WINDSOR – APRIL 8
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £413.00 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.50): 1 (Straits Of Malacca), 5 (Generalyse) & 2 (Swendab)
Leg 2 (6.20): 1 (Act Of Freedom) & 5 (Himself)
Leg 3 (6.50): 3 (Sirajiah) & 4 (May Rose)
Leg 4 (7.20): 3 (Challow), 1 (Permian) & 2 (Nibras Bounty)
Leg 5 (7.50): 5 (Absolute Zero) & 6 (Rock Steady)
Leg 6 (8.20): 1 (Carolinae) & 3 (Cosmic Storm), 5 (Bond Trader)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.50: Four of the six Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-4, statistics which include both winners which were returned at 8/1 & 9/2. If we take handicap marks and jockey claims into account, only three horses 'qualify' via the weight trend, namely STRAITS OF MALACCA, GENERALYSE and course winner SWENDAB.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished second to date, securing Placepot positions in the process.
Record of course winners in the opening event:
1/3--Swendab (good to firm)
1/11--Perfect Pastime (heavy)
1/6--Hipz (good to firm)
6.20: Two of the four horses saddled in this event by Richard Hannon (junior) have finished in the frame to date, a 6/5 winner and a placed horse at 33/1. Richard saddles HIMSELF on this occasion and it hardly comes as a shock to witness Tom Marquand's mount eased back in trip following his effort at Salisbury last time when running too free to do himself justice. ACT OF FREEDOM looks the horse in the field to beat however, with Curve Ball expected to take the minor honours. Charlie Appleby (ACT OF FREEDOM) will be keen to get back to a decent run of form following his recent ratio of 1/14 last week which by his standards is simply not good enough.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include a 6/5 winner.
6.50: Three-year-olds tend to get the better of their elders in these mixed vintage maiden events and with William Haggas in tremendous form last week (10/24), it's difficult to look beyond SIRAJIAH, albeit Pat Cosgrave's mount is a three time beaten favourite via four assignments thus far, having been returned at just 2/1 in the other event. MAY ROSE is the potential joker in the pack on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Last year's 6/4 favourite was withdrawn before a new market could be formed which means that the previous Placepot ratio of 2/2 remains intact via gold and silver medallists.
7.20: Sylvester Kirk had a week to remember with which to start off the month of August, his ratio showing at 6/17 with decent level stake profits of 15 points into the bargain. Sylvester saddles CHALLOW this time around, with the Acclamation gelding looking to get off the mark in this Nursery event at the fifth time of asking. Connections should have most to fear from PERMIAN and NIBRAS BOUNTY from the top of the handicap.
Favourite factor: All three market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include one (8/11) winner.
7.50: The trio of three-year-olds thus far have all finished in the money, statistics which include a 4/1 winner. This year's two relevant declarations look the part to extend the good run between them, though Roger Varian (ABSOLUTE ZERO) has only saddled one runner since last Monday which is could be classed as a worrying factor, given all the racing at grade one venues during the period. Perhaps Roger just wanted to give his staff a break whereby ABSOLUTE ZERO is the marginal call over course and distance winner ROCK STEADY.
Favourite factor: Three favourites to date have just one silver medal (and a solitary Placepot position) to show for their endeavours.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
1/4--Prendergast Hill (good to firm)
1/1--Absolute Zero (good to firm)
1/3--Rock Steady (good to firm)
8.20: The last race on the card is by far the most interesting contest from my viewpoint, though with so many represented stables in fine form, the assessment is not an easy task as you might presume. Clive Cox leads the way at the alternative royal venue this season, boasting stats of 11/37 which makes it impossible to leave BOND TRADER out of the equation, despite what the form book might suggest. CAROLINAE (Charlie Fellowes: 3/7) and COSMIC STORM (Ralph Beckett: 7/20) are more logical winners in the contest.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have scored at 9/4 & 7/4, though last year's shortest priced (5/4) favourite finished nearer last than first when missing out on a Placepot position.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:
3--Richard Hannon (5/50 at Windsor this season - winners at 25/1-7/2-7/2-3/1*-2/1)
2--Richard Hughes (4/20 - winners at 20/1-3/1-15/8*-2/5*)
2--George Margarson (0/10)
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
42 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £166.00 - 8 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 5 unplaced
Ffos Las: £683.10 - 8 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £680.00 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced
Windsor overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 6.20 & 7.20:
0/4--Charlie Appleby (Act Of Freedom)
0/6--Dabiel Kubler (Av A Word)
1/7--Richard Hughes (Curve Ball)
1/21--George Margarson (Daring Guest)
18/106--Richard Hannon (Himself)
0/5--John Best (Overmullion)
0/11--Joseph Tuite (Red Alert)
0/3--Ismail Mohammed (Lovely Acclamation)
2/15--Mark Johnston (Permian)
18/106--Richard Hannon (Nibras Bounty & Moneyoryourlife)
2/20--Sylvester Kirk (Challow)
1/10--Karl Burke (Showdance Kid)
1/21--George Margarson (Golden Guest)