LUDLOW - NOVEMBER 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £80.30 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (12.40): 3 (Djarkalin) & 9 (Tintern Theatre)
Leg 2 (1.10): 8 (Sierra Oscar) & 1 (Adrrastos)
Leg 3 (1.40): 4 (Better Days), 1 (Vice Et Vertu) & 3 (Holy Cross)
Leg 4 (2.15): 2 (On The Road), 4 (Bored Or Bad) & 3 (Airpur Desbois)
Leg 5 (2.50): 4 (Tornado In Milan), 3 (Going Concern) & 2 (Noche De Reyes)
Leg 6 (3.20): 1 (Scotchtown) & 2 (Another Venture)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.40: Evan Williams has saddled seven winners during the last five years at this corresponding meeting and the first of his seven runners on the card runs in the opening event, namely New Republic. Conor Ring’s three pound claim will aid and abet the cause but that said, DJARKALIN and TINTERN THEATRE will prove difficult to pass up the home straight I’ll wager.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have snared toteplacepot positions to date via two winners at 1/2 and even money.
1.10: Dan Skelton has a realistic chance of taking both divisions of theis event (saddles Djarkalin in the opening heat), with SIERRA OSCAR having been given the green light to represent the stable. Connections might have most to fear from ADRRASTOS in a weak event.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening race on the card, whereby the same stats apply.
1.40: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 11-2 have secured 10 of the 12 available toteplacepot positions to date, statsitics which include all six (12/1--8/1--5/1--3/1--11/4**--85/40*) winners. There are four ‘qualifiers’ this time around (jockey claims taken into account) with BETTER DAYS, VICE ET VERTU and (possibly) HOLY CROSS fancied to secure toteplacepot positions on this occasion. .
Favourite factor: Four of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, stats which include two (11/4 & 85/40) winners via six renewals.
2.15: All nine gold medallists have been burdened with 10-3 or more, whilst seven-year-olds have won four of the nine contests thus far, including three of the last five renewals. Putting the stats and facts together leads me to offering an overnight short list of ON THE ROAD, BORED OR BAD and AIRPUR DESBOIS.
Favourite factor: Seven of the ten favourites have finished in the frame to date via nine renewals, statistics which include two winners.
2.50: Evan Williams has saddled two winners and a couple of bronze medallists in this race to date via just the five renewals (not represented two years ago) with the trainer holding two chances this time around. Evan has decided to offer the green light to TORNADO IN MILAN and GOING CONCERN, the pair being listed in marginal order of preference at the overnight stage. Three time good ground course winner NOCHE DE REYES is difficult to dismiss, even taking the atrocious weekend weather into account.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites (winners of the relevant contests at 2/1 & 6/4) have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.
Record of the course winners in the field:
3/6—Noche De Reyes (3 x good)
1/8—Last Shot (good to soft – ran at Exeter on Sunday, probable non-runner)
3.20: The ground at Ludlow (and Kempton) on Monday is likelier to be better than at most venues in the land whereby (good ground) Wetherby winner SCOTCHTOWN could give seven pounds and a beating to his five rivals in this grade/company. ANOTHER VENTURE is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Ludlow card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Monday – followed by 5 year stats at Ludlow _ profits/losses accrued:
7 runners—Evan Williams (39/242 – loss of 44 points)
5—Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/131 – loss of 58 points)
3—Kim Bailey (10/73 – loss of 4 points)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (9/71 – loss of 32 points)
3—Tom Weston (0/3)
2—David Bridgwater (1/22 – loss of 19 points)
2—Tom George (15/64 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Mike Hammond (0/4)
2—Charlie Longsdon (6/53 – loss of 16 points)
2—David Dennis (4/35 – loss of 7 points)
2—Dan Skelton (11/51 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Tim Vaughan (9/70 – Profit of 21 points)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
60 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton: £18.50 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Chelmsford: £2,298.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced