Placepot pointers – Monday May 16

WINDSOR – MAY 16

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £14.00 (7 favourites: 4 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor: 

Leg 1 (6.00): 3 (Tagula Night), 2 (Great Fun) & 6 (Renounce)

Leg 2 (6.30): 8 (Tiggaliscious) & 2 (Barroche)

Leg 3 (7.00): 2 (Sea Of Snow) & 1 (Legendary Lunch)

Leg 4 (7.30): 6 (Harikiri), 7 (I Am) & 8 (Idealist)

Leg 5 (8.00): 3 (Green Light), 5 (Cape Discovery) & 1 (Barwick)

Leg 6 (8.30): 6 (Bring On A Spinner) & 4 (Nag's Wag)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

6.00: Four-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests whilst 11 of the last 12 winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, with RENOUNCE being the only horse in the field with ticks in both of the trend boxes.  The official weights and measures suggest that ten-year-old TAGULA NIGHT could register his tenth success, especially if the weather proves the forecasters right, with dry conditions prevailing.  GREAT FUN completes my trio against the other five contenders, with Brian Meehan's team now running into winning form.

Favourite factor: 14 of the 18 market leaders have reached the frame during the study period, statistics which include nine winners.

Windsor record of course winners in the opening event:

1/9--Tagula Night (good to firm)

1/6--Commanche (heavy)

6.30: ‘Team Hannon’ had saddled four of the last eight winners of this contest in this event (confined to fillies) before the change of status (see details below), with TIGGALISCIOUS representing the yard this time around having found one too good for her when Sea Of Snow (contests the next race on the card) prevailed by a neck at level weights here at Windsor last week.  A victory for Richard's raider could be considered as 'better sweet' for the yard because it would be an obvious pointer to See Of Snow half an hour later against Hannon's pair of raiders.  BARROCHE might outrun FASTNET SPIN for the forecast position.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the card, though not just because of the recent change of maiden races to Novice events. This event has been 'promoted' to Class 4 status.

Windsor record of course winners in the second race:

1/1--Fastnet Spin (soft)

7.00: It is difficult to look beyond the two penalised winners in the contest, though Richard Hannon runs a stable companion (NORTHERN THUNDER) against inmate LEGENDARY LUNCH on this occasion.  Richard's course and distance winner is asked to give Mark Johnston's fellow course and distance winner SEA OF SNOW five pounds which should draw the pair close together at the business end of proceedings.  The other three runners look to be competing for fourth place prize money in this 'short field' event.  New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify for Placepot and each way purposes.

Favourite factor: Both (8/11) favourites have obliged to date.

7.30: I pointed out (first and foremast) that 14/1 looked too big about Blond Me in the trade press last year, before the eventual 10/1 chance was beaten a neck by the (not so) jolly old favourite twelve months ago.  Hoping for a little more luck this time around, the value for money call is HARIKIRI who was beaten on her only start by Australian Queen last term in a warm contest.  Charlie Hills has his team in decent nick for good measure, with the Teofilo raider always looking to make up into a better horse as time goes by.  Others to consider include three newcomers, namely I AM (John Gosden's only runner on the card), IDEALIST and (possibly) PIXEL.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won eight of the last twelve renewals during which time, eleven gold medallists were returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

8.00: Four-year-olds have won five of the six contests to date, whilst snaring nine of the fourteen available toteplacepot positions.  Vintage representatives are 2/5 to extend the positive trend and the pick of the relevant quintet on this occasion should prove to be GREEN LIGHT and CAPE DISCOVERY.  If the trend is to go pear shaped this time around, BARWICK is the obvious choice.

Favourite factor: Four of the eight favourites have finished in the frame thus far via six renewals (one winner).

Windsor record of course winners in the fifth race on the card:

1/1--Cape Discovery (good)

8.30: Nine of the last twelve winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-4 (four of the last nine gold medallists have been burdened with 8-13.  BRING ON A SPINNER and NAG'S WAG are fancied to land the Placepot dividend for us if we are 'live' going into the final leg accordingly.  Connections could have most to fear from CULTURED KNIGHT.

Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won this event during the study period, whilst 12 of the last 20 market leaders reached the frame, which is a half decent ratio in this type of (handicap) event.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:

4--Clive Cox (1/6 at Windsor this season)

3--Richard Hannon (2/12)

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3--Richard Hughes (1/4)

2--George Baker (0/7)

2--Ralph Beckett (1/3)

2--John Jenkins (0/2)

2--Joseph Tuite (0/6)

2--Stuart Williams (1/2)

+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

50 declared runners

 

General overview: 

Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Leicester: £58.00 (8 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced)

Redcar: 204.20 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

New meetings:

Brighton:

Kempton (NH):

 

Windsor overview:

Records in 2YO races at Windsor this season of represented trainers:

6.30:

2/3--David Evans (Fastnet Spin)

No runners--Clive Cox (Barroche)

0/1--Joseph Tuite (Felstead Queen)

0/2--Mick Channon (Jule In The Crown)

No runners--George Masgarson (Miss Rosina)

0/1--Richard Hughes (Polly's Angels)

0/1--Ralph Beckett (Speed Freak)

1/4--Richard Hannon (Tiggaliscious)

7.00:

1/4--Richard Hannon (Legendary Lunch & Northern Thunder)

1/2--Mark Johnston (Sea Of Snow)

No runners--Ed Vaughan (George Ravenscar)

No Runners--Julia Feilden (Valley Lodge)

0/1--Joseph Tuite (Zepspear)

 

 

 

 

 

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