:
1/1—Rock On Estonia (firm)
5.10: CENT FLYING looks to be something of a banker in the lucky last (from a Placepot perspective), with GLAMOROUS ROCKET marginally preferred to Inuk as the main threat.
Bath record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Cent Flying (good)
Bath record of course winners in the 7th (non Placepot) race at 5.45:
1/3—King Crimson (good to soft)
1/20—Swendab (good to firm)
3/21—Jaganory (firm – good to soft – soft)
4/17—Milly Jones (4 x firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.