PLUMPTON – JANUARY 16
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £4,382.40 (6 favourites--2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (1.25): 1 (Bastien) & 4 (The Caller)
Leg 2 (2.00): 2 (Triple Chief) & 6 (Yourholidayisover)
Leg 3 (2.35): 5 (Deckers Delight), 4 (Letemgo) & 6 (Kid Kalanisi)
Leg 4 (3.05): 5 (Royal Salute), 6 (Sweettoothtommy) & 2 (Henllan Harri)
Leg 5 (3.40): 2 (Bob Mahler), 6 (Not Another Muddle) & 5 (Kings Walk)
Leg 6 (4.10): 3 (Royal Etiquette) & 6 (Clonusker)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.25: Five and six-year-olds have secured eleven of the last fifteen renewals between them, with the ‘juniors’ leading 6-5 during the period. The pick of this year’s relevant vintage representatives should prove to be Alan King’s six-year-old raider BASTIEN, with connections probably having most to fear from THE CALLER from the in-form Warren Greatrex yard. Gary Moore’s newcomer NOT NEVER is one to note with an eye to the future.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last thirteen renewals have been secured by favourites, whilst nine of the last fourteen market leaders have finished in the frame. Aside from a 33/1 winner back in 2006, the biggest priced winner was returned at 10/1 during the study period.
2.00: Last year’s winner Goring Two in entered up again though as you can see below, the Needle Gun gelding has required seventeen races to record his two course victories. As a twelve-year-old, Goring Two hardly has scope for improvement though that said, Charlie Deutsch offers a useful five pound claim which suggests that Goring Two might yet make my Placepot mix, once I have finished the basic analysis. Before then, I tend to prefer the likes of TRIPLE CHIEF and YOURHOLIDAYISOVER.
Favourite factor: The six favourites to date have managed to secure just one gold and one silver medal between them from a toteplacepot perspective thus far.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/1—Very Live (heavy)
1/2—Triple Chief (heavy)
2/17—Goring Two (soft & heavy)
2.35: Only four six-year-olds have contested this event during the last three years, with three of the vintage representative having snared Placepot positions, statistics which include two (5/2 & 11/4) winners. Wouldn't you just know that with few other 'edges' to work with, no vintage raiders have been declared this time around! Upwards and onward in as positive a frame of mind as I can possibly assemble, by nominating DECKERS DELIGHT, LETEMGO and KID KALANISI against the remaining four contenders. The last named Jeremy Scott representative might have been the outright call but for the fact that all four winners thus far have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.
Favourite factor: The four favourites have secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety thus far.
3.05: The last twelve winners have carried a maximum weight of 11-4, whilst nine-year-olds have secured three of the last four contests. No horse possesses ticks in both of the trend boxes unfortunate, but nine-year-old HENLLAN HARRI is joined by two horses down the weights, namely ROYAL SALUTE and SWEETTOOTHTOMMY.
Favourite factor: Seven contests had slipped by before the 2011 successful 4/1 favourite relieved bookmakers of some of their ill-gotten gains down the years but sure enough, the race then reverted to type for the next last four renewals before last year’s 3/1 market leader obliged. Just six of the fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
2/7—Leg Iron (soft & heavy)
1/2—Talk Of The South (soft)
2/8—Itoldyou (good & soft)
3.40: An uninteresting maiden event in all honesty, with BOB MAHLER mainly qualifying via the great form of the Warren Greatrex stable these past few weeks. Local raider NOT ANOTHER MUDDLE is included in the mix alongside KINGS WALK.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 6/5 favourite could only manage third spot in a ‘short field’ contest, whereby the market leader missed out on a Placepot position. New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horse home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.
4.10: Six-year-olds have won five of the eight renewals during the last twelve years, though no trainers have sought that particular ‘edge’ this time around. We are left to consider the merits of ROYAL ETIQUETTE and CLONUSKER from my viewpoint and this pair will do for yours truly in (hopefully) wrapping up the Placepot dividend.
Favourite factor: One odds on market leader and a joint favourite have scored during the study period, whilst five of the nine jollies have finished in the frame (exact science) in the toteplacepot finale.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3—Catchin Time (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by this season’s ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Chris Gordon (1/10 – loss of 2 points)
3—Gary Moore (8/39 - Profit of 2 points)
2—Peter Bowen (0/2)
2—Mark Gillard (No runners)
2—Warren Greatrex (1/4 – Profit of 8 points)
2—Paul Henderson (1/4 – Slight profit)
2—Linda Jewell (1/9 – Profit of 6 points)
2—Alan King (1/6 – loss of 4 points)
2—Sophie Leech (0/1)
2—Anna Newton-Smith 0/7)
2—Pat Phelan (0/7)
2—David Pipe (2/7 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Michael Roberts (0/6)
2—Richard Rowe (1/9 – loss of 4 points)
+ 18 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
48 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr – No corresponding meeting
Wolverhampton: £472.20 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced