LINGFIELD – JUNE 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £89.90 (7 favourites: 1 winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.40): 1 (Nine Below Zero) & 3 (Lethal Lunch)
Leg 2 (6.10): 3 (Dirchill) & 6 (Madame Bounty)
Leg 3 (6.40): 4 (Steaming) & 1 (Mancini)
Leg 4 (7.10): 6 (West Drive), 10 (Essenaitch) & 3 (Fleeting Visit)
Leg 5 (7.40): 4 (Jordan Sport), 9 (Udontdodou), 7 (Stake Acclaim) & 10 (Summer Chorus)
Leg 6 (8.10): 10 (Monteamiata), 6 (Awesome Allan) & 1 (Dagonet)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.40: It might be a good idea to take note of what could prove to be a plethora of non-runners as the afternoon wears on, with the threat of plenty of rain hitting the Windsor area from 16.00 hours. Whether it will be early and heavy enough to affect the earlier races remains to be seen though as ever, be mindful that where you can successfully omit favourites from your permutation (especially when lots of non-runners evolve), you give yourself a fine opportunity of scooping a good dividend. Let’s hope that the course itself does not react not react badly to rain on a firm surface like it has in recent weeks/seasons when come meetings have had to be abandoned. Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that plenty of the Richard Hannon juveniles are improving a great deal following their debuts this season whereby LETHAL LUNCH could offer the biggest threat to NINE BELOW ZERO, who has to give six pounds to his rivals following an impressive gold medal debut performance at Salisbury.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/4 favourite secured a Placepot position by finishing second, flanked by other horses which were returned at 9/4 and 7/1. In case you think I might have forgotten to add the favourite details in four of the other five races on the Placepot card, four of the relevant events are new races.
6.10: DIRCHILL and MADAME BOUNTY remain maidens following an aggregate of six races thus far though that said, both horses look sure to beat their other five rivals, whereby it’s just a case of which entry beats the other though from a Placepot perspective, I don’t really care!
6.40: If the forecast rain arrives on cue, the drop back in trip is likely to suit STEAMING because he would not be troubled if ‘stamina’ became an issue. Richard Kingscote is not used to going nineteen rides without steering a winner home whereby the popular pilot will be hoping that one of his three booked rides today will prevail. It’s worth noting that Richard retains the ride aboard MANCINI who was noted making plenty of late headway at Lingfield on debut after nearly all hope had been ended at the start following a tardy exit from the stalls. If breaking on terms in this grade/company, I would expect Jonathan Portman’s Nathanial gelding to be involved in the finish.
7.10: WEST DRIVE and ESSENAITCH are two of just four course winners on the card which have ‘soft’ featuring in the going description relating to the relevant victories. The rain should have made a difference to the going description by flag fall though either way, FLEETING VISIT completes my trio against the remaining seven declarations.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/7—Ravenous (good to firm)
1/1—West Drive (good to soft)
1/6—Essenaitch (good to soft)
7.40: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last ten contests, whilst seven of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, which eliminates the bottom three horses from my viewpoint. The only two horses which possess ticks in both of the trend boxes are JORDAN SPORT and UDONTDODOU who both happen to have won under soft conditions, should the rain fall as has been forecast. If the wet stuff manages to swerve the Windsor region, SUMMER CHORUS could just be the joker in the pack (attractively priced at around the 9/1 mark at the time of writing) from just sixteen ounces under the ‘superior’ weight barrier. Soft ground course winner STAKE ACCLAIM is the other contender to consider.
Favourite factor: Just one (3/1) favourite has prevailed during the last decade, whilst only three of the last nine market leaders have finished in the frame.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event on the card:
1/1—Spring Loaded (good & good to firm)
1/2—Little Palaver (good to firm)
1/3—Stake Acclaim (soft)
1/4—Pixieleen (good to firm)
1/3—Ice Age (good to firm)
8.10: AWESOME ALLAN should be able to get his hooves well into the ground by the time that flag fall arrives and if you see visible evidence that rain is falling with some purpose in the Windsor area earlier in the evening, the 20/1 offer at the time of writing could be worth taking. MONTEAMIATA is rated as the biggest threat according to the gospel of yours truly, whilst 16/1 looks plenty big enough about DAGONET, especially with Roger Charlton currently boasting a period of results which equate to a 31% strike rate, statistics which offer eleven points of level stake profit.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Open Wide (good to firm)
1/2—Awesome Allen (soft)
1/1—Broadhaven Honey (good to firm)
1/1—Fethiye Boy (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Tony Carroll (0/5)
3—Andrew Balding (1/7 – loss of 3 points)
3—Clive Cox (3/10 – Profit of 17 points)
3—David Evans (1/24 – loss of 13 points)
3—Ed Walker (0/5)
2—Ralph Beckett (0/5)
2—Paul D’Arcy (0/1)
2—Ron Hannon (3/16 – loss of 9 loss)
2—Ron Harris (1/2 – Profit of 24 points)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (2/10 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Dean Ivory (0/12)
2—Pat Phelan (0/3)
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
66 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £19.30 – 9 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced
Leicester: This is a new meeting
Thirsk: £3.90 – 3 favourites – 2 winners & 1 placed (other races abandoned)
Newton Abbot: This is another new meeting on Monday