WINDSOR – JULY 3
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £310.90 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (6.00): 6 (That’s My Girl), 5 (Misty Spirit) & 4 (Flying Sparkle)
Leg 2 (6.30): 1 (Nag’s Wag) & 3 (Morache Music)
Leg 3 (7.00): 4 (Castellated), 9 (Secret Soul) & 3 (Reckless Wave)
Leg 4 (7.30): 5 (Intrepidly), 7 (Anythingtoday) & 4 (Biotic)
Leg 5 (8.00): 5 (Asaas), 4 (Light Humor) & 2 (Unified)
Leg 6 (8.30): 12 (Razzmatazz), 11 (Omneeya) & 14 (Starsovertheriver)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.00: ‘Team Hannon’ have won the opening event six times in the last twelve years (alongside various silver and bronze medallists), though the trainer was not represented in the contest five years ago and again three years back. Richard saddles his Mastercraftsman filly THAT’S MY GIRL who ran well enough at Chepstow at the first time of asking to suggest that a small race like this could be within range. Not well drawn here however (12/15 – unless plenty of rain arrives), Richard’s February foal might have to come on quite a lot for her second run though that said, many Hannon inmates this term have achieved such improvement. SMOOTH SAILING (14) is another who could done with a luckier draw, whilst FLYING SPARKLE (has fancy entries and has drawn trap 2) and MISTY SPIRIT (8) are others to consider.
Favourite factor: Nine of the thirteen favourites have won to date, with three of the other market leaders finishing in the money. The 4/6 market leader in 2014 could only finish third, albeit the effort was good enough to gain a Placepot position.
6.30: Horses carrying weights of 8-10 or more to date have secured 21 of the 25 available toteplacepot positions (including nine of the ten gold medals), though I am only supplying that information on this occasion for your records, as all six runners ‘qualify’ this time around. Four-year-olds have claimed four of the last nine contests, with NAG’S WAG being this year’s only vintage representative. George Baker’s six time winner probably has MORACHE MUSIC to beat, though 22 assignments have passed since David’s Probert’s mount last won a race.
Favourite factor: Six of the eleven favourites (via ten renewals) have finished in the frame, statistics which include four (10/11—6/5--11/8--9/4**) winners.
Record of course winner in the second race:
1/7—Morache Music (soft)
7.00: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last twelve renewals (vintage representatives are 4/5 to win before the form book is consulted on this occasion) and CASTELLATED and SECRET SOUL could offer half decent value in a race which should not take a great deal of winning. If you fancy that the trend could be breached this year, RECKLESS WAVE could prove to be the potential spoiler in the field, especially with Ed Walker sending out a good few winners of late.
Favourite factor: 12 of the 19 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date via 17 renewals, statistics which include three winners.
7.30: The handicapper might have caught up with Rita’s Man now, whereby I’m inclined to short list three horses via in-form trainers, namely INTREPIDLY (Jeremy Noseda), ANYTHINGTODAY (Hugo Palmer) and Rod Millman’s course and distance winner BIOTIC. The trio is listed in order of preference at the overnight stage.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 13/8 favourite duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in fourth contest on the card:
2/9—Craftsmanship (good to firm & soft)
8.00: Roger Varian has bounced back to form with a vengeance though to be entirely fair, Roger is rarely far away from the winners circle. Only one runner has contested more races than ASAAS and the experience could hold Roger’s Distorted Humor colt in good stead in a race which should not prove difficult to win. There are the usual Windsor debutants to consider from top yards, the pick of which might prove to be LIGHT HUMOR, another Distorted Humor raider in the field as you might have guessed. UNIFIED is the other potential winner in the line up according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: 12 of the last 13 winners have scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include three market leaders and one joint favourite. Eleven of the last twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, with the 2014 (Richard Hannon trained) 13/8 market leader having let the side down.
8.30: Three-year-olds invariably dominate mixed vintage maiden events, both in the number of entries and their 'blanketing' of the Placepot positions. That has certainly been the case in the three contests to date and I expect the trend to be maintained by the likes of RAZZMATAZZ, OMNEEYA and STARSOVERTHERIVER. Look out for any support in the market for Ismail Mohammed’s latter named Kodiac filly who wears the famous white and red colours of Saeed Manana whose fine horses in the past include Luso, Hattan and Warrsan, all of which were trained by the wonderful trainer Clive Brittain whose smile is still missed in and around the racecourse.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders have secured Placerpot positions via three renewals, statistics which include on (6/4) winner.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Windsor card on Monday:
4 runners—Richard Hughes
2—Eve Johnson Houghton
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
78 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hamilton: This is a new meeting on the racing calendar
Pontefract: £193.40 – 9 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 4 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £50.00 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced