KELSO – APRIL 3
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £221.70 (6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Kelso:
Leg 1 (2.10): 9 (The Delray Munky) & 7 (Midnite Grace)
Leg 2 (2.40): 2 (Ascot De Bruyere), 4 (Finaghy Ayr) & 1 (Marlee Massie)
Leg 3 (3.10): 5 (Total Assets), 1 (Teddy Tee) & 6 (Andhaar)
Leg 4 (3.40): 3 (Chidswell) & 1 (Morning Royalty)
Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Grace Tara) & 3 (Floramoss)
Leg 6 (4.40): 2 (Bennys King), 8 (Rhymers Stone) & 3 (Jennys Melody)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Trainer Iain Jardine has saddled four of his last nine runners to winning effect whereby THE DELRAY MUNKY makes some appeal after a half decent bumper effort here at Kelso under similar conditions recently. I’m inclined to marginally favour MIDNITE GRACE over SUNSET MARQUIS given the odds on offer, with the latter named raider looking too skinny at around the 11/10 mark for my liking.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 favourite duly obliged.
2.40: I’m not surprised that ASCOT DE BRUYERE has come in for some overnight support and though an additional couple of furlongs have been added following his facile victory here nine days ago, James Ewart’s seven-year-old raider is fancied to follow up successfully. As a winner of two of his last four races on soft/heavy ground, I’m surprised that FINAGHY AYR was ignored in the trade press ‘summing up’, with Ian Duncan’s representative certainly being involved in my Placepot mix, arguably alongside MARLEE MASSIE.
Favourite factor: Favourites were on a roll this time last year with the second market leader prevailing at 2/1.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
2/6—Marlee Massie (soft & heavy)
1/2—Ascot De Bruyere (heavy)
3.10: There will be worse outsiders on the card than ANDHAAR who is offered a 14/1 quote with some firms this morning. Nick Alexander boasts the most runners at the meeting (six in total) and ANDHAAR might achieve more than is generally considered in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. That last comment suggests that TEDDY TEE is not completely ruled out of the equation either, though TOTAL ASSETS (good record at the venue) looks a more likely winner. Plenty of Placepot units will be lost in this event, irrespective of the eventual outcome.
Favourite factor: All good things come to an end, whereby the third market leader last year finished out with the washing having been sent off at 4/1.
Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:
2/13—Bescot Springs (good to soft & heavy)
3/7—Total Assets (2 x good to soft & heavy)
3.40: It’s difficult to look beyond the consistent eight-year-old CHIDSWELL who comes to the gig on a hat trick. Nicky Richards appears to have found another winning opportunity for his representative, with connections probably having most to fear from MORNING ROYALTY, though Next Sensation should not be too far away either at the business end of proceedings, especially with ‘team Scudamore’ enjoying a purple patch of late.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 2/1 favourite finished last of seven to bring punters back down to earth. The frame was filled by horses returned at 11/1, 8/1 & 11/1.
Record of the course winners in the fourth event:
1/4—Vengeur De Guye (good to soft)
1/4—Uno Valoroso (good to soft)
4.10: GRACE TARA is taken to beat FLORAMOSS in what should develop into a ‘match’ on the final circuit in this Novice Hurdle event over the thick end of three miles. Lucinda Russell’s runners can rarely be ignored when the mud is flying whereby Topham Bay is not entirely ruled out of the mix.
Favourite factor: Sure enough, a treble was landed for favourite backers this time last year, albeit at the cramped odds of 2/5. That said, punters would welcome a 12/1 treble if three of the first five favourites won on the card this time around.
4.40: I’m not at all sure that JENNYS MELODY deserves the ‘rag billing’ in the trade press in this event and I doubt that much (if any) of the 20/1 quote will be available, especially with Paddy Brennan taking the ride. Paddy boasts a 50% strike rate aboard the mare and though BENNYS KING and RHYMERS STONE appeal as more likely winners, JENNYS MELODY is an alternative each way play to consider, especially if the ‘dead eight’ runners face the starter. Bennys King contested the ‘Lanzarote’ at Kempton last time out whereby the drop in grade is there for all to see.
Favourite factor: The 3/1 market leader finished last of the seven finishers twelve months ago.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/8—Another Mattie (heavy)
1/9—Rhymers Stone (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kelso card on Monday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Nick Alexander
+ 17 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
41 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Huntingdon: £23.70 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced
Ludlow: £88.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced