LINGFIELD - DECEMBER 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £18.90 (8 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (11.50): 2 (Dervish), 5 (Naseem) & 12 Peaceful Passage)
Leg 2 (12.20): 7 (Heiba) & 9 (Dusty Blue)
Leg 3 (12.50): 6 (Kiribati) & 1 (Black Bubba)
Leg 4 (1.25): 6 (Baby Gal), 7 (Pulsating) & 9 (Joyful Dream)
Leg 5 (1.55): 7 (Natural Scenery) & 2 (Marshgate Lane)
Leg 6 (2.30): 4 (Sign Of The Zodiac), 10 (Seve) & 8 (High Baroque)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
11.50: Plenty of leading trainers have declared horses in the opening event, with Luca Cumani boasting recent stats of 4/13, a ratio which has produced 14 points of level stake profits. Luca saddles his Cacique gelding DERVISH with claims, whilst three of the four John Gosden raiders make some appeal, namely MAKE MEMORIES, NASEEM and PEACEFUL PASSAGE.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Lingfield card with which to open proceedings.
12.20: HEIBA represents Robert Cowell who is the only represented trainer that could be classed as being in some kind of form during recent weeks. Last month’s Newcastle winner should not be hard pressed to figure prominently in this grade/company, with connections probably having most to fear from the likes of five time course winner MOSSGO and DUSTY BLUE, who boasts a 2/5 ratio at Lingfield. The reserve nomination is awarded to Stormflower.
Favourite factor: Five of the seven favourites have finished in the frame via four renewals to date, statistics which include three winners.
Record of course winners in the second race:
1/2—The Big Lad
12.50: Although Mark Johnston’s beaten favourite KIRIBATI will have burned a few fingers to date having been sent off at a top price of 4/1 via five assignments, KIRIBATI deserves to get his head in front and it comes as no surprise to see Mark utilising an all-weather opportunity for his Poet’s Voice colt. Only two months short of his third (real) birthday now, the February foal short certainly finish in the frame at the very least if handling the Polytrack surface, whilst connections of BLACK BUBBA could be the beneficiaries if KIRIBATI fails to act away from turf. Ignore the eighth place form line, as the David Evans raider was only beaten three lengths on his A/W debut.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Lingfield card which like the first race, related to the authorities who ‘moved the goal posts’ for the majority of juvenile events.
1.25: Stan Moore has saddled three of the last four renewals in contests in which the stable was represented, whereby Stan’s JOYFUL DREAM has to be considered, especially as the trainer has declared first time blinkers which might allow the Dream Ahead gelding to reach the frame again. It’s worth noting that the outstanding talent this is Josephine Gordon has already taken her into clear third place in terms of the winning riders for Stan Moore during the last five years, in next to no time at all! Terms and conditions for this selling event suggest that more likely winners include BABY GAL and PULSATING.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won four of the last nine renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 9/1. Eight of the nine market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
1.55: The last six Placepot positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones and NATURAL SCENERY can go close here racing bang on that mark if his three pound claimer takes full advantage of that ‘edge’. Saeed Bin Suroor has his team in good nick and his Wolverhampton winner on his A/W debut can lead dual course and distance winner MARSHGATE LANE home in an interesting contest.
Favourite factor: Three of the five market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (2/1 & 7/4**) winners.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
2.30: Josephine Gordon has another decent ride on the card aboard the bottom weight SEVE who was ending a losing run of eleven assignments when scoring last time out over course and distance. SIGN OF THE ZODIAC has finished ‘in the two’ in all eight races away from turf (winning on three occasions) and this pair will do for me against the other eight contenders, with HIGH BAROQUE offered the reserve nomination.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is another new race on the Lingfield programme.
Record of course winners in the sixth event:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Lingfield card on Monday – followed by their stats for this ‘new season’ which started on October 27 + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Mark Johnston (1/10 – loss of 4 points)
4—Richard Fahey (1/13 – loss of 9 points)
4—John Gosden (0/5)
3—David Evans (2/5 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Michael Appleby (0/1)
2—John Bridger (0/6)
2—Tony Carroll (0/3)
2—Robert Cowell (0/3)
2—Tom Dascombe (1/3 – Slight profit)
2—Scott Dixon (No runners)
2—Mick Easterby (No runners)
2—James Given (0/1)
2—Rae Guest (0/3)
2—Dean Ivory (0/2)
2—John Jenkins (0/3)
2—William Knight (0/3)
2—Heather Main (0/1)
2—Patrick Morris (No runners)
2—William Muir (0/3)
2—Saeed Bin Suroor (3/7 – Profit of 4 points)
+ 38 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
86 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: This is a new meeting
Ludlow: £48.80 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 2 unplaced