Placepot pointers – Monday March 28

PLUMPTON – MARCH 28 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £602.80 (8 favourites - 4 winners & 4 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £600.10

Average NH Placepot dividend in 2016: £803.05

Average Plumpton Placepot dividend in 2016: £967.98 (6 meetings - before Sunday's sport)

Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Persian Breeze) & 4 (My Mistress)

Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Burgess Dream), 1 (Very Live) & 2 (Ya Hafad)

Leg 3 (3.05): 4 (Disputed), 3 (Laughton Park) & 2 (Church Field)

Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Gores Island), 4 (Mr Muddle) & 5 (Sportsreport)

Leg 5 (4.15): 1 (Loves Destination) & 2 (Sir Hubert)

Leg 6 (4.50): 2 (Head Spin) & 1 (Charming las)

Suggested stake:  216 bets to 10p stakes

2.00: The going is likely to be a great leveller but all things considered, the seven pounds that PERSIAN BREEZE and MY MISTRESS receive could make all the difference coming into the home turn on the final circuit.  BARAYMI is surely the only other potential gold medallist in the line-up, unless conditions are truly awful.

Favourite factor: Six winning favourites have been recorded during the last decade during which time, eight of the ten market leaders have claimed Placepot positions.  A top priced winner of 9/2 has emerged during the study period.

2.30: Seven of the last ten winners have carried a maximum burden of 10-12, which suggests that BURGESS DREAM could register an overdue success on his seventeenth assignment as a maiden.  Although VERY LIVE and YA HAFAD have collectively won four of their last eight races, they are far from bombproof.  That said, it's almost certain that I will include all three runners in my permutation, hoping that the horse with the least units prevails.

Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven favourites during the study period have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders from a win perspective.

Plumpton record of course winners in the second race:

1/1--Very Live

2/9--Ya Hafad

3.05: Six-year-olds have secured five of the last eight contests, with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.  Four of the last six gold medallists carried 11-2 or more and Chris Gordon's Westerner representative DISPUTED is the only horse in the line-up possessing ticks in each of the trend boxes.  DISPUTED won here on Sunday, but Chris Gordon is his own man who might just go to the well again! Other horses towards the top of the handicap to raise an interest are named as LAUGHTON PARK and CHURCH FIELD.

Favourite factor: No winning favourite emerged during the last decade, when just one market leader finished in the frame!  That said, nine of the ten winners scored at a top price of 7/1.

Plumpton record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

3/6--Laughton Park

1/3--Planetoid

3.40: Gary Moore (GORES ISLAND) has saddled more winners (four in total) than any other trainer during the five year study period of this corresponding meeting and though his ten-year-old has not won any of his last ten assignments, GORES ISLAND has slipped to a potential winning mark and no mistake.  Joshua Moore's mount races off a five pound lower mark than when last successful under heavy conditions at Wincanton.  Connections might have most to fear from MR MUDDLE and SPORTSREPORT on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics that include one (7/2**) winning market leader.

Plumpton record of course winners in the fourth event:

1/4--Gores Island

Your first 30 days for just £1

3/9--Mr Muddle

1/7--Sportsreport

4.15: Two of the last three winners scored at 33/1 & 20/1 so take care when assessing the penultimate leg of our favourite wager.  Chris Gordon (LOVES DESTINATION) is the only represented trainer to have saddled the winner of this event and his top weight can revel in conditions, especially with Lizzie Kelly claiming a useful five pounds in the plate.  SIR HUBERT looks the obvious danger from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: Three of the six market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include two winners.

Plumpton record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/5--Loves Destination

4.50: Horses aged in double figures have won five of the last ten renewals, whilst eight-year-olds lead nine-year-olds 3-2 via the other five contests during the study period. Toohighforme has shown little in two runs around this track to date, whilst Red Anchor is nothing like the horse of old though even at his best, the goalpost was never set that high.  That leaves HEAD SPIN to score from CHARMING LAD.  If only all races were as easy to assess!

Favourite factor: Six of the last eleven favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include four gold medallists.

Plumpton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:

1/4--Charming Lad

1/6--Head Spin

1/11--Red Anchor

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Sunday:

4--Chris Gordon (2/22 at Plumpton this season before Sunday's sport was contested)

3--Jim Best (2/28)

3--Linda Jewell (1/15)

3--Sheena West (3/21)

2--Phil Middleton (0/2)

2--Gary Moore (7/40)

2--Seamus Mullins (1/16)

2--Jamie Snowden (0/4)

2--Lucy Wadham (1/3)

+ 12 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

35 declared runners

 

Your first 30 days for just £1