WINDSOR - AUGUST 15
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £13.50 (6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.30): 9 (Sun Angel) & 1 (Endeavour)
Leg 2 (6.00): 2 (Gaelic Silver) & 3 (Mount Shamsan)
Leg 3 (6.30): 10 (Transmitting) & 9 (Stratum)
Leg 4 (7.00): 2 (Materialistic), 3 (Red Tea) & 4 (Salvo)
Leg 5 (7.30): 2 (Rio Ronaldo), 7 (Goring) & 14 (Ice Age)
Leg 6 (8.00): 1 (Ickymasho), 4 (Sahara) & 5 (Yourkindredspirit)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Windsor - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.30: I offered up SUN ANGEL at a massive price a few weeks ago and sure enough, Henry Candy's raider ran well to finished fifth of twelve when beaten less than five lengths at 40/1. Henry had waxed lyrical about his Sir Prancealot raider during a stable tour earlier in the year and success could be gained at the third time of asking in this grade/company. SMOKEY LANE has run well on all three starts at fancy prices, though I'm not at all sure I want to be backing Sane Kelly's mount at the trade press quote of 11/10, especially with SUN ANGEL in the field. ENDEAVOUR makes more appeal at the projected prices in terms of a danger to the selection.
Favourite factor: The five favourites to date have secured three gold medals (5/4 & 2/1) and two of the silver (4/7 & 2/1) variety.
6.00: Gary Moore has won the last two renewals with the same horse and though he has opted for two different representatives this time around, the popular trainer has a genuine chance of securing a hat trick in the contest. GAELIC SILVER is the marginal call over MOUNT SHAMSON, with this pair probably drawing clear of their rivals at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: The eight favourites have finished first (twice), second, third, fourth (twice) and fifth and 'unseated rider' to date, securing three toteplacepot positions between them.
Course winners in the second race:
1/1--Classic Colori (good to firm)
1/4--Gaelic Silver (soft)
6.30: Three-year-olds invariably get the better of their older rivals in these mixed vintage maiden events and the trend should be extended here with TRANSMITTING and STRATUM having been declared. Sir Michael Stoute's first named raider could score at the first time of asking in this event, albeit STRATUM holds excellent Placepot credentials.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Windsor card.
7.00: Three-year-olds have won six of the last seven (and seven of the last nine) contests, with vintage representatives MATERIALISTIC and RED TEA boasting obvious claims in this 'win only event' with course and distance winner Lolwah having been withdrawn by Sir Michael Stoute. SALVO is preferred to Ghinia as 'third best' with the Charlie Fellowes yard in such fine form.
Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have secured this prize during the last decade, whilst 10 of the 14 jollies have reached the frame (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest:
1/1--Ghinia (good to soft)
7.30: RIO RONALDO won a Class 4 race on this card last year and though it's asking a lot of Mike Murphy's raider to step up to this particular mark successfully, his 3/5 ratio at the track makes him the first name on the team sheet. Eve Johnson Houghton has her team in magnificent fettle just now, whereby the chances of her three runners are all respected, namely GORING, ICE AGE and (even) COOL BAHAMIAN. Eve's trio is listed in order of preference.
Favourite factor: This Class 2 'series finale' is another new race on the Windsor programme.
Record of the course winners in the main event on the card.
1/5--Clear Spring (good)
3/5--Rio Ronaldo (2 x good + good to firm)
1/2--Rosie's Premiere (good)
1/2--Pretty Bubbles (good to firm)
1/4--Sydney Ruffdiamond (good to firm)
1/7--Stellarta (god to firm)
1/3--Black Bess (soft)
1/4--Foxtrot Knight (good to firm)
1/1--Young John (soft)
1/2--Ice Age (good to firm)
8.00: Backing a filly in fine form is an old adage which has passed the test of time and ICKYMASHO fits the bill on this occasion. Just in case she 'bombs out' (taking the majority of Placepot units with her), I have added SAHARA and YOURKINDREDSPIRIT (Mark Johnston's only runner on the card) into the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: Last year's successful 15/8 favourite made up for the complete demise of the inaugural 7/4 market leader two years ago.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:
4--Eve Johnson Houghton (4/12 at Windsor this season winners at 33/1-18/1-4/1-4/5*)
3--David Evans (6/35 - winners at 14/1-10/1-11/2-5/1-4/1-2/1*)
3--Gary Moore (0/20)
2--David Brown (---)
2--Henry Candy (1/9 - winner at 5/4*)
2--Richard Hannon (6/53 - winners at 25/1-4/1-7/2-7/2-3/1*-2/1)
2--Martin Keighley (0/2)
2--Daniel Mark Loughnane (0/2)
2--Neil Mulholland (0/9)
2--Jamie Osborne (2/11 - winners at 16/1 & 10/1)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (2/15 - winners at 2/1* & 13/8*)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
50 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chelmsford: £15.30 - 6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced
Thirsk: £79.10 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 4 placed - 1 unplaced
The meeting at Ayr is a new fixture
Windsor overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 5.30:
10/109--Richard Hannon (Endeavour)
1/28--Jamie Osborne (Gentleman Giles)
12/59--David Evans (Makemerichjohn & Smokey Lane)
0/12--Bill Turner (Reach For Glory)
3/16--Gary Moore (Thomas Girtin)
1/4--David Brown (Trading Places & Tranquil Daze)
4/19--Henry Candy (Sun Angel)