HAMILTON – SEPTEMBER 19
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
£325.40 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Monday's Placepot permutation at Hamilton:
Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Roys Dream), 1 (Rag Tatter) & 2 (Mutahaady)
Leg 2 (2.50): 6 (Lady Wooton) & 5 (Keene's Pointe)
Leg 3 (3.20): 5 (Dutch Dream), 1 (Jacob's Pillow) & 2 (Wahaab)
Leg 4 (3.50): 3 (Bybrook) & 1 (Shah Of Armaan)
Leg 5 (4.20): 1 (Biff Johnson) & 6 (Assisted)
Leg 6 (4.50): 6 (Latin Rebel), 4 (Operateur) & 5 (Voice Of Above)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.20: Four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2 or more whereby ROYS DREAM is the pick of the two 'qualifiers' over RAG TATTER on this occasion. A third contender could have been in place, though seven pound claimer Clifford Lee is likely to 'relegate' MUTAHAADY to the 'inferior' sector of the (two-year-old) handicap because of his allowance. That said, Karl Burke's Elzaam gelding is likely to be included in my overnight Placepot mix as his recent Carlisle win showed much improved form. The reserve nomination is awarded to OUTFOX.
Favourite factor: Six of the twelve market leaders have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include five winners.
2.50: Three-year-olds have won three of the seven renewals, with LADY WOOTON preferred to the other vintage representative Spirit Be With You. If an older horse is guilty of diluting the trend this time around, KEENE'S POINTE is classed as the potential joker in the pack.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven favourites have claimed Placepot positions (one winner at 3/1).
Hamilton record of course winners in the second race:
3/44--Rock Canvon (2 x good & good to soft)
3/19--Captain Scooby (2 x soft & good to soft)
1/2--Shesnotforturning (good to soft)
3.20: DUTCH DREAM could do with any rain swerving the course overnight following a decent course and distance victory at the track last time out, the Dutch Art filly having been the first Hamilton winner this year for Linda Perratt. Looking up the records, I was also amazed to find that Linda's strike rate at the track during the last five years stands at 3%, stats which dilute interest from a win perspective as you might imagine. Others for Placepot consideration include the top pair in the handicap, namely JACOB'S PILLOW and WAHAAB.
Favourite factor: This is the second leg of the previous race on the card whereby the same stats apply.
Hamilton record of course winners in the third contest:
1/5--Jacob's Pillow (good)
2/11--Slim Chance (2 x good)
1/2--Dutch Dream (good to firm)
1/9--Amis Reunis (good to soft)
3.50: Kevin Ryan saddled the winner of the first contest twelve months ago off a weight of 9-5 and sure enough, his representative SHAH OF ARMAAN is burdened with the same mark this time around. Kevin's Fastnet Rock newcomer in included in the overnight mix alongside BYBROOK and (possibly) VIZIER. SHAH OF ARMAAN would not have to be over talented to figure prominently in this class, especially with VIZIER having flattered to deceive on a few occasions of late. The potential of BYBROOK makes David Simcock's raider the more attractive option from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 11/8 favourite duly obliged.
4.20: Darrington entered the front door of my 'last chance saloon' and emerged through the exit having disappointed once again the last day. I have little doubt that the Richard Fahey raider will win again one day but I have lost interest, readily preferring the Keith Dalgleish pair BIFF JOHNSON and ASSISTED. Those of you who are preparing to back Darrington accordingly are asked to form orderly queues outside betting shops the length and the breadth of the land on Monday morning!
Favourite factor: Last year's even money favourite finished fourth of five in the first running of this event.
4.50: The nine represented trainers 'boast' recent aggregate stats of 2/60 whereby confidence from yours truly on his return from holiday is not at an all time high. My trio against the other eight contenders consists of LATIN REBEL, OPERATEUR and VOICE FROM ABOVE. I hope that you backed plenty of winners while I was away.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 favourites was a neck away (finished fourth) from securing a Placepot position behind horses which filled the frame at 7/2-11/2-40/1.
Hamilton record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/4--Celtic Power (good)
4/9--Operateur (2 x good + good to soft & soft)
2/5--Voice From Above (2 x good to soft)
1/13--Latin Rebel (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Hamilton card on Monday:
6--Keith Dalgleish (13/96 - winners ranging between 11/10* & 50/1)
6--Linda Perratt (1/31 - winner at 14/1)
5--Rebecca Bastiman (0/7)
5--Jim Goldie (2/19 - winners at 10/1 & 7/1)
4--Richard Fahey (7/52 - winners at 9/1-11/2-5/1-5/1-7/2-3/1-1/3*)
4--Kevin Ryan (6/29 - winners at 9/1-7/1-13/2-5/1-2/1**-3/10*)
3--Susan Corbett (0/3)
3--Richard Guest (1/7 - winner at 7/1)
3--Ben Haslam (0/5)
3--Iain Jardine (4/33 - winners at 8/1-8/1/9/2-3/1)
3--David O'Meara (5/28 - winners at 5/1-9/2-11/4-9/4**-Evens*)
2--Karl Burke (1/15 - winner at 5/6*)
2--Tony Coyle (No runners)
2--Alexandra Dunn (No runners)
2--John David Riches (2/11 - winners at 14/1 & 5/2)
2--Wilf Storey (1/4 - winner at 10/1)
2--Kristin Stubbs (1/13 - winner at 15/2)
2--Colin Teague (No runners)
+ 16 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
75 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton: £17.60 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Leicester: £142.60 - 7 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 4 unplaced
Hamilton overview - Juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.20:
7/46--Kevin Ryan (Rag Tatter)
2/17--Karl Burke (Mutahaady)
1/2--Kristin Stubbs (Roys Dream)
5/65--Richard Fahey (Yarmouk & Volta Do Mar)
5/27--Bryan Smart (Outfox)
0/5--Ben Hadlam (Bourbonisto)
2/12--John Quinn (Trick Of The Lyte)
1/16--David O'Meara (Bear Essentials)
9/58--Keith Dalgleish (Zebedee Star)