Placepot pointers – Monday July 25

WINDSOR - JULY 25

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £26.30 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor: 

Leg 1 (5.55): 5 (Money In My Pocket): 8 (Tschierschen) & 1 (Grey Galleon)

Leg 2 (6.25): 2 (Company) & 1 (Mr Pocket)

Leg 3 (7.00): 4 (Inclination) & 5 (Symposium)

Leg 4 (7.30): 1 (September Stars), 2 (Chester Street) & 3 (Feed The Goater)

Leg 5 (8.00): 2 (Prendergast Hill), 7 (Rock Steady) & 8 (Cape Banjo)

Leg 6 (8.30): 8 (Druot) & 2 (Chantecler)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Windsor - please scroll down to the bottom of the page - includes an interesting Richard Hannon stat

 

5.55: There is an interesting juvenile stat at the foot of the column relating to Richard Hannon who saddled the winner of this opening event twelve months ago.  MONEY IN MY POCKET is the stable representative this time around and this is a vert sweet filly according to the trainer and the April foal looks certain to figure prominently at the very least. A victory could well be forthcoming at the first time of asking, though the declarations of TSCHIERSCHEN and GREY GALLEON will ensure that Richard's Acclamation raider does not have things all her own way. GREY GALLEON would not have to improve much on her debut effort to go close I'll wager (though an additional furlong might have helped his cause), whilst William Haggas has a likely type in TSCHIERSCHEN.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/11 favourite was turned over in a four runner 'win only' contest before a 3/10 market leader made amends last year.

6.25: 'Team Hannon' has saddled three of the last eight winners of this event, having also landed the forecast seven years ago with 2/1 and 28/1 raiders for good measure.  Beaten favourite COMPANY has been given the green light on this occasion and there is every chance that Richard's Pivotal filly will improve the recent ratio, though connections of MR POCKET (Paul Cole saddled last year's 16/1 winner) and EVERGATE might have a thing or two to say about that statement.

Favourite factor: Five of the seventeen favourites to date have prevailed, whilst eleven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

7.00: Eight of the last eleven winners have carried weights of 9-4 or less (though recent results are slightly diluting the 'edge'), whilst three and four-year-olds had (equally) shared eight of the previous ten contests, before another 'junior' raider tilted the balance in favour of the three-year-old's twelve months ago.  No four-year-old's are in evidence whereby the handicapper could have another sleepless night as INCLINATION attempts a four timer.  The Clive Cox team can do precious little wrong at the alternative royal venue this season and Ryan Tate's mount could have the official assessor reaching for the medicine cabinet following this contest.  SYMPOSIUM might be the route out of jail for the handicapper I guess, though the Exceed And Excel representative might have to produce a personal best to stop INCLINATION in her tracks.

Favourite factor:  Seven favourites have prevailed in the last eighteen years, whilst eleven market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the study period. Favourites come into the contest on a five-timer on this occasion, whilst eight of the last ten gold medallists have scored at a top price of 13/2.  The other two winners were returned at 12/1.

7.30: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-4 have secured five of the eight toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include the three (3/1-3/1-9/4*) winners. The weight stats eliminate the bottom three (of five) runners, with SEPTEMBER STARS marginally preferred to CHESTER STREET this time around.  This pair represent leading trainers at the top of their (respective) form at present, with Ralph Beckett boasting a ratio of 13/32 in recent times, whilst Roger Charlton has won with seven of his last twelve runners.  FEED THE GOATER is a really consistent type however, whereby it's difficult to leave Richard Hannon's Fastnet Rock raider entirely out of the overnight equation.

Favourite factor: Last year‘s successful 9/4 favourite made up for the total demise of the (11/4) inaugural market leader in 2013.

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/3--Handytalk (good)

8.00: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last fourteen renewals which makes for something of a change in this type of event (three-year-olds usually have the edge) and the trend might be extended by PRENDERGAST HILL.  Three-year-old's that will push the tentative selection all the way to the line are CAPE BANJO and ROCK STEADY.

Favourite factor:  Five favourites have won during the last seventeen years which is not a bad return in this type of event (level stake profits down the years), though just three of the other fourteen market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.

Record of course winners in the fifth event:

1/3--Prendergast Hill (good to firm)

1/1--Youre Always Right (good)

8.30: Although his last eight runners have been beaten, Richard Hughes still boasts recent stats of 5/20 and in a race that might not take a great deal of winning, Richard's lone Windsor raider DRUOT could outrun his odds in this grade/company, especially as the Champs Elysees representative if the youngest horse in the line up. CHANTECLER is taken as the main threat at the overnight stage.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/10 market leader duly obliged, though search parties are still out looking for the pair of unplaced 2/1 joint favourites in the 'short field' contest of two years ago.  Fortunately (for the majority of punters I guess), another 11/10 favourite prevailed twelve months ago.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:

3--Clive Cox (9/31 at Windsor this season winners at 12/1-4/1-3/1-/5/2*-5/2**-15/8*-7/4*-13/8*-4/9*)

3--Richard Hannon (5/45 - winners at 25/1-7/2-7/2-3/1*-2/1)

2--Ralph Becket (5/16 - winners at 6/1-9/2-11/4-9/4**-2/9*)

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2--Roger Charlton (1/10 - winner at 1/2*)

2--Paul Cole (1/13 - winner at 2/1)

2--William Haggas (1/7 - winner at 11/4**)

2--Stan Moore (0/11)

2--Hugo Palmer (winner at Evens*)

2--Ed Walker (0/4)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

49 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ayr: £365.00 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced - Jim Goldie secured a 462/1 treble last year - 5 runners there on Monday

Newton Abbot - £121.00 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

The meetings at Perth & Yarmouth last year were abandoned

 

Windsor overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 5.55 & 6.25:

5.55: 

5/33--Clive Cox (Grey Galleon)

3/14--Gary Moore (Thomas Girtin)

1/26--William Muir (Wearethepeople)

1/40--Stan Moore (Everkyllachy & Sheila's Palace)

18/103--Richard Hannon (Money In My Pocket)

2/12--Dean Ivory (Surfina)

5/23--William Haggas (Tschierschen)

6.25: 

0/1--Jonjo O'Neill (Casaclare)

0/13--Hugo Palmer (Evergate)

0/4--John Gallagher (Gala Celebration)

0/19--Ed Walker (Inlawed & King's Coinage)

3/15--Brian Meehan (Moi Moi Moi)

3/24--Paul Cole (Mr Pocket)

0/3--Brett Johnson (Rakematiz)

18/103--Richard Hannon (Company)

1/4--Luca Cumani (Party Nights)

0/1--George Scott (Saxagogo)

*Interesting footnote (from my viewpoint anyway): 58% of all of Richard Hannon's winners at Windsor (since he took over the license from his father) have emerged from his juvenile runners which account for 43% of all of his representatives at the track

 

 

 

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