WOLVERHAMPTON - DECEMBER 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £79.50 (7 favourites 1 winner – 3 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 3 (Polar Forest), 1 (New Agenda) & 4 (Noguchi)
Leg 2 (2.40): 2 (Hard To Handel) & 4 (Street Outlaw)
Leg 3 (3.10): 2 (High Command), 3 (El Campion) & 1 (Skilled)
Leg 4 (3.40): 6 (Percy B Shelley), 2 (Doctor Bartolo) & 8 (Hertford Dancer)
Leg 5 (4.10): 4 (Bazwind) & 1 (Poetic Force)
Leg 6 (4.40): 7 (Tarseekh) & 5 (Deeley’s Double)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Regular readers will know that I take more notice of the riders than the horses in these amateur events, a self-made rule which produced another 5/1 winner last year thanks to the talent of Serena Botherton in the plate. Accordingly, my short list consists of POLAR FORST, NEW AGENDA and NOGUCHI.
Favourite factor: Seven of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three (9/4 - 8/11 - 10/11) winners via seven renewals. Contrasting results for bookmakers and punters alike however, because although four of the gold medallists were returned at a top price of 3/1, two of the other three winners were sent off at 10/1 and 16/1.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
2.40: All five winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-4 which rules out the bottom weight this time around. The pick of the other four runners will hopefully prove to be HARD TO HANDEL (David O’Meara) and STREET OUTLAW (Daniel Mark Loughnane), the two trainers having turned out some winners of late. David secured a 71/1 treble on the Wolverhampton card on Saturday which I highlighted and I am not about to desert his lone runner on the day. David has won with five of his last nine runners, results which have produced level stake profits of 11 points.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot dividends via five renewals to date, three of them having won their respective events at 4/7-8/11-5/2**. That said, don't feel too sorry for the layers as the inaugural running of this selling event was won by a 40/1 chance.
Record of the course winners in the second race on the card:
1/3—Hard To Handel
3.10: I tend to side with younger horses in this type of event, hoping that the individuals not only have more scope for improvement, but possess more enthusiasm for the task set before them. I hope that three-year-old HIGH COMMAND can transfer his recent winning form on Southwell’s slow surface to this Tapeta track, though Roger Varian’s 0/5 record at Dunstall Park this season is a tad worrying. Beaten favourite SKILLED is given another chance in this grade/company, particularly from a Placepot perspective. EL CAMPION demands plenty of respect as well, having won two of his three races at the venue.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites (including a 5/4 winner) have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.
3.40: John Gosden has only saddled two runners in this event to date, having snared gold and silver medals along the way. John complicates matters to a fashion having declared both HERTFORD DANCER and PERCY B SHELLEY, the latter named Archipenko colt making his debut here. John suggested that this would be a ‘late runner’ this year at a stable tour before the flat season began, suggesting that he was a decent type who that might make into a three-year-old of some significance. DOCTOR BARTOLO is the potential spoiler in the field as far and John and his team is concerned.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions by winning their respective events.
4.10: David Evans saddles the most runners on the card and BAZWIND could turn out to be the best of the quartet, given that the terms and conditions of this Claiming event support the chance of John Egan’s mount. That said, Course and distance winners are worth their weight in gold at this level, especially those that are unbeaten (even via just the one assignment to date) whereby POETIC FORCE is nominated as the main threat.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have finished in the frame (exact science) to date, though we still await the first successful market leader from a win perspective.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest:
4.40: After a poor (Wolverhampton) start to this ‘new’ A/W Championship season which started on October 27, Roger Varian has a chance with both runners on the card, with TARSEEKH backing up High Command in the third race. Three of Tony Carroll’s last seven runners have won which suggests that Tony’s Makfi gelding DEELEY’S DOUBLE could sneak into the frame.
Three of the five favourites have secured Placepot position by winning their respective events, albeit at odds of 1/12-2/9-4/7.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday followed by their seasonal stats + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—David Evans (2/22 – loss of 11 points)
3—Daniel Mark Loughnane (4/22 – Profit of 45 points)
2—Alan Bailey (0/1)
2—James Bennett (0/3)
2—John Butler (0/5)
2—John Gosden (2/9 – loss of 4 points)
2—Rae Guest (1/1 – slight profit)
2—Daniel Kubler (0/3)
2—Jonathan Portman (2/4 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Roger Varian (0/5)
+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
57 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ffos Las: £13.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Plumpton: £179.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced