EXETER - NOVEMBER 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £94.40 (8 favourites - 4 winners & 4 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (1.20): 1 (Rouge Devils) & 6 (Swoop To Conquer)
Leg 2 (1.50): 6 (Resolution Bay), 5 (Magnus Romeo) & 4 (Double Treasure)
Leg 3 (2.20): 1 (Dodging Bullets) & 2 (Garde La Victoire)
Leg 4 (2.50): 1 (Southfield Vic) & 6 (Whataknight)
Leg 5 (3.20): 4 (By The Boardwalk), 5 (Dreamsoftheatre) & 3 (Gary Charm)
Leg 6 (3.50): 6 (Kid Kalanisi), 1 (Monkhouse) & 2 (Mighty Leader)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: Five-year-olds have won the last seven renewals and with ROUGE DEVILS as one of the two vintage representatives this time around, the trend looks likely to be extended. Paul Nicholls (ROUGE DEVEILS) has saddled two of the last seven winners with Paul holding four entries in the contest at the weekend, Paul has offered the chance for Harry Cobden’s mount to complete an eighteen day hat trick. SWOOP TO CONQUER was most disappointing at the first time of asking though Nicky Henderson horses rarely make their respective debuts fully wound up. The declaration of Murifield adds interest to proceedings, whilst Bistouri D’Honore is the other Paul Nicholls entry.
Favourite factor: The eight favourites have secured three gold, three silver and one bronze medal thus far.
1.50: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of four of the last thirteen contests with Philip having offered the green light to RESOLUTION BAY on this occasion having held two options at the weekend. Five-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests whereby MAGNUS ROMEO and DOUBLE TREASURE are not ruled out of the contention at the overnight stage.
Favourite factor: Twelve winning favourites have emerged at 1/6, 4/11, 4/9, 4/9, 4/7, Evens, 10/11, 8/13, 8/11, 11/8, 7/4 and 15/8**, whilst the biggest priced scorer to date was returned at 8/1. Seventeen of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, whilst favourites come to the gig on an 11 timer on this occasion!
2.20: Paul Nicholls has won five of the last eighteen ‘Haldon Gold Cup’ contests and significantly, DODGING BULLETS was his only entry at the four day stage. Take ‘Bullets’ out of the equation and we would arguably have a poor renewal of Exeter’s biggest race of the season, albeit connections of GARDE LA VICTOIRE would have reason to oppose that view, with the Philip Hobbs raider having won 11/19 thus far. For all that, DODGING BULLETS is the star of the show win, lose or dead heat and with Paul knocking out the winners in all classes of event this last two or three weeks, Nick Schofield’s mount is difficult to oppose. Those looking further down the handicap for inspiration could do worse that consider ULTRAGOLD, albeit Colin Tizzard’s representative runs from three pounds out of the handicap. The ground is likely to find out Pain Au Chocolat which leaves Sir Valentino in as ‘next best’ from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won during the last eighteen years, whilst eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period. Nine winners have emerged from the front three horses in the betting during the last fourteen years.
2.50: The inaugural winner (two years ago) went on to win two of his next four races, whilst last year’s gold medallists secured two of his next five assignments. Connections of the winner will be hoping the trend continues, with yours truly nominating WHATAKNIGHT as the main threat to SOUTHFIELD VIC who has terms and conditions very much in his favour. BARNEY DWEN would have been fancied to go close if plenty of rain had fallen over the weekend.
Favourite factor: The two (11/8 & 2/1) favourites to both won their respective events.
3.20: Eight and nine-year-old’s have produced six of the nine winners to date with the ‘older set’ having secured four of the last eight contests. Two of the three eight-year-olds will be well suited by the fast conditions, namely BY THE BOARDWALK and DREAMSOFTHEATRE, whilst the other relevant entry GARY CHARM is also added into the equation. Seven of the gold medallists have been returned at 28/1-25/1-16/1-14/1-10/1-10/1--7/1 thus far.
Favourite factor: Four market leaders having finished in the frame to date (one winner) via nine renewals.
3.50: Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared six of the last eight renewals, with MONKHOUSE and KID KALANISI the relevant horses in the Placepot finale. KID KALANISI represents Jeremy Scott who has secured two of the last three contests in which the trainer was represented. For the record, Jeremy’s other raider finished second. MIGHTY LEADER completes my trio against the other four contenders.
Favourite factor: Six of the ten favourites have finished in the money (four of which won their respective events), via eight renewals to date.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday – followed by their Exeter record this season + profits/losses accrued:
6—David Pipe (0/6)
4—Paul Nicholls (2/3 – slight profit)
3—Jimmy Frost (0/5)
3—Harry Fry (0/1)
3—Philip Hobbs (1/5 – loss of 3 points)
3—Tim Vaughan (0/2)
2—Kim Bailey (0/1)
2—Vic Dartnall (---)
2—Johnny Farrelly (1/2 – Profit of 7 points)
2—Sue Gardner (0/2)
2—Tom George (0/1)
2—Philip Hobbs (loss of 3 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (---)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (0/1)
+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
61 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Redcar: £46.30 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Kempton A/W: This is a new meeting
Wolverhampton: £195.10 - 7 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 3 unplaced