WOLVERHAMPTON – FEBRUARY 20
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £28.40 (6 favourites: 3 winners--2 placed--1 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 9 (Goldmadchen), 1 (Senor George) & 8 (Miss Macchiato)
Leg 2 (2.40): 3 (Bush House) & 5 (War At Sea)
Leg 3 (3.10): 4 (King Oswald), 5 (Tenerezza) & 8 (Dunquin)
Leg 4 (3.45): 1 (Boom The Groom), 4 (Judicial) & 3 (Encore D’Or)
Leg 5 (4.20): 9 (Pushkin Museum) & 1 (Berlios)
Leg 6 (4.55): 4 (It Must Be Faith) & 3 (Billyoakes)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: 12 of the last 14 winners have scored at 11/1 or less which is not too bad a record in this type of (amateur) event. Regular readers will know that I play the 'jockeys' in these events rather than the horses because let's be honest about it, runners that are declared for these races by and large have lost any pace they once possessed, as opposed to the pilots who offer a great deal of difference in the saddle in terms of ability. The relevant pilots will doubtless give plenty of assistance to the likes of GOLDMADCHEN, SENOR GEORGE and MISS MACCHIATO.
Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders and three joint favourites have scored via fourteen contests to date. Thirteen of the sixteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
2.40: Three-year-olds have won five of the eight contests, with vintage representatives being 1/5 to extend the advantage before the form book is consulted. The pick of the quintet of relevant raiders on this occasion could prove to be BUSH HOUSE and WAR AT SEA. The Richard Hughes newcomer WATERVILLE DANCER could be the joker in the pack, given that the bar has not been set too highly by the experienced declarations.
Favourite factor: Seven renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded since the inaugural (6/4) market leader obliged. Seven of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include the (10/11) bronze medallist two years ago.
3.10: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last seven renewals and with the two vintages taking up six of the 13 declarations, four-year-old representatives KING OSWALD and TENEREZZA might repel challenges from the 'senior' raider DUNQUIN close home.
Favourite factor: Eight of the nine winners have scored at a top price of 5/1, statistics which include four successful market leaders. That said, three of the five favourites which failed to win also missed out on toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the third contest:
3/12—Mary Le Bow
3.45: Eight of the nine available toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones, statistics which include all three winners at 20/1, 12/1 and 7/2*. Seven of the eleven runners are eliminated from my enquiries accordingly if taking jockey claims into consideration. This leaves last year’s winner BOOM THE GROOM, JUDICIAL and ENCORE D’OR to carry our Placepot cash between them.
Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for the two beaten favourites, before last year’s 7/2 market leader obliged.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
2/4—Boom The Groom
1/5—Sign Of The Zodica
4.20: The handicapper is beginning to endure sleepless nights with dual course and distance winner PUSHKIN MUSEUM showing no sign of the penalties stopping the bandwagon rolling on, despite running off an eleven pound higher mark than when first successful last month. BERLIOS appears to be the main threat if he can adapt to this Tapeta surface at the first time of asking.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Wolverhampton card.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
4.55: IT MUST BE FAITH represents Michael Appleby who was one of the top trainers last week under either code. Five of Michael’s last fourteen runners have won, figures which have produced 24 points of level stake profit. Others of interest include BILLYOAKES and DOCTOR PARKES.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is another new contest on the Wolverhampton programme.
Record of the course winners in the sixth event:
1/5—It Must Be Faith
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Keith Dalgleish (4/28 – loss of 6 points)
5—David Evans (9/84 – loss of 33 points)
3—Tony Carroll (3/43 – loss of 19 points)
3—James Given (4/23 – Profit of 21 points)
3—Mark Johnston (4/51 – loss of 18 points)
3—Stuart Williams (2/16 – loss of 6 points)
2—Michael Appleby (8/68 – loss of 17 points)
2—Milton Bradley (1/30 – loss of 20 points)
2—Julie Camacho (1/2 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Roger Fell (0/2)
2—Michael Herrington (2/6 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Richard Hughes (2/17 – loss of 10 points)
2—David Simcock (7/25 – Profit of 8 points)
2—Charlie Wallis (1/8 – Profit of 5 points)
+ 37 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
76 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: £149.30 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced
Lingfield’s fixture hails from a bygone age