WOLVERHAMPTON – FEBRUARY 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £87.80 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.20): 5 (Persistence) & 3 (Flood Warning)
Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (My Rosie), 5 (Shee’s Lucky) & 4 (Haraka)
Leg 3 (3.20): 2 (Dutch Uncle), 3 (Final) & 4 (Toga Tiger)
Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (Coillte Cailin), 2 (Vettori Rules) & 7 (Perfect Cracker)
Leg 5 (4.20): 1 (Miss Dusky Diva) & 3 (Delagoa Bay)
Leg 6 (4.50): 9 (Chandresh), 2 (Dandilion) & 7 (Give Us A Belle)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday day - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: Three-year-olds have won all eight renewals to date, albeit via the thick end of 70% of the total number of runners. Junior raiders are 2/5 to extend the trend before form is taken into account, with PERSISTENCE and FLOOD WARNING heading the interesting list ahead of four-year-old Sea Dweller at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Five of the last six market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions by winning their respective events.
2.50: Mark Johnston has long since been known as the leading trainer of three-year-old handicappers north of Watford and his well backed 3/1 winner in the first running of this race twelve months ago was tipped up by up yours truly. Any money for SHEE’S LUCKY would be of interest accordingly. That said, MY ROSIE and HARAKA are serious threats judged on their runner up on their respective runner-up efforts last time out.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/4 favourite finished out of the frame back in third place in a ‘short field’ contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horse qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives. This race could develop into such a contest if one, two or three non-runners rear their ugly heads today. In the event of late withdrawals, it’s as well to try and oppose the favourite as units on the non-runner are automatically transferred onto the market leader.
3.20: Five-year-olds won the first two renewals before last year’s lone (7/1) representative finished down the field. There is a chance that the race will ‘revert to type’ (despite its brief history) with DUTCH UNCLE and FINAL being this year’s two vintage raiders. Despite being the oldest runner in the field at ten years of age, three time course winner TOGA TIGER could outrun his odds from a Placepot perspective, albeit he has not won off this sort of mark since 2009.
Favourite factor: Just one of the three favourites secured a Placepot position to date when winning the inaugural contest at odds of 6/4 in 2014.
Record of course winners in the third race:
3.50: The lone four-year-old comes to the gig on a hat trick, having secured four of the seven available Placepot positions via just 28% of the total number of runners. Gay Kelleway is the trainer to be live to the situation having offered the green light to VETTORI RULES who is quoted as the rag of the field in the trade press. Five time course winner COILLTE CAILIN was a winner on this card last year, whilst PERFECT CRACKER is another in the line-up who saves some of his best work for this circuit.
Favourite factor: Three market leaders have all claimed Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include one (6/4) winner.
Record of course winners in the fourth event on the card:
4.20: It’s difficult to look beyond MISS DUSKY DIVA who seems to thrive over extreme distances and a twelve pound hike for her last two wins might still leave the handicapper scratching his/her head as the sun goes down this afternoon. DELAGOA BAY only boasts a nine per cent strike rate, though three of her five wins have been gained in marathon events whereby the two mares could dominate proceedings at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders (via just two renewals) have claimed Placepot positions, with one of last year’s 15/8 joint favourites having secured gold.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/5--Miss Dusky Diva
4.50: Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared six of the last nine renewals, whilst nine of the last ten gold medallists have carried a maximum burden of nine stones. It’s odd that no five-year-olds have been declared given the sextet of ‘junior’ representatives which have been given the green light. The pick of the six should prove to be CHANDRESH and DANDILION, though one of the rank outsiders (according to the trade press) make some appeal, namely GIVE US A BELLE who has finished ‘in the three’ 17/34 times at the track, winning on six occasions. Eighteen assignments have passed since his last victory twelve months ago, though the Kheleyf gelding now races off a ten pound lower mark than when landing that victory, whilst he was only beaten four lengths the other day despite finished seventh of ten.
Favourite factor: Six of the eleven favourites have secured Placepot positions in as many years, statistics which include three winners.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
6/33--Give Us A Belle
1/7--Pull The Pin
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Mickael Appleby (4/58 – loss of 34 points)
3—Robert Cowell (2/16 – loss of 7 points)
3—Mark Johnston (4/46 – loss of 13 points)
2—Ralph Beckett (2/11 – loss of 4 points)
2—Clive Cox (0/8)
2—Christine Dunnett (0/1)
2—Mick Easterby (3/13 – level profit/loss)
2—David Evans (8/78 – loss of 34 points)
2—Steph Hollinshead (0/7)
2—Gay Kelleway (1/17 – Profit of 17 points)
2—Neil Mulholland (2/11 – loss of 4 points)
2—Michael Mullineaux (0/9)
2—John O’Shea (1/25 – loss of 17 points)
2—Lynn Sydall (0/8)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
56 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £55.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Plumpton: £28.70 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced