Placepot pointers – Monday July 4

WINDSOR - JULY 4

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £2,245.60 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor: 

Leg 1 (6.05): 10 (Named Asset), 7 (Aussie Ruler) & 9 (Malvia)

Leg 2 (6.35): 4 (He's A Lad), 1 (Best Solution) & 7 (Majeste)

Leg 3 (7.05): 2 (Fool To Cry) & 3 (Pastoral Star)

Leg 4 (7.35): 5 (Lucky Beggar), 2 (Sir Billy Wright) & 4 (Major Pusey)

Leg 5 (8.05): 6 (Quebee) & 9 (Henshaw)

Leg 6 (8.35): 7 (Laugh Aloud) & 5 (Jantina)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

6.05: Seven of the eight winners have carried weights of 8-11 or more to date, with four of the fifteen runner omitted accordingly. Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that four-year-olds are around 10/11 to record their sixth win in this ninth renewal, before the form book is taken into consideration. The pick of the quintet of the six representatives (who also qualify via the weight trend) will hopefully prove to be NAMED ASSET, AUSSIE RULER and MALVIA. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to POTTERNELLO.

Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites (stats include two winners at 7/2 & 3/1) have secured toteplacepot positions to date.  The biggest priced winner to date was returned at 10/1 (last year).

Record of course winners in the opening event: 

1/4--Noble Deed (good to firm)

1/10--Perfect Pastime (heavy)

1/5--Hipz (good to firm)

 

6.35: A juvenile race which is famous for the fact that 'Team Hannon' have not trained a winner of the contest to date. The fact that I offer such words is testament to the magnificent 'Hannon' two-year-old record at Windsor and to be entirely fair to the team as was the case three years ago, the stable has not always been represented in the contested.  MAJESTE (well berthed in trap two of sixteen) represents Richard on this occasion, though HE'S A LAD (7) and BEST SOLUTION (has to overcome box twelve) look sure to offer resistance at the business end of the contest.  I pulled an Andrew Balding juvenile rabbit out of the hat a few weeks ago here at Windsor to winning effect and HE'S A LAD could be another at half decent odds. For the record, Andrew has greeted 11 of his last 41 runners in the area reserved for winners and his Lilbourne Lad raider is fancied to go well at the first time of asking.

Favourite factor: Four of the last 12 favourites have won, whilst seven of the last 12 market leaders have finished in the frame. 12 of the last 14 winners scored at 8/1 or less, with seven of those gold medallists being sent off at a top price of 9/2.

7.05: Hughie Morrison is sending out a steady stream of winners now (four of his last thirteen runners have won) and PASTORAL STAR could outrun her odds in a race which should not prove difficult to win.  Official figures suggest that Charlie Bennett's mount has plenty to do here but in form trainers can move mountains in this sport. FOOL TO CRY is the form pick and Roger Varian's Fast Company representative looks a worthy favourite to land this claiming contest.

Favourite factor: The three market leaders to date have secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety whilst snaring toteplacepot positions.

7.35: Fifteen assignments have come and gone since LUCKY BEGGAR scored but Charlie Hills has always believed there are plenty of races in his six-year-old and his last (runner up) effort bodes well for the rest of the season.  Others to consider include the much improved SIR BILLY KNIGHT who is becoming a decent handicap 'yardstick' at this level, BAPAK ASMARA and MAJOR PUSEY.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Windsor card.

Record of course winners in the fourth race:

1/2--Musical Comedy (good to soft)

1/1--Lucky Beggar (heavy)

1/3--Equally Fast (good)

4/6--Nocturn (2 x good to firm & 2 x good)

1/2--Foxtrot Knight (good to firm)

8.05: Three-year-olds tend to run well against their elders in these mixed vintage handicap events, as has been the case in this event, with the four relevant raiders being 5/4 to land this fourth renewal.  QUEBEE attempts to maintain her 100% strike rate (albeit via one assignment to date) with Clive Cox's course and distance winner probably benefitting from better weather at Windsor in recent days, whereby ground conditions have improved almost beyond belief during the last week.  Connections probably have most to fear from HENSHAW and BANISH.

Favourite factor: The two favourites had secured gold and silver medals before last year's 7/4 market leader could finished only fourth of five contenders.

Record of course winners in the fifth contest: 

1/1--Harlequin Striker (soft)

2/8--Craftsmanship (good to firm & soft)

3/23--Starwatch (2 x good to soft & 1 x soft)

1/1--Quebee (good to firm)

8.35: John Gosden has had well fancied horses beaten in this event in each of the last three years and although the four-timer could be on the cards with LAUGH ALOUD here, I am hoping that I am right in giving John's Dubawi representative one last chance in this company/grade. Sir Michael Stoute has his team in terrific form and JANTINA is expected to make considerable progress after attending her first day at school at Nottingham two months ago.

Favourite factor: Seven of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions with five of the last eight market leaders having won this toteplacepot finale contest. The other three winners during the period scored at just 5/2-3/1-7/4.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

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Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:

3 runners--John Bridger (1/17 at Windsor this season - winner at 11/4)

3--David Evans (6/21 - winners at 14/1-10/1-11/2-5/1-4/1-2/1*)

3--Ron Harris (0/4)

3--Charlie Hills (3/11 - winners at 10/1-4/1-2/1)

3--Dean Ivory (3/17 - winners at 10/1-9/2-3/1)

3--William Muir (0/6)

2--Ralph Beckett (3/12 - winners at 6/1-11/4-6/4**)

2--Mick Channon (1/18 - winner at 4/5*)

2--Robert Cowell (0/4)

2--Clive Cox (5/24 - winners at 12/1-4/1-3/1-5/2*-7/4*)

2--Conor Dore (0/6)

2--David Elsworth (0/3)

2--John Gallagher (0/3)

2--Roger Ingram (0/3)

2--George Peckham (0/2)

2--Kevin Ryan (---)

2--Ali Stronge (0/2)

2--Roger Varian (5/15 - winners at 9/2-7/2-10/3-11/10*-5/6*)

+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

81 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends & trainer stats from last year: 

Ayr: £17.20 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 4 placed - 1 unplaced - Jim Goldie secured a 47/1 double

Ripon: £58.20 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced

Worcester: £44.20 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced - Dr Richard Newland notched a 2/1 twosome

 

Windsor overview - Trainer records this season with their juveniles at Windsor (relevant to the 6.35 contest):

1/1--Best Solution (Best Solution)

1/7--Mick Channon (Father McKenzie)

No runners - John Gallagher (Gala Celebration)

1/2--Andrew Balding (He's A Law)

0/1--Clive Cox (Kodaline)

0/1--Sir Mark Prescott (Law Power)

2/14--Richard Hannon (Majeste)

No runners--David Elsworth (Ninety Years Young & Sir Dancealot)

No runners--Phil Mcbride (Paddy A)

1/3--Charlie Hills (Redgrave)

No runners -- William Muir Secret Agent)

No runners--Roger Ingram (Dragon Dream)

No runners--Stuart Williams (Ruby Woo)

0/1--Derek Ivory (Seaview & Surfina)

 

 

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