LEICESTER – MAY 29
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
2016: £79.50 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (2.05): 6 (Waves), 10 (Whitely) & 1 (Sister Dude)
Leg 2 (2.40): 8 (Log Off), 4 (Sir Jack) & 1 (Cockney Boy)
Leg 3 (3.15): 5 (Boots And Spurs), 6 (Ripoli) & 9 (Frank Bridge)
Leg 4 (3.50): 8 (So Sleek) & 3 (Doreen)
Leg 5 (4.25): 3 (Ejaaby) & 5 (Parfait)
Leg 6 (5.00): 2 (Amber Mystique) & 4 (Indigo Princess)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Bank Holiday Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.05: Eve Johnson Houghton has her horses running to fine each way effect just now, whereby the chance of WAVES is respected, particularly after her Bath victory on soft ground recently. If plenty of rain falls between now and flag fall, I would be confident of WAVES ‘following up’, otherwise the likes of WHITELEY and SISTER DUDE could take advantage to winning effect. There was plenty of money for WHITELEY after I has made a big case for Mick Channon’s Dark Angel filly the last day and if she enjoys better luck in running here, it could just be her day.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings.
Record of course winner in the opening event:
2/7—Imperial Link (soft & heavy)
2.40: Eight of the last eleven winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-2, which rules out three of the top six in the handicap, the other trio towards the top of the list qualifying via potential jockey claims. LOG OFF receives plenty of weight to the point where the David Evans raider is the call, with David still sending out plenty of winners. SIR JACK and COCKNEY BOY are feared most.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have won five of the last nine renewals during which time, seven winners scored at a top price of 7/2. Seven of the last eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Record of course winner in the second contest:
1/6—Scent Of Power (good to firm)
3.15: Scott Dixon (BOOTS AND SPURS) had saddled four of his last six runners to gold and silver medal effect (two of each) at the time of writing, whereby his eight-year-old raider is offered up as the each way call in the contest. The race will not take a great deal of winning however, which also brings the likes of RIPOLI and FRANK BRIDGE into the equation.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 favourite finished out with the washing.
Record of course winner in the third race:
1/2—Showboating (good to firm)
3.50: Just when you thought there were no crocodiles left in the water, a 16/1 ‘snapper’ bit punters where it hurts most twelve months ago. The four-year-old ended the three-year-old monopoly in the contest but hoping that the race reverts to type here, I’ll opt for SO SLEEK who looks to have found a fine chance to score by trainer Luca Cumani. DOREEN could prove to be the pick of the opposition in a race in which the declared fillies have hardly set the world alight thus far.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have finished in the frame, three of which won at 11/10-4/7-4/9, with one of the others (4/7) having snared a silver medal. Last year’s 4/6 favourite let the side down however, with detectives still looking for the jolly.
4.25: All eleven winners in as many years have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, statistics which eliminates the bottom five runners in the field. The respective blue silks of ‘Hamdan’ and Godolphin could have a stranglehold in this event with their representatives EJAABY and PARFAIT having been declared by their respective trainers, namely Roger Varian and John Gosden. As a winner of two of his last three races, respect is shown to Scorching Heat who ranks as ‘third best’ from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last eleven years, whilst seven of the last ten market leaders snared Placepot positions. Nine of the eleven winners during the study period scored at a top price of 9/1.
Record of course winner in the fifth event on the card:
1/2—Sayesse (good to firm)
5.00: Four-year-olds have landed four of the nine renewals and AMBER MYSTIQUE and INDIGO PRINCESS are likely to represent yours truly in the Placepot finale on Bank Holiday Monday. Although the Sakhee filly AMBER MISTIQUE won her only race on an all-weather surface thus far, her two efforts on turf have resulted in Placepot ‘successes’ whereby Tony Hamilton’s mount is the first name on the team sheet in the ‘lucky last’. Michael Appleby puts a seven pound claimer aboard INDIGO PRINCESS, even though his recent Nottingham winner was only given a two pound hike for the relevant victory.
Favourite factor: Only one (joint) favourite has prevailed via nine contests during the last eleven years, though all nine gold medallists scored at a top price of 9/1. Five of the twelve market leaders finished in the frame.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Bank Holiday Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—David Evans (0/4)
3—Michael Appleby (0/4)
3—Mick Channon (0/3)
2—Andrew Balding (1/3 – slight loss)
2—Tony Carroll (0/4)
2—Scott Dixon (No runners)
2—Brian Ellison (0/2)
2—Richard Fahey (1/11 – loss of 4 points)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (1/5 – level profit/loss)
2—Daniel Mark Loughnane (1/3 – Profit of 6 points)
2—Laura Mongan (No runners)
2—William Muir (0/1)
2—John O’Shea (0/1)
2—Sir Michael Stoute (0/3)
2—Mark Tompkins (No runners)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
56 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Redcar: £133.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Windsor: £168.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Cartmel: £113.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Huntingdon: £276.10 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Chelmsford: No corresponding meeting found