CHELMSFORD - DECEMBER 19
Last year’s Placepot dividend:
2015: £776.10 (7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Monday:
Leg 1 (1.45): 6 (Gerrard’s Fur Coat), 1 (Marquee Club) & 7 (Her Terms)
Leg 2 (2.15): 6 (Hathfa) & 1 (Alkashaaf)
Leg 3 (2.50): 9 (Austin Friars), 2 (Mezzotint) & 5 (Greyfriarschorista)
Leg 4 (3.20): 7 (Ballylare), 3 (Masarzain) & 2 (Tadaany)
Leg 5 (3.50): 5 (Pearly Queen) & 2 (Frap)
Leg 6 (4.20): 3 (Tommy’s Secret) & 12 (Gabrial The Thug)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.45: Course and distance winner GERRARD’S FUR COAT is the first name on the team sheet, especially as trainer Tom Dascombe has won with four of his last eleven runners, results which have produced ten points of level stake profits. The fact that Richard Kingscote’s mount is the only course winner in the field is another positive factor. Connections might have most to fear from Chelmsford debutant MARQUEE CLUB and HER TERMS.
Favourite Factor: Just the one renewal of races at Chelmsford as you will know, informing that last year’s 11/10 market leader duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the opening event on the card:
1/3—Gerrard’s Fur Coat
2.15: Richard Hughes has been amongst the winners of late (both of his last winners were returned as favourites) and HATHFA is the first name on my team sheet ahead of ALKASHAAF and Robert Cowell’s newcomer Holy Envoy. With 44 winners to his name as a trainer via an 11% strike rate to date, Richard can be pleased with his start but will be looking to kick on next year I’ll wager.
Favourite Factor: This is a new race on the Chelmsford card.
2.50: What possesses a trainer who has saddled eight losers at the track to date, to declare six horses at the venue, with four inmates contesting this event? That is what Jim Best has done here at Chelmsford on Monday and I am hoping that the bottom weight AUSTIN FRIARS proves to be the pick of the quartet, though Jim might know a little bit more about the puzzle than yours truly! Others of interest include MEZZOTINT (the only course winner in the field – returns to defend his crown) and GREYFRIARSCHORISTA who could go close at a decent price under a seven pound claimer who has already ridden three winners.
Favourite Factor: Last year’s 9/4 favourite finished out of the frame
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
3.20: Lee Carter (BALLYLARE) has saddled half of his total of four winners this ‘new season’ of the A/W Championship term at Chelmsford, securing 17 points of level stake profits at all the A/W venues during the study period. Lee’s beaten favourite could be worth another chance in this grade/company, the pick of which might prove to be TADAANY and MASARZAIN who was beaten just two and a quarter lengths the last day despite only finishing fifth at Kempton back in October
Favourite Factor: Last year’s 9/4 market leader finished out of the ‘short field’ frame behind horses returned at 6/1 and 9/1. New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home ‘qualify’ from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/1—Out Of The Ashes
3.50: Dean Ivory did yours truly a favour with his 7/2 winner Secret Bird on Friday and I fancy that stable representative PEARLY QUEEN could outrun her odds under three pound claimer Jack Duern. I have a strong suspicion that FRAP is going to return to winning form soon having been dropped by the odd pound or two via the official handicapper in recent times and with Ian Williams sending out winners under both codes quite frequently who knows, Monday could be the day.
Favourite Factor: This is another new race on the Chelmsford programme.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
4.20: Despite contesting races at this low grade, TOMMY’S SECRET has always maintained potential from my viewpoint and a fifth career victory could be on the cards here, possibly at the main expense of GABRIAL THE THUG, another Ian Williams raider on the Placepot card with definite Placepot claims. I would be disappointed in this pair failed to land the dividend for us if we were live going into the final leg.
Favourite Factor: The last leg of our favourite wager in another new race.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chelmsford card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track since the doors were re-opened around that part of the country + profits/losses accrued:
6 Runners—Jim Best (0/8)
4—Lee Carter (2/11 – Profit of 9 points)
3—David Evans (4/74 – loss of 33 points)
2—Michael Appleby (3/28 – loss of 8 points)
2—John Butler (6/24 – Profit of 95 points)
2—Jane Chapple-Hyam (7/59 – loss of 1 point)
2—James Given (11/76 – loss of 4 points)
2—John Jenkins (10/98 – loss of 9 points)
2—Sylvester Kirk (0/3)
2—Phil McEntee (13/183 – loss of 28 points)
2—William Muir (3/34—loss of 9 points)
2—Jamie Osborne (14/108 – loss of 13 points)
2—John O’Shea (0/2)
2—Ian Williams (8/26 – Profit of 3 points)
+ 38 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
73 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: Last year’s meeting was abandoned
Hereford: This is a new meeting: