Placepot pointers – Monday October 10



Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £115.00 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)


Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 4 (Trump’s Magic) & 1 (Founding Father)

Leg 2 (2.00): 2 (Marquee Club), 9 (Speed Freak) & 4 (Trick Of The Light)

Leg 3 (2.30): 2 (Commodity), 4 (First Voyage) & 6 (Singapore Sling)

Leg 4 (3.00): 4 (Poet’s Song) & 6 (Electrify)

Leg 5 (3.30): 4 (Invermere) & 7 (Carpe Diem Lady)

Leg 6 (4.00): 6 (Anonymous John), 14 (Vimy Ridge) & 11 (Picket Line)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes


Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.30: Let’s hope that the person responsible for naming TRUMP’S MAGIC was thinking about playing cards rather than the Presidential Election when naming the February foal!  Either way, the Bath runner up (first day at school) would not have to improve much to go one better in this grade/company I’ll wager.  Standing in the way are STAR STREAM and James Tate’s newcomer FOUNDING FATHER who holds an alternative option at Wolverhampton on Tuesday.  Last year’s winner (Fighting Temeraire) was the first name mentioned in my analysis before scoring at 2/1.

Favourite factor: 10 of the 20 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the extended study period, whilst eight of the last twelve contests have fallen the way of market leaders.  The last thirteen winners have produced a top priced gold medallist of 9/1.

2.00: I led last year’s analysis with this comment; Stormflower has finished in the frame in two of his four starts at Windsor to date (third of six on another occasion) and John Bridger's representative can gain another toteplacepot position in this grade/company.  A decent winner at Lingfield in the mud earlier in the season, Stormflower has run well enough under fast conditions to prove that this ground will cause no problems for the Arcano raider.  Stormflower won at 16/1.  Hoping to carry on that good work, I’m nominating MARQUEE CLUB, SPEED FREAK and TRICK OF THE LIGHT against the remaining 13 contenders, with the overnight reserve nomination being awarded to FABRIC.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/1 favourite finished near last than first in a 15 runner field.

Record of the represented trainers in Nursery events in 2016 at all venues – stats complied before the weekend’s two-year-old handicaps were contested:

1/8—Charlie Hills (Pary’s Mountain)

3/21—Jamie Osborne (Marquee Club)

1/9—Rod Millman (Compton Lane)

2/7—Roger Varian (Trick Of The Light)

8/89—Richard Hannon (Swift Mover & Fabric)

1/3—William Jarvis (Spinnaker Bay)

0/1—Ed McMahon (Broadhaven Honey)

2/12—Ralph Beckett (Speed Freak)

1/24—Sylvester Kirk (Neptunes Secret & Latest Quest)

2/9—Joseph Tuite (Zebspear)

0/3—Stuart Williams (Lady Cleo)

0/1—Malcolm Saunders (Pastfact)

3/21—Richard Hughes (Polly’s Angels)

0/4—Simon Dow (Roundabout Magic)

2.30: Three-year-olds have won the last 15 renewals and vintage representatives are 1/9 to extend the good run of results in each of the two divisions this year, before the form book is consulted.  The pick of the junior raiders on this occasion should prove to be COMMODITY, FIRST VOYAGE and SINGAPORE SLING.  Unusually when a there are decent picking to be had, Sir Michael Stoute was not represented at Goodwood for their final meeting of the Sunday at a track where Michael boasts a 9/31 ratio this season.  COMMODITY is Michael’s only runner on this card and the Dutch Art gelding could go close having contested a half decent Newmarket event for which he was ‘only’ a 15/2 chance.

Favourite factor: 11 favourites have scored via the last 23 divisions of this event, whilst 18 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.

3.00: This is the second division of the previous race on the Windsor card.  Having been placed in three of his last six outings, POET’S SONG deserves to get his head in front and connections have found a decent opportunity to score at the tenth time of asking.  Whether Martin Dwyer’s mount will represent value for money from a win perspective is open to doubt however, whereby loose change will not be invested.  ELECTRIFY is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: 11 favourites have scored via the last 23 divisions of this event, whilst 18 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.

3.30: All three winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1 via three renewals which eliminates four of the top five horses in the handicap.  The one exception is INVERMERE saddled by the astute Richard Fahey who rarely misses a trick.  Richard has hired the services of a decent five pound claimer to slip into the ‘superior’ sector of the weights and boasting a 3/5 ratio at the course this year, Richard looks like he wants to improve the tally further still.  Clive Cox leads the way at the alternative royal venue this season with stats of 12/46 and similarly, Clive’s raider qualifies via the weight trend, namely CARPE DIEM LADY.

Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (one 5/1 winner) via three contests thus far.

Record of the course winners in the field:

1/1—Nicarra (good to firm)

1/1—Ejayteekay (soft)

1/2--Stylistik (good to firm)

4.00: Last year’s opening line led us to another (8/1) winner twelve months ago; Four-year-olds have won six of the last 12 renewals and it defies belief accordingly that Deeds Not Words is this year's only vintage representative! Upwards and onward by suggesting that this year’s trio of four-year-olds will do nicely to complete the Placepot analysis, listing ANONYMOUS JOHN, VIMY RIDGE and PICKET LINE in order of overnight preference.  If the trend is to go base over apex, MENAI could prove to be the joker in the pack.

Favourite factor: Five favourites have won via 20 renewals, whilst six other market leaders additionally secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/3—Fleckerl (good to firm)

2/3—Anonymous John (good & heavy)

1/7—Joe Packet (good to soft)


All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.


Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday:

4—Mick Channon (1/22 at Windsor in 2016 – loss of 20 points to level stakes)

3—Henry Candy (4/15 – Profit of 3 points)

3—Mark Johnston (3/12 (Profit of 1 point)

3—Brian Meehan (2/11 – Profit of 8 points)

3—Jonathan Portman (2/17 – loss of 12 points)

2—Andrew Balding (3/35 – Loss of 23 points)

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2—Marco Botti (3/16 – loss of 4 points)

2—Clive Cox (12/46 – Profit of 9 points)

2—Simon Dow (0/4)

2—Richard Fahey (3/5 – Profit of 13 points)

2—Dominic Ffrench Davis (0/2)

2—Richard Hannon (8/66 – loss of 11 points)

2—Charlie Hills (5/24 (Profit of 1 point)

2—Richard Hughes (4/25 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Alan King (1/8 – loss of 5 points)

2—Sylvester Kirk (3/11 – Profit of 1 point)

2—William Muir (0/11)

2—Mike Murphy (2/11 – Profit of 14 points)

2—Jamie Osborne (2/13 (Profit of 15 points)

2—John O’Shea (0/5)

2—Marcus Tregoning (0/8)

2—Joseph Tuite (1/24 – loss of 7 points)

2—Chris Wall (2/11 – loss 3 points)

2—Stuart Williams (1/10 – Profit of 7 points)

+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

40 declared runners


General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Salisbury: £47.80 - 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

Yarmouth – last year’s meeting was abandoned

Chelmsford – This is a new fixture on the calendar


Windsor overview - relating to their juvenile events at 1.30 & 2.00

5 year record of represented trainers in the two-year-old sector:


1/7—James Tate ((Founding Father)

0/5—Amanda Perrett (Open Wide)

0/6—Marcus Tregoning (Star Stream)

13/63—David Evans (Trumps Magic)

1/29—Jamie Osborne (Vibes)

3/30—Roger Charlton (Magique Touch)

2/16—Jim Boyle (Moonstone Rock)

0/4—Seamus Durack (Orithia)

4/20—Henry Candy (Rebecca Rocks)

0/5—Tony Carroll (Wedgewood Wonder)


6/50—Charlie Hills (Pary’s Mointain)

1/29—Jamie Osborne (Marquee Club)

1/22—Rod Millman (Compton Lane)

2/11—Roger Varian (Trick Of The Light)

20/115--(Richard Hannon (Swift Mover & Fabric)

0/5—William Jarvis (Spinaaker Bay)

0/1—Ed McMahon (Broadhaven Honey)

6/43—Ralph Beckett (Speed Freak)

2/23—Slyvester Kirk (Neptunes Secret & Latest Quest)

0/15—Joseph Tuite (Zebspear)

0/14—Stuart Williams (Lady Cleo)

1/5—Malcolm Saunders (Pastfact)

1/9—Richard Hughes (Polly’s Angels)

0/3—Simon Dow (Roundabout Magic)





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