BRIGHTON - AUGUST 22
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £40.50 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Brighton:
Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Company), 1 (Amelia Dream) & 5 (Money In My Pocket)
Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Wahaab), 1 (Time Medicean) & 4 (Zipedeedodah)
Leg 3 (3.00): 4 (Bobbie Vee) & 1 (Dixie's Double)
Leg 4 (3.30): 9 (Fenner Hill Neaser), 3 (Magnificent Madiba) & 6 (Nifty Kier)
Leg 5 (4.00): 4 (Golden Reign) & 3 (Testimonio)
Leg 6 (4.30): 8 (The Greedy Boy) & 5 (Wild Flower)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Richard Hannon has saddled the last two winners of the race (he was not represented on the other occasion) whereby the chance of COMPANY is fully respected. Richard's Pivotal representative will not might further rain falling on the South Downs, whilst Holly Doyle's seven pound claim will aid and abet her chance. Richard also saddles MONEY IN MY POCKET, whilst Mick Channon's AMELIA DREAM did little wrong on debut, suggesting that a small race is likely to come her way, sooner rather than later.
Favourite factor: The 4/9 favourite failed to deliver the goods in a four runner (win only) contest in the first running of the race. Thankfully (for the majority of punters), the next 5/2 market leader made amends before last year's 5/6 jolly was beaten, albeit a Placepot position was gained.
2.30: The appropriate winner in 2014 was called Bookmaker, especially as the three winners of this event to date have scored at 25/1, 16/1 & 12/1. Hoping that punters get a better crack of the whip here, I'll opt for beaten favourite WAHAAB could be worth another chance in this grade/company), TIME MEDICEAN (Tony Carroll's raiders are always worth consideration at this venue) and ZIPEDEEDODAH. The latter named raider is the only four-year-old in the line, vintage representatives have won the previous two contests whilst another relevant raider snared the bronze medal in the inaugural contest.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites (via three renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions without winning their respective events.
Record of the course winner in the field in the second race:
2/4--Indus Valley (good & good to firm)
3.00: The favourite factor stats below are worth more than a glance given the appalling record of market leaders in this event, albeit after just three renewals. A 'short field' Nursery invariably sets the teeth on edge and with recent results in this race to digest, Sunday morning's breakfast is not settling well in the stomach! BOBBIE VEE has already proved himself on fast and soft ground which is a definite plus factor to take into account, whilst Dean Ivory's 18% strike rate in two-year-old handicaps during the last five years is decent enough. Connections might have most to fear from fellow recent winner DIXIE'S DOUBLE and DROP KICK MURPHY, though the latter named raider has only raced under fast conditions thus far. Hope Against Hope is the other potential winner in the race race from my viewpoint. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to race for 5/6/7 runners in which only the first two horses home qualify for each way/Placepot purposes.
Favourite factor: Another odds on favourite (at 1/2 on this occasion) perished on the inaugural card, whilst a search party is still out looking for the next 7/4 market leader, whilst similar comments apply was last year's jolly which was comprehensively beaten at odds of 13/8. The last two winners triumphed at 25/1 & 20/1.
3.30: The usual offering I am afraid because as regular readers will know, I am dictated by the quality of riders in these amateur events, rather than the ability of the thoroughbreds involved. Consequently, my trio against the field consists of FENNER HILL NEASA and a couple of projected outsiders, namely MAGNIFICENT MADIBA and NIFTY KIER.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 5/2 favourite only finished in front of two rivals, with horses filling the frame at 7/1-9/2-8/1.
Record of course winners in the fourth event:
1/6--Flag Of Glory (soft)
1/12--Elle Rebelle (good to firm)
4.00: I guess you could call this as the 'feature event' on the Brighton card, though as none of the races break into even Class 4 status, it's difficult to become wildly enthusiastic, especially with just four runners have been declared. GOLDEN REIGN is expected to account for Luca Cumani's newcomer TESTIMONIO in a race expected to be dominated by this pair of three-year-olds against their elders.
Favourite factor: All three (11/8 -4/5-8/15) favourites have obliged thus far.
4.30: Mick Channon is back among the winners and THE GREEDY BOY makes as much appeal as anything else in a disappointing end to the Placepot card. I doubt that WILD FLOWER will gain the day from a win perspective despite all her valiant Placepot efforts of late though once again, Jimmy Fox's four-year-old filly should figure prominently.
Favourite factor: The four favourites have secured three gold medals and one of the silver variety in the Placepot finale.
Record of the course winners in the sixth race:
2/16--Lutine Charlie (good and firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Brighton card on Monday (stats complied before Sunday's meeting was contested):
4--Mark Brisbourne (1/14 at Brighton this season - winner at 16/1)
4--Richard Hannon (6/22 - winners at 9/1, 6/1, 7/2, 7/2, 11/8*-8/11*)
4--Gary Moore (3/23 - winners at 11/2-7/2***-6/5*)
3--Mick Channon (5/28 - winners at 8/1-7/1-11/2-5/1-5/1)
2--George Baker (2/13 - winners at 4/1** & 7/2)
2--Tony Carroll (7/37 - winners at 14/1-8/1-6/1-11/2-4/1-9/4*-2/1*)
2--Luca Cumani (---)
2--Richard Hughes (4/14 - winners at 5/1-7/2-7/2-9/4)
2--Phil McEntee (2/10 - winners at 2/1* & 2/1**)
2--Laura Mongan (0/2)
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
54 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: £22.10 - 8 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced
Kempton (A/W): This is a new fixture
Thirsk: This is a new fixture
Brighton overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.00 & 3.00 (stats complied before Sunday's meeting):
5/29--Mick Channon (Amelia Dream)
12/35--Richard Hannon (Company & Money In My Pocket)
0/11--Eve Johnson Houghton (Favourite Royal)
3/9--Gary Moore (Grand Myla)
4/13--David Simcock (Mystic Dawn)
1/3--Phil McEntee (Prancealina)
2/6--Luca Cumani (Spinnaka)
3.00 (Nursery event - additional stats):
1/2--Daniel Kubler (Dixie's Double) - 1/19 in Nursery events at all courses during the last 5 years
1/3--William Knight (Katrine) - 3/15
1/9--George Baker (Drop Kick Murphi) - 2/36
1/6--Dean Ivory (Bobbe Vee) - 3/17
0/3--Richard Hughes (Goodwood Crusader) - 2/5
12/35--Richard Hannon (At Th Beach) - 45/290
3/27--Mark Johnston (Hope Against Hope) - 57/447