WINDSOR - JUNE 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £125.50 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.55): 6 (Suffragette City), 5 (Rose Briar) & 4 (Paco's Angel)
Leg 2 (6.25): 1 (Ocean Legend) & 3 (Robert The Painter)
Leg 3 (6.55): 5 (Canford Lilli), 7 (Greenfyre) & 8 (Nightingale Valley)
Leg 4 (7.25): 4 (Sahara) & 8 (Third Rock)
Leg 5 (7.55): 5 (Loose Ends), 4 (Sisania) & 2 (Merry Dancer)
Leg 6 (8.25): 6 (Most Celebrated) & 1 (His Kyllachy)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.55: ‘Team Hannon’ have won the opening event five times in the last eleven years (alongside various silver and bronze medallists), though the trainer was not represented in the contest four years ago and again two years back. Richard saddles his Dragon Pulse filly SUFFRAGETTE CITY with connections probably having most to fear from dual silver medallist PACO'S ANGEL and ROSIE BRIAR. This time last week I pinpointed an Andrew Balding newcomer which was quoted at 14/1 in the trade press before being returned at the successful 7/4 favourite! Andrew has declared his Mayson newcomer ROSIE BRIAR on this occasion. Richard Hannon was full of praise for SUFFRAGETTE CITY during a stable tour earlier in the season and the trainer suggested that we would be seeing his March foal being entered up at around this time of the year.
Favourite factor: Eight of the twelve favourites have won to date, with three of the other market leaders finishing in the money. The 4/6 market leader in 2014 could only finish third, albeit the effort was good enough to gain a Placepot position.
6.25: Horses carrying weights of 8-10 or more to date have secured 19 of the 23 available toteplacepot positions (including eight of the nine gold medals), whilst OCEAN LEGEND has won the last two renewals of this selling event. Tony Carroll's raider could carry as much as seventeen pounds less than when successful last year given the seven pound claimer in the saddle, whereby his chance has to be taken seriously. Proven soft ground winner ROBERT THE PAINTER is preferred to MAGICAL DAZE on account of the conditions, this pair being highlighted via the official ratings.
Favourite factor: Five of the ten favourites (via nine renewals) have finished in the frame, statistics which include three (10/11--11/8--9/4**) winners.
Record of course winners in the second race:
2/9--Ocean Legend (good & good to firm)
1/1--Magical Daze (good to firm)
6.55: Three-year-olds invariably dominate mixed vintage maiden events, both in the number of entries and their 'blanketing' of the Placepot positions. That has certainly been the case in the two contests to date and I expect the trend to be maintained by the likes of CANFORD LILLY, GREENFYRE and NIGHTINGALE VALLEY. The trio is listed in marginal order of preference at the overnight stage.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 6/4 favourite duly obliged before last year's 4/7 market leader could only finish second, albeit the jolly secured a Placepot position.
7.25: SAHARA has been withdrawn from a few events of late and Chris Wall is not one to run a horse on ground which might affect the future of one of his inmates whereby you should keep an eye on the non runners board on Monday leading up to flag fall. If allowed to take his chance, the chance of the Clodovil representative has to be respected. THIRD ROCK is one of only two runners on the card for Sir Michael Stoute who has his team in a rich vein of form right now, whilst CHORAL FESTIVAL completes my trio against the other five contenders in this potential 'dead eight' contest.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Windsor card.
Record of the course winner in fourth contest on the card:
6/43--Choral Festival (3 x good to firm - 2 x good to soft - 1 x good)
7.55: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last eleven renewals and LOOSE ENDS and SISANIA could offer half decent value in a race which should not take a great deal of winning. If you fancy that the trend could be breached this year, the course and distance winner MERRY DANCER could prove to be the potential spoiler in the line up.
Favourite factor: 12 of the 18 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date via 17 renewals, statistics which include three winners.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
2/2--Merry Dancer (2 x good to soft)
8.25: Frustratingly for Saeed Bin Suroor, his inmates started to run into form after Royal Ascot week had passed, with the trainer having failed to score at the big meeting via seventeen representatives. Saeed has declared MOST CELEBRATED who was singled out as a potentially outstanding juvenile by the trainer over eighteen months ago. Quite why it took MOST CELEBRATED nearly all that time to reach the racecourse I'm not sure but whatever the setback, the New Approach raider really caught the eye (despite running green) at Haydock a few weeks at the first time of asking. Any amount of improvement should be enough to win the Placepot finale, with HIS KYLLACHY expected to run well on debut.
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 12 winners have scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include two market leaders and one joint favourite. Ten of the last eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, with the 2014 (Richard Hannon trained) 13/8 market leader having let the side down.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday - stats were implemented before Sunday's sport was contested:
2--runners--Andrew Balding (2/21 at Windsor this season before Sunday's stats were added - winners at 2/9* & 4/7*)
2--John Bridger (0/15)
2--Henry Candy (0/4)
2--Tony Carroll (0/9)
2--Lee Carter (0/2)
2--Robert Eddery (0/4)
2--Richard Hannon (4/33 - winners at 25/1-7/2-3/1*-2/1)
2--Richard Hughes (2/11 - winners at 20/1 & 3/1)
2--John Jenkins (0/5)
2--William Muir (0/4)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (1/10 - winner at 2/1*)
2--Chris Wall (2/7 - 10/3 & 7/4*)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
54 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends and trainer stats from last year:
Musselburgh: £317.70 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Jim Goldie secured a 143/1 double on last year's card - 2 runners on the card on Monday
Pontefract: £139.10 - 6 favourites - No winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Tim Easterby secured a 23/1 double last year - 2 runners on Monday
Wolverhampton: £16.10 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced
Windsor - see Placepot details above - Tony Carroll secured a 104/1 double (two runners)
2016 record of represented trainers in two-year-old races at Windsor relating to the juvenile event at 5.55
No runners--John Jenkins (Cool Echo)
0/1--Robert Eddery (Equimou)
0/3--Joseph Tuite (Kadi)
0/3--Richartd Hughes (Paco's Angel)
1/1--Andrew Balding (Rosie Briar)
2/12--Richard Hannon (Suffragette City)
No runners--Martin Keighley (Whatalove)