WINDSOR – APRIL 25
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £21.20 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.30): 1 (Awesome Allan) & 2 (Copper Knight)
Leg 2 (6.00): 13 (Wave Reviews) & 4 (Kuantan)
Leg 3 (6.30): 3 (Choreographer) & 6 (Magnum)
Leg 4 (7.00): 5 (Alcatraz), 7 (Weetles) & 6 (Nayel)
Leg 5 (7.30): 8 (Magical Thomas), 9 (All My Love) & 7 (Zambeasy)
Leg 6 (8.00): 3 (Michael's Mount), 4 (Coarse Cut) & 2 (Marmaduke Bay)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.30: David Evans has only saddled two juvenile runners at Windsor this season to date, securing two victories in the process. David saddles his course and distance winner AWESOME ALLAN (one of two representatives) on this occasion, whereby the seven newcomers might have to be really precocious types to score at their first day at school. That last comment could be particularly pertinent, given that COPPER KNIGHT is the other experienced runner in the field, having run really well to be beaten less that two lengths on debut at Newmarket. Hugo Palmer has his team in fine form for good measure, having scored with four of his last nine runners, with COPPER KNIGHT being Hugo's only representative on the Windsor card. The pick of the newcomers might prove to be LEGENDARY LUNCH and the other David Evans raider DENINGY. Brian Meehan saddles his first two-year-old runners of the season, whereby both Jet Setter and Son Castello are worth watching for future assignments.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Windsor on Monday.
2YO record of represented trainers at Windsor - this season - and then their five year juvenile ratios
David Evans (Awesome Allan & Deningy) - 2/2 - 11/52
Hogo Palmer (Copper Knight) - No runners yet the season - 0/11
Ralph Beckett (Dr Julius No) - No runners - 5/36
Rod Millman (Hawridge Glory) - No runners - 1/18
Brian Meehan (Het Setter & Son Castello) - No runners - 3/12
Richard Hannon (Legendary Lunch) - 0/1 - 16/84
Heather Main (Royal Melody) - First juvenile runner at Windsor for over five years
Windsor record of course winners in the opening event:
6.00: Last year successful favourite was well received as I named every winner on the card within the analysis. Whether I can reproduce that feat this time around is open to debate but in the meantime, I have to report that WAVE REVIEWS has been denied a couple of recent runs via going conditions/abandoned meetings but now, everything looks set clear for the William Haggas raider to make a winning start to his second term at school. Roger Charlton confuses the issue to a fashion by declaring two horses, though KUANTAN showed enough ability at the first time of asking to suggest that a race of this nature should be on the radar. Stable companion MAKZEEM should be worth watching with an eye to the future. JIMENEZ and DESERT HAZE should be winning races this term, though whether it will be in this company is open to doubt.
Favourite factor: The three favourites have secured two gold medals (both sent of at 5/4) and one of the bronze variety alongside toteplacepot positions.
6.30: I named Richard Of Yorke as one of the two main selections last year before Luca Cumani's raider won at 14/1. I cannot envisage anything quite as rewarding as that winner, but the 7/2 odds on offer overnight about CHOREOGRAPHER are tempting, given that Roger Varian suggested this time last year that his Sea The Stars colt was "a belter" and given that Andrea Atzeni's mount retains an entry in the 'Dante' in the weeks ahead, Roger does not seem to have changed his mind about the March foal twelve months on. MAGNUM appears to be the horse that CHOREOGRAPHER has to beat and given his experience, Brian Meehan's raider could prove hard to beat but one fact remains intact, there is no such 'fancy' entry on his agenda at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Just one of the three market leaders has toubled the judge thus far (last year's silver medallists at 5/6) as we await the first winning favourite in this fourth renewal.
7.00: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last nine seven contests whereby it was something of a surprise to find just the one vintage representative turning up for last year's gig when six-year-olds were putting back to back victories together. With no six-year-old attempting the hat trick this time around, we can revert to expecting a four-year-old to prevail, the pick of which will hope fully prove to be ALCATRAZ, marginally ahead of WEETLES and NAYEL. The latter named Richard Hannon raider only gets third billing given the likely state of the 'yielding' surface, his two victories to date coming under much faster conditions.
Favourite factor: Six favourites have finished in the frame via the last ten renewals, statistics which include two successful (7/4 & 9/4) market leaders. Eight winners were returned at odds of 6/1 or less, with the other two gold medallists having been sent off as 14/1 and 9/1 chances during the study period.
Windsor record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
7.30: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 5-2 via just the seven renewals to date, whereby vintage representatives MAGICAL THOMAS and ALL MY LOVE are preferred to the pick of the five-year-olds this time around from my viewpoint, namely ZAMBEASY and MOONJANED. I'm not sure that ALL MY LOVE will represent value for money despite holding an obvious chance, whereas MAGICAL THOMAS (representing the euphoric Neil Mulholland yard after their big win on Saturday) looks a definite player at an each way price.
Favourite factor: We still await the first successful market leader following seven contests thus far, with two favourites having secured toteplacepot positions via runner up efforts.
Windsor record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/1--All My Love
8.00: Nine of the last 13 winners carried a minimum of 8-12 which reduces the field from five down to four if you share my self confessed ‘anorak’ tendencies. Given the lack of runners this time around, last year's 12/1 winner will not be repeated by yours truly I'll wager, with MICHAEL'S MOUNT taken to score, given his initial half decent run at Sandown on this type of ground. The finale will take next to nothing to win however, whereby COURSE CUT and MARMAJUKE BAY are added to the Placepot overnight mix. What all punters must pray for is that this remains a 'short field' contest because a non runner would take us into a nightmare 'win only' scenario. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify for each way/toteplacepot purposes.
Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won this toteplacepot finale during the last thirteen years. Eleven of the fifteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the last decade.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (and record at the venue this season) on the Windsor card on Monday:
4 runners--Brian Meehan (Brian's first runners at Windsor this season)
3--George Baker (0/3)
3--Ed Dunlop (0/1)
3--David Evans (3/6)
3--Richard Hannon (1/4)
3--Jeremy Noseda (--)
2--Ralph Beckett (1/1)
2--Michael Bell (--)
2--Roger Charlton (--)
2--Jeremy Gask (--)
2-John Jenkins (--)
2--Eve Johnson Houghton (--)
2--Gary Moore (0/3)
2--Roger Varian (--)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
Last year's other corresponding Placepot dividends:
Ayr: £779.60 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Southwell: £103.10 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Yarmouth's season last year did not start until much later in the season due to track maintenance
It is still early days at Windsor this season whereby the results in terms of trainer trends has yet to settle down.
David Evans is the only trainer thus far to have saddled more than one winner, boasting a level stake profit this season of over 16 points via gold medallists returned at 10/1-11/2-4/1.
2 meetings - 15 races - 20 favourites - 5 winners - 5 placed - 10 unplaced (exact science)
Average Placepot dividend: £240.95