WOLVERHAMPTON – FEBRUARY 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £71.20 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.20): 6 (Captain Dion), 4 (Nimr) & 5 (Shyron)
Leg 2 (2.50): 3 (Modernism), 2 (Tangramm) & 9 (Hairdryer)
Leg 3 (3.20): 9 (Blue Bahia) & 6 (Right Action)
Leg 4 (3.50): 1 (Pushkin Museum) & 2 (Kyllach Me)
Leg 5 (4.20): 4 (Indian Pursuit), 8 (Strictly Carter) & 9 (Very First Blade)
Leg 6 (4.50): 5 (Burnside) & 3 (Gabrial The Terror)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: With two of his last seven runners having won, Kevin Ryan will be hoping that CAPTAIN DION can follow up his latest (Newcastle) win successfully. Kevin’s Equiano gelding is a winner of three of his last six assignments, with connections probably having most to fear from RUSSIAN SOUL and NIMR on this occasion. That said, SHYRON cannot be left entirely out of the mix given his course record as you can see below.
Favourite factor: The three favourites to date have secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety alongside Placepot positions.
Record of course winners in the opening event:
2.50: The course record of BERLUSCA (see stats below) would look quite favourable if it was not for the declarations of TANGRAMM and MODERNISM who boast aggregate ratios of 10/18 between them! Not everyone is obsessed (like yours truly) with stats and facts but that said, the records of the last named pair must be taken seriously by event the most ardent cynic. HAIRDRYER is added into the equation with Andrew Balding’s team in fine form.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Wolverhampton card.
Record of course winners in the second race on the card:
2/6—Hard To Handel
3.20: Five of the last six winners carried a maximum burden of 8-12 which brings BLUE BAHIA straight in to the mix, closely followed by RIGHT ACTION who carries just 16 ounces more than the ideal weight according to the trends. HARLEQUIN STORM could prove to be the pick of the newcomers.
Favourite factor: Market leaders have won three of the last six renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was retuned at just 7/2. Five of the six favourites finished in the frame during the period.
3.50: It’s difficult to get away from PUSHKIN MUSEUM following an impressive course and distance victory last week, albeit in an amateur event. I received positive news late that day about the runner up who was subsequently brushed aside in conclusive fashion. KYLLACH ME has gained his only three victories (via 24 starts) over course and distance which suggests that the Brian Smart raider is the potential threat to the selection.
Favourite factor: The last eight winners scored at a top price of 7/1, though only two favourites prevailed during the study period. Five market leaders snared Placepot positions.
Record of course winners in the fourth event:
4.20: The second heat of the previous race looks to be a more open affair, with INDIAN PURSUIT, STRICTLY CARTER and VERY FIRST BLADE short listed in a thirteen strong field. The represented trainers only ‘boast’ recent aggregate stats of 6/64 (9.4% strike rate) which hardly inspires confidence, whereby I will add all three horses into my Placepot mix, hoping to make it through to the last leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous event on the card, whereby the same stats apply. The last eight winners all scored at a top price of 7/1, though only two favourites prevailed during the study period. Five market leaders snared Placepot positions.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/5—Jack The Laird
1/28—Very First Blade
4.50: Ian Williams saddles two of the six runners and given his recent 35% strike rate via eight winners (37 points of level stake profit), I will rely on BURNSIDE and GABRIAL THE TERROR to land the dividend for us if we were ‘live’ going into the Placepot finale.
Favourite factor: Only four of the nine favourites have secured Placepot positions to date, statistics which include three winners via seven renewals.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
5/14—Gabrial The Terror
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Derek Ivory (2/20 – loss of 9 points)
4—Ian Wiliams (8/24 – Profit of 46 points)
3—Scott Dixon (1/11 – Profit of 23 points)
3—David Evans (8/67 – loss of 23 points)
3—Kevin Ryan (1/8 – loss of 4 points)
3—Matthew Salaman (0/2)
+ 53 different trainers who each saddle just one or two runners on the card
83 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Sedgefield: £86.90 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced