WINDSOR – MAY 9
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £127.20 (8 favourites: 3 winners-- 1 placed-- 4 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor:
Leg 1 (5.20): 7 (Tiggaliscious), 8 (Whiteley) & 2 (Joshlee)
Leg 2 (5.50): 10 (Sir George Somers) & 1 (Central Square)
Leg 3 (6.20): 2 (Bedrock), 9 (Fool To Cry) & 1 (King Of Dreams)
Leg 4 (6.50): 6 (Nisser) & 5 (Justice First)
Leg 5 (7.20): 1 (Battle Of Marathon) & 5 (Lightning Spear)
Leg 6 (7.50): 9 (Impediment), 7 (False ID) & 1 (Pirouette)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.20: This is one of those 'new races' which has been changed from a maiden event to 'Novice' status. It is up to Matt at Geegeez (and you) to decide if you think previous renewals are relevant, though I certainly do given that the basic format of the race is the same, a juvenile race for fillies. If a horse in the field has won in future (taking the said beast from maiden to true Novice status), I might has second thoughts. Matt might ask me to follow the code laid down by the BHA (I'll let you know) but in the meantime, everything remains the same. As every reader will know, ‘Team Hannon’ has monopolised juvenile races here in recent years and there is a chance that Richard's pair TIGGALISCIOUS and JOSIANE will step up on their first efforts to winning effect. That said, there are at least three newcomers that could score at their first day of school, the trio possibly led home by WHITELEY and JOSHLEE on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites (all winners of their respective races) have secured toteplacepot positions to date.
5.50: Although junior (three-year-old) runners tend to win these mixed vintage maiden events, four-year-old beaten favourite CENTRAL SQUARE should take plenty of kicking out of the Placepot frame. The general stat do not allow me to back the Roger Varian raider to win in such a contest however, whereby if I do place a bet for a horse to prevail, the choice will be made from PARIS MAGIC and SIR GEORGE SOMERS.
Favourite factor: All nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via eight renewals to date, statistics which include four winners. All eight gold medallists have scored at odds of 5/1 or less.
6.20: It would be as well to glance down at the favourite details below before you assess this event. Just six pounds separate this ten strong field which also suggests that it might pay to be a layer rather than a player on this occasion. That option has no bearing on the Placepot at the overnight stage however, whereby I have to be positive, offering the trio of BEDROCK, FOOL TO CRY and KING OF DREAMS to get us safely through to the second half of our favourite wager, though any 'win money' will be safely locked away for another day.
Favourite factor: Only one favourite has prevailed during the last eight renewals during which times, winners were returned at 33/1-25/1-20/1-14/1-10/1.
6.50: I offered 25/1 winner Ower Fly in my mix when he scored over course and distance earlier in the season, though stable companion NISSER can add to his course victory in this grade/company on behalf of the Richard Hannon team. SYDNEY RUFFDIAMOND and JUSTICE FIRST are feared most.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Windsor card.
Windsor record of course winners in the fourth race:
7.20: Seven four-year-olds have won this event during the last thirteen years whereby BATTLE OF MARATHON can be taken seriously in this renewal, albeit LIGHTNING SPEAR looks a dangerous rival at the weights. I cannot really fancy either of the other pair of four-year-old in this grade, with HERE COMES WHEN probably snaring the bronze medal this time up. Andrew Balding's six-year-old threatened to be a serious horse in his younger days, but Jim Crowley's mount has not won for nineteen months now and any scope for improvement seems to have passed.
Favourite factor: 14 of the 15 winners to date have been returned at odds of 9/2 or less, whilst eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (eight winners). That said, the 8/11 market leader (Montiridge) was a Placepot casualty three year ago.
7.50: Ten of the last twelve winners have carried 9-1 or more thus far, albeit this is a ‘compressed’ handicap with just nine pounds separating the top 12/14 horses in the weights. Five horses are overlooked accordingly, even though I am a little hesitant to omit ZEBEDEE'S SON from the overnight mix. Upwards and onward however, by suggesting that IMPEDIMENT, FALSE ID and PIROUETTE should claim at least one Placepot position between them at the very least. ARITHMETIC is nominated as the overnight reserve.
Favourite factor: Ten of the 17 market leaders have finished in the frame (five winners), though six gold medallists during the last 14 years were returned at 20/1--20/1--12/1--11/1--10/1--10/1.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ascot card on Saturday:
6--Richard Hannon (2/9 at Windsor this season) - 39/1 double on the card last year
4--Ed Dunlop (1/6)
4--David Evans (3/9)
3--Andrew Balding (0/3)
3--Marco Botti (1/2)
3--Charlie Hills (0/2)
3--Mark Johnston (0/3)
3--Hughie Morrison (0/2)
2--Harry Dunlop (0/1)
2--Richard Hughes (1/3)
2--Mick Channon (0/5)
2--Sylvester Kirk (--)
2--David Simcock (0/1)
2--Richard Spencer (--)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (0/5)
2--Roger Varian (2/6)
+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Musselburgh: £25.30 (7 favourites - 5 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Leading trainers at Musselburgh this season with runners on Monday:
2/4--Ruth Carr (5/1 twice) - 2 runners
2/4--Mark Johnston (6/1 & 85/40*) - 2 runners
Towcester: £87.00 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
17/2 double last year for Nicky Henderson - 1 runner on Monday
Wolverhampton: £254.30 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Other meeting: Brighton
Leading trainer this season with a runner at Brighton on Monday:
2/4--Paul Cole (3/1 & 11/4) - 1 runner
Represented trainers of juveniles in the first race - ratios with two-year-olds this season at Windsor:
John Bridger (Crystal Secret) - 0/1
Richard Hughes (Joshlee) - No 2YO runners yet this season
Richard Hannon (Josiane & Tiggaliscious) - 1/2
Jo Hughes (Luv U Always) - No runners
Robert Cowell (Princess Holly) - No runners
Mark Johnston (Sea Of Snow) - 0/1
Mick Channon (Whiteley) - 0/1