WINDSOR - JULY 17
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £82.40 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.50): 10 (Russian Regard), 14 (Epsom Secret), 3 (Secret Soul) & 15 (Neptune Star)
Leg 2 (6.20): 1 (Airshow), 6 (Awesometank) & 3 (Expecting)
Leg 3 (6.50): 7 (Zyzzyva) & 2 (Expelled)
Leg 4 (7.20): 7 (Super Julius) & 4 (Dark Shot)
Leg 5 (7.50): 2 (Blushing Rose) & 4 (Canberra Cliffs)
Leg 6 (8.20): 3 (Hollywood Road), 2 (Celebration Day) & 8 (Ogbourne Downs)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.50: Whilst stall ten (of fifteen in total) is not an ideal draw at Windsor on fast ground, this is not a sprint race whereby Jonathan Portman’s Intense Focus gelding RUSSIAN REGARD is offered up as a sporting option with a seven pound claimer in the plate who has already ridden three winners for the relevant trainer. Most firms (except PP) have swerved too much of an each way liability about EPSOM SECRET (11/2 thereabouts), whilst SECRET SOUL will be a popular raider from Ralph Becket’s yard with the trainer turning out quite a few winners of late. Mick Easterby sneaks one in at the bottom of the weights, whereby it would come as no surprise to witness his three-year-old raider NEPTUNE STAR figuring prominently at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Windsor on Monday.
Record of the course winner in the opening race:
6.20: Each way money has been coming in for AIRSHOW with none of the leading bookmakers willing to offer a fraction over the 5/1 (bet to nothing) win and place option for Rod Millman’s representative. Rod’s Showcasing gelding is looking to go one better for connections after two recent silver medals efforts, with AWESOMETANK and EXPECTING fairly obvious dangers representing the powerful years of William Haggas and Charlie Hills respectively. Trap one gives Adam Kirby the chance to kick from the gate aboard AIRSHOW and if the two main rivals offer too much of an easy lead out front, AIRSHOW could score without seeing another rival.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won four of the last nine renewals during which time, six market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).
6.50: Was it the seven pound penalty that stopped RUNNING CLOUD in his tracks last week when tackling his first turf assignment, or perhaps the easy ground at Salisbury that brought about his downfall? Either way, the concession of seven pounds to ZYZZYVA (trap one) could prove too much of an ask, whilst EXPELLED is another newcomer to take seriously, especially as at the time of writing, James Fanshawe’s Exceed And Excel colt was not drifting in the market, which can be the case the yard’s unraced juveniles. Stall two gives Daniel Muscutt’s mount a chance if good enough at the first time of asking.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders (5/2-8/11-4/9) have secured Placepot positions by winning their respective events.
7.20: I would not take 6/4 about DARK SHOT on ground which will be plenty fast enough for Andrew Balding consistent raider though that said, it’s impossible to leave the four-year-old out of the Placepot mix. Eve Johnson Houghton’s progressive junior raider SUPER JULIUS is feared most with a three pound rise for a recent Brighton win hardly disturbing the sleep patterns of connections. The only scenario which could stop such people from sleeping well tonight could be attributed to continued celebrations as the Bated Breath raider seeks a hat trick on this occasion.
Favourite factor: This Class 3 sprint series event is another new race on the Windsor programme.
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
1/1—Spring Loaded (good)
1/1—Stepper Point (good to firm)
1/4—Dark Shot (soft)
1/4—Musical Comedy (good to soft)
7.50: Three-year-olds have claimed fourteen victories during the last nineteen years, albeit three of those vintage representatives were involved in two dead heat scenarios during the study period. Seven junior representatives are involved on this occasion, with BLUSHING ROSE and CANBERRA CLIFFS standing out from the crowd at first light this morning. It’s about time (in all honesty) that Sir Michael Stoute’s raiders starting showing consistent form and with a 35/1 double under his belt from Saturday, Michael (BLUSHING ROSE) aims at building on five winners during the last eight days. Lesser trainers would be happy with that type of ratio, though Michael has set standards in the past that few could match and plenty of gold medallists before Glorious Goodwood would be welcomed a few weeks before we all head south for five wonderful days of sport.
Favourite factor: Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won, whilst 13 of the 23 jollies have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
1/1—High On Love (good to firm)
1/1—Sayem (good to soft)
8.20: CELEBRATION DAY and OGBOURNE DOWNS are two each way options to consider against HOLLYWOOD ROAD in the last leg of our favourite wager. Don Cantillon (HOLLYWOOD ROAD) boasts definite claims of a double in the final two contests, having saddled Canberra Cliffs in the penultimate race on the card. Don’s only Windsor runner at Windsor this season won at 9/2 and sure enough, ‘HR’ was the horse in question when scoring under fast conditions.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/2 favourites favourite found one too good from a win perspective when securing a Placepot position.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Hollywood Road (good to firm)
2/6—Ogbourne Downs (2 x good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Eve Johnson Houghton (2/18 – loss of 10 points)
3—Andrew Balding (2/17 – loss of 6 points)
3—Charlie Hills (2/16 – loss of 6 points)
2—Don Cantillon (1/1 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Robert Eddery (0/6)
2—Ron Harris (1/7 – Profit of 19 points)
2—Richard Hughes (3/28 – loss of 8 points)
2—Dean Ivory (1/23 – loss of 12 points)
2—Gay Kelleway (0/2)
2—Brendan Powell (1/13 – level profit/loss on the season)
2—William Muir (1/14 – loss of 8 points)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £804.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Ffos Las: This is a new meeting
Wolverhampton: £25.20 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced