BATH – MAY 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £2,037.80 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Bath:
Leg 1 (2.15): 5 (Hurricane Alert), 2 (Captain Ryan) & 17 (Jeanie’s Place)
Leg 2 (2.50): 2 (Sfumato), 6 (Mutawakked) & 1 (Poet’s Society)
Leg 3 (3.25): 1 (Secretfact), 2 (Flying Bear) & 4 (Powerful Dream)
Leg 4 (4.00): 1 (Rock Of Estonia) & 2 (Joe’s Spirit)
Leg 5 (4.35): 1 (Mornington) & 4 (Sellingallthetime)
Leg 6 (5.10): 8 (The Quarterbeck) & 3 (Hallingham)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Bank Holiday Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: There has been overnight money for JEANIE’S PLACE and I will add the outsider into the Placepot equation, alongside the likes of HURRICANE ALERT and CAPTAIN RYAN in a race which will not require a great deal of winning.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/2 joint favourites snared gold and bronze medals before last year’s 8/11 market leader finished out of the ‘short field’ frame. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races, in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Bath record of course winners in the opening contest:
1/8—Lucky Clover (good to firm)
5/18—Captain Ryan (3 x firm, good to firm & good to soft)
1/1—Compton Prince (good to firm)
1/2—Buyauq (good to soft)
2.50: The last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2 whereby the bottom two horses are eliminated from my thoughts in this ‘dead eight’ event. Roger Charlton saddled the first winner of the new season at Bath a few weeks ago (his only runner at the track this term to date) and given that his last four runners have won (as have five of his last six), SFUMATO is the first name on the team sheet. Brian Meehan also saddled his only runner at the meeting in this event, with MUTAWAKKED representing the trainer who has won with both of his raiders at Bath this season. Mark Johnson sends just one runner to the track on Monday whereby POET’S SOCIETY will be expected to snare some of the prize money on offer, if only to pay the diesel bill. By the by, if you have never seen the Robin Williams film Dead Poet’s Society, you have missed out on one the very best films ever made about the education system, in my humble opinion.
Favourite factor: The last four favourites have snared two gold medals and one of the silver variety whilst claiming Placepot positions.
3.25: Frank The Barber is put in as third favourite in some lists this morning though it’s as well to point out that all six winners to date carried far more weight that the five-year-old has been allotted. Four of the six winners thus far have scored at 28/1-16/1-14/1-10/1 whereby you should ‘keep your powder dry’ from a win perspective from my viewpoint, with yours truly offering Placepot types such as SECRETFACT (unlucky as Windsor last week) FLYING BEAR and POWERFUL DREAM to give us a run for our money. I am invariably suggesting that you should be on your guard against ‘false information’ in this business and a bizarre comment has been posted in the trade press this morning. The ‘expert’ on hand suggests that Swendad likes this course and distance, little wonder considering that his record at Bath is 1/16! Swendab might win who knows, though that is not the point I am making.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include one (7/2**) winner thus far.
Bath record of course winners in the third race:
2/5—Secretfact (2 x good to soft))
1/4—Powerful Dream (firm)
1/16—Swendab (good to firm)
4.00: ROCK OF ESTONIA and JOE’S SPIRIT will do for me against the field. Lulu Stanford boasts recent stats of 3/5 and will be riding the latter named Michael Bell raider with plenty of confidence.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/4 favourite finished well down the field in which horses sent off at 20/1-12/1-14/1 filled the frame, a result which had a great influence of the great Placepot dividend of £2,037.80.
4.35: MORNINGTON and SELLINGALLTHETIME should snare this ‘win only’ race between them. I apologize for the lack of content but my I am having to use my touchscreen to write up these last few races.
Favourite factor: Three of the last six favourites have finished in the money, statistics which include two winners via five renewals.
Bath record of course winners in the fifth event on the card:
5/24—Sunny Future (3 x firm, good & good to soft)
5.10: THE QUARTERJACK won this event back in 2014 and given his three course victories have been gained on good through to soft ground, the forecast rain will be appreciated by the relevant connections. Light drizzle has been falling for much of the night (I live fifteen minutes from the course) and with more forecast throughout the day, the anticipated firm ground might not be in evidence by the time this event is contested. HALLINGHAM is rated as the main threat on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Three of the last five market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Bath record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
3/6—The Quarterjack (good – good to soft – soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bath card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season following two meetings + profits/losses accrued:
3—Richard Hughes (2/4 – Profit of 4 points)
3—Jeremy Gask (0/1)
3—Malcolm Saunders (0/3)
2—George Baker (0/1)
2—Brian Barr (No runners)
2—Milton Bradley (0/3)
2—Richard Hannon (3/6 – Profit of 7 points)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (0/2)
2—Roger Ingram (No runners)
2—Joseph Tuite (0/2)
2—Charlie Wallis (0/1)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
58 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Beverley: £85.30 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced
Windsor: £4,124.10 – 8 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 5 unplaced
Kempton (NH): £296.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
Warwick: £55.80 - 8 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaces