FONTWELL – JANUARY 8
Last year’s corresponding Placepot details:
£26.40 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell:
Leg 1 (1.15): 5 (My Dance), 8 (Tierra Verde) & 1 (Bee Crossing)
Leg 2 (1.45): 1 (Hands Of Stone), 7 (Blue April) & 3 (Flanagans Field)
Leg 3 (2.15): 1 (Greyed A) & 4 (Itoldyou)
Leg 4 (2.45): 6 (Tikken Away), 1 (Minella On Line) & 4 (Chris Pea Green)
Leg 5 (3.15): 2 (Cloudy Beach), 6 (Native Robin) & 4 (Jarlath)
Leg 6 (3.45): 6 (Puppet Warrior) & 7 (Seaston Spirit)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.15: Anthony Honeyball has saddled five winners at Fontwell via their last six meetings, with MY DANCE being the trainer’s only runner on the card. I would have been happier had the ground been in better condition for the Kayf Tara mare, though the relevant stock tend to get through the ground well enough as a general rule. Harry Whittington is on a crest of a wave right now and with four of his last five runners having won, Harry’s TIERRA VERDE demands great respect, especially in this grade/company. BEE CROSSING is the other short listed runner in the opening contest.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 favourite duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
1/2—Bold Image (good to soft)
1.45: Evan Williams will have gained a great deal of pleasure with the victory of his veteran Buywise at Sandown on Saturday, with the trainer holding a half decent chance of saddling another gold medallist at a double figure price in HANDS OF STONE. Relatively unexposed for a six-year-old, Evan’s Shantou gelding has attracted some interest at around the 14/1 mark overnight and with Conor Ring claiming a useful three pounds in the plate, HANDS OF STONE is the each way call in the contest. More logical winners include FLANAGANS FIELD and BLUE APRIL I guess, the latter named raider hailing from Jeremy Scott’s in form yard which has snared four gold medals via their last eleven runners.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/2 market leader sneaked into the frame via a bronze medal effort.
2.15: Boasting a 22% strike rate during the month of January in recent years, Dr Richard Newland should be rewarded here for finding a realistic target for his recent heavy ground course and distance winner GREYED A who seemingly has precious little more to do having gone up just three pounds for a facile victory. ITOLDYOU might plod around in a slightly quicker time than ALLCHILLEDOUT, though the emphasis very much on plod rather than quick!
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural (Colin Tizzard trained) 5/2 favourite duly prevailed. Out of interest, Colin saddles Allchilledout this time around.
Record of the course winners in the third race:
1/3—Greyed A (heavy)
3/7—Itoldyou (good – good to soft – heavy)
2.45: CHRIS PEA GREEN is a talented individual and no mistake, though Gary Moore’s local raider is back hurdling having seemingly lost form and enthusiasm for the job in hand in recent seasons. A winner of three of his first four races in 2012/13, CHRIS PEA GREEN has scored on just two of his subsequent 20 assignments, with eight races having been contested since last winning over three years ago. Unfortunately, Joshua’s mount has followed in the footsteps of his highly talented sire Proclamation who won four of his first five races under the other code before being retired early in his career. Robert Walford can do little wrong at present whereby the chance of TIKKEN AWAY is there for all to see, whilst MINELLA ON LINE offers some value for money, albeit on ground that will be slower than the top weight would like.
Favourite factor: This was the only race on last year’s Placepot card in which the favourite failed to finish in the money.
3.15: JARLATH has yet to race on this type of ground for all that connections would have liked some of the recent wet stuff to have been blown elsewhere. Conversely, Venetia Williams has really appreciated the recent wet spell with her stock generally revelling in slower conditions. CLOUDY BEACH is one such individual (2/4 on heavy going), whilst NATIVE ROBIN scored under similar conditions the last day at Warwick.
Favourite factor: The front two horses in the market filled the ‘short field’ frame last year, albeit they finished the wrong way around for the majority of investors. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
2/2—Cloudy Beach (good & heavy)
2/5—Fergal Muel Duin (good to soft & soft)
3.45: For all that Mellow Ben could also finish in the frame, the pair to concentrate on here is PUPPET WARRIOR and SEASTON SPIRIT. The two horses are around the 2/9 (coupled) mark to win the race between them at the time of writing, notwithstanding obvious Placepot claims in a weak finale.
Favourite factor: The front pair in the market dominated last year’s first running with the 4/6 market leader landing the prize.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Fontwell card on Monday – followed by seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Gary Moore (6/51 – loss of 19 points) – 197/06 – loss of 101
4—Seamus Mullins (4/29 +15) – 51/554 – loss of 111
3—Chris Gordon (4/39 – loss of 24) – 66/540 – loss of 3
3—Evan Williams (0/5) – 33/220 – loss of 87
2—Johnny Farrelly (1/7 – loss of 3) – 1/25 – loss of 21
2—Jeremy Scott (3/13 – slight loss) – 12/81 +5
2—Oliver Sherwood (0/11) – 44/286 – loss of 20 points
2—Colin Tizzard (3/13 – slight loss) – 45/287 – loss of 56
2—Robert Walford (1/2 – loss of 2) – 4/31 – loss of 14
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
45 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hereford: £313.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £30.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced