BRIGHTON - SEPTEMBER 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £97.50 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Brighton:
Leg 1 (1.50): 7 (Red Sniper), 9 (Peloton) & 6 (Dancing Dragon)
Leg 2 (2.20): 5 (Becca Campbell), 8 (Elle Rebelle) & 3 (Ramblow)
Leg 3 (2.55): 3 (Cranwell), 7 (Buteo Bai) & 4 (Megalala)
Leg 4 (3.30): 12 (The Greedy Boy), 8 (Wild Flower) & 6 (Funny Oyster)
Leg 5 (4.00): 2 (Unnoticed) & 3 (Monsieur Valentine)
Leg 6 (4.30): 9 (Frenchman) & 2 (Upstaging)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: Trainers of the two newcomers Peter Chapple-Hyam (RED SNIPER) and George Baker (DANCING DRAGON) should be congratulated for finding winning opportunities for their respective raiders, with PELOTON likely to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings. The advantage that the latter named rival holds over the others is that her silver medal debut effort was contested at Goodwood, with its downhill gradients not too dissimilar to those here at Brighton, particularly if you ignore the hill and the uphill finish!
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites secured toteplacepot positions via four renewals, statistics which include one (6/5**) winner. It's worth noting that one of the silver medallists was beaten from a win perspective at odds of 2/5.
2.20: Horses carrying at least nine stones have secured ten of the 15 available toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four of the five winners which were returned at 10/1-8/1-9/2-11/4. Unfortunately no horse is eliminated via the weight stats this time around, though I have left the stats in place as I know some of you keep records. Upwards and onward in positive fashion by suggesting that last year's beaten favourite ELLE REBELLE demands attention having finished third twelve months ago, snaring a Placepot position at the time. Mark Brisbourne's Cockney Rebel mare is a course winner and a one pound higher mark should not stop Hollie Doyle's mount from becoming competitive at the business end of proceedings. None of the other eight contenders from last year have turned up for the gig, whereby the main threats this time around could prove to be BECCA CAMPBELL and RAMBLOW. Nine-year-old SUPER DUPLEX returns to the track after the thick end of a two year break and it will be interesting to see how he runs at this low level.
Favourite factor: Only two of the six favourites have claimed a toteplacepot position via five renewals (one winner at 11/4).
Record of course winners in the second contest:
1/2--Becca Campbell (good)
1/13--Elle Rebelle (good to firm)
2.55: Course specialist MEGALALA finished third off the same mark (52) last year, with John Bridger's grand old servant looking to figure prominently again at the the ripe old age of 15. Stats of 20/138 down the years offers confirmation that this has been a throughbred of the highest order in terms of consistency, albeit at a low standard. Those last few words are not written in detriment to the horse because we would all love to own a 'Megalala' in our dreams. What wonderful fun he must have given his connections since making his debut at Fontwell in April 2005. Those connections could never have guessed that a debut over seventeen furlongs would lead on to all 20 victories being gained over a maximum trip of a mile and a half!. There are some other horses in the race (!), the pick of which should include CRANWELL and Lucy Wadham's recent course and distance winner BUTEO BAI, who was scoring at the eighth time of asking.
Favourite factor: Eight of the nine favourites have finished in the frame to date via eight renewals, statistics which include two winners.
Record of course winners in the third event on the card:
8/34--Megalala (4 x good to soft - 2 x soft - good & good to firm)
3.30: I'm convinced that there is a race to be won with THE GREEDY BOY, though I confess that Mick Channon's Atlantic Sport is heading towards my last chance saloon at a rapid rate of knots. A beaten favourite here seven days ago, Sam Hitchcott's mount is given another chance in this grade/company. Others worth a second glance according to the gospel of yours truly include FUNNY OYSTER and WILD FLOWER who has risen two spots via his last sixteen races....without winning! Coming here having snared silver medals on each of his last three assignments, no horse would deserve success more on the entire card from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Although favourites have won three of the six contests, the other three gold medallists were returned at 33/1, 20/1 and 8/1 with the relevant market leaders missing out of toteplacepot positions in those events.
Record of course winners in the fourth race:
3/13--Bloodsweatandtears (good - good to soft - soft)
4/27--Hawk Moth (3 x good + good to firm)
2/7--World Record (good to soft & soft)
1/3--Admirable Art (good)
4.00: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, whist five of the six gold medallists in total carried nine stones or more to victory. MONSIEUR VALENTINE, UNNOTICED and SECRET BIRD all possess ticks in both of the relevant boxes and I would be very surprised if this trio of toteplacepot representatives all finished out of the frame. There is little to add in this event whereby I will take the opporutnity of informing that I am away for the week now, hoping that you back lots of winners before my return. Be lucky.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions via six renewals, statistics which include four winners.
Record of course winners in the fifth event:
1/3--Monseiur Valentine (good)
4/15--Port Lairge (2 x soft + heavy)
4.30: Just this last race to assess before you also deserve a rest from my ramblings, hoping that FRENCHMAN does the business for us to pay for a few 'snifters' over the coming days. Racing is a funny old game to be sure, with Charlie Hills (trainer of Frenchman) drawing a black via his six runners at Doncaster last week, having greeted nine gold medallists at the St Leger meeting during the previous five years. It's why I (along with so many others) are still 'working' for a living. Dangers to Frenchman? Hopefully none at the furlong meeting though in the real world, UPSTAGING should be there or thereabouts, arguably alongside EBONY N IVORY.
Three of the five market leaders have finished in the money, including a successful 3/1 joint favourite. Be lucky.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3--Pandor (good to firm)
1/2--Art Collection (good to firm)
2/6--Soaring Spirits (good to firm & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Brighton card on Monday:
5--Mark Brisbourne (1/18 at Brighton this season - winner at 16/1)
3--George Baker (4/15 - winners at 5/1-9/2-4/1**-7/2)
3--Tony Carroll (7/41 - winners at 14/1-8/1-6/1-11/2-4/1-9/4*-2/1*)
3--Gary Moore (6/31 - winners at 11/2-9/2-7/2-7/2***-6/4*-6/5*)
2--Robert Cowell (1/12 - winner at 3/1)
2--Clive Cox (3/9 - winners at 5/2*-5/4*-8/13*)
2--Jimmy Fox (0/6)
2--Peter Hiatt (0/3)
2--Derek Ivory (2/13 - winners at 9/4* & 2/1*)
2--John Jenkins (0/5)
2--Michael Madgwick (1/11 - winner at 17/2)
2--John Spearing (3/17 - winners at 7/1-5/1-7/2**)
2--Henry Spiller (0/1)
+ 42 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
74 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton: This is a new meeting on the calendar
Wolverhampton: £116.40 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced
Worcester: Another new meeting on the calendar
Brighton overview - Juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 1.50:
0/3--Mark Usher (Bayston Hall)
1/3--Julia Feilden (Pitch High)
1/7--Harry Dunlop (Winning Bid)
0/1--Natalie Lloyd Beavis (Myhorsewithnoname)
1/4--Philip Hide (Otamo)
2/10--George Baker (Dancing Dragon)
1/5--Peter Chapple-Hyam (Red Sniper)
No runners--Henry Spiller (Cheers All Round)
0/3--Pat Phelan (Peloton)